Search found 762 matches

by rickb
Sat Nov 12, 2016 11:38 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Trump's economic entanglements
Replies: 17
Views: 8749

Trump's economic entanglements

Is anyone even remotely concerned about Trump's economic entanglements. See, for example, this article http://www.newsweek.com/2016/09/23/donald-trump-foreign-business-deals-national-security-498081.html Of course, most of this is completely opaque since he never released his taxes (how the fuck did...
by rickb
Sat Nov 12, 2016 10:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 67282

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

The Japan or USA can't default on their outstanding national debt because there's no liquidity limitation (unlike Europe). What you mean is that there's no rational reason whatsoever for Japan or the US (or any other independent currency issuer) to default. I agree with this. Where we might disagre...
by rickb
Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:12 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 67282

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

Trump will likely increase the debt by trying to lower taxes and other stimulus measures while at the same time saying interest rates are too low. Not at all sure what will happen though, since it is Trump. Trump will actually do whatever is best for Trump. First order of business is drastically re...
by rickb
Mon May 09, 2016 12:08 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Trump would default on US debt?
Replies: 27
Views: 17350

Re: Trump would default on US debt?

sophie wrote: No particularly good candidates come to mind.
Hillary.
by rickb
Sun May 08, 2016 11:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Global Financial Literacy Survey
Replies: 7
Views: 3502

Re: Global Financial Literacy Survey

From http://gflec.org/sp-global-finlit-survey-methodology/ Survey Questions The financial literacy questions address five basic dimensions of financial comprehension on the individual level (correct answers in bold):   Risk Diversification Suppose you have some money. Is it safer to put your money i...
by rickb
Sun May 08, 2016 11:45 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: GlobalGold.ch
Replies: 7
Views: 4175

Re: GlobalGold.ch

I have read "The Permanent Portfolio" by Craig Rowland and J. M. Lawson and applied for the service of globalgold.ch which is recommended in the book. Welcome! Everyone here knows this but might forget that newbies might not.  Both authors at least occasionally post here.  Craig Rowland a...
by rickb
Sun May 08, 2016 11:40 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Running shoes/sneakers
Replies: 38
Views: 22510

Re: Running shoes/sneakers

Shawn, What tennis shoe maker do you recommend? I play singles twice a week. New Balance is this best. They will last 6 months which is more than any other brand I have tried. Careful with that.  New Balance has shifted production for many of its shoes to places like Vietnam, with minor differences...
by rickb
Wed Apr 27, 2016 10:36 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Dear Idiots at the EPA,
Replies: 11
Views: 4760

Re: Dear Idiots at the EPA,

This is definitely a concern. Unless, maybe it isn't: see https://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/glyphosate-the-new-bogeyman/ or http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/roundup-and-risk-assessment BTW - MG's quote is from here: http://www.anh-usa.org/action-alert-tell-the-epa-to-ban-glyphosate/ I...
by rickb
Mon Apr 25, 2016 1:23 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

MachineGhost wrote:
rickb wrote: Nope - it's a CO2 chart, not a temperature chart.
My bad.  But, correlation is not causation.
Indeed it's not.  But a correlation that seems to have stood up for 400,000 years might be something you want to pay attention to.
by rickb
Mon Apr 25, 2016 1:14 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

However, not even trying to do anything about things we can clearly see will be very, very bad seems a tad defeatist.  I don't think of it so much as defeatist as realistic. Spend a week in Jakarta.  Just one city in Indonesia.  You could give everyone in California a Prius and it wouldn't offset t...
by rickb
Mon Apr 25, 2016 12:11 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

Ah, the infamous Hockey Stick chart.  Nope - it's a CO2 chart, not a temperature chart.  We'll see what the temperature chart looks like in a 1000 years (or, our children's children's children's children's children's children's children's children's children's children's children's children's child...
by rickb
Sun Apr 24, 2016 11:55 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

I don't understand the debate about whether AGW is real or not. It doesn't matter one iota. There is not a single predictive model that works. There is no therapeutic remedy that could be implemented in today's world. There are plenty of global catastrophic risks that we really can't do anything ab...
by rickb
Sun Apr 24, 2016 6:38 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

The image on the top is atmospheric CO2 concentration going back 400,000 years.  The image on the bottom is the EPICA core data.  I've tried to arrange it so these line up.  The text in the image on the top says "For 650,000 years, atmospheric CO2 has never been above this line ... until now&qu...
by rickb
Sun Apr 24, 2016 5:07 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

Because I thought you were referring the to other site that rickb quoted from.  I'm too bored to read up on the whole pro argument again. I was simply quoting the site jafs referred you to. I haven't looked at the raw data myself (I'm not a climatologist), but my understanding is that it's pretty m...
by rickb
Sun Apr 24, 2016 12:29 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Well, I guess it's us
Replies: 55
Views: 20234

Re: Well, I guess it's us

What is that chart and where does it come from? Its ice core sample temperatures from Wikipedia.  If you look only at 1860 to date of course you're going to "see" and "prove" global warming just as you would have 125,000 years ago, 250,000 years ago, 375,000 years ago and 410,00...
by rickb
Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:48 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP humming along again
Replies: 42
Views: 20322

Re: PP humming along again

Lest I go all theoretical on us, if I had a very large chunk of money I was going to roll into a PP I would spread it out over year, but using PP historical returns this most likely will prove to not be beneficial to the bottom line. Actually, one of the data mining hobbyists with access to daily d...
by rickb
Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:05 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The Metropolitan Plan: Swapping Bonds for Gold
Replies: 9
Views: 7785

Re: The Metropolitan Plan: Swapping Bonds for Gold

Bean wrote: Interesting read, what's the source? Would like to read the rest of it.
I don't know where MG saw it, but it is at http://thecrux.com/porter-stansberry-a- ... is-coming/
by rickb
Thu Mar 31, 2016 10:07 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Running shoes/sneakers
Replies: 38
Views: 22510

Re: Running shoes/sneakers

dualstow wrote:
lazyboy wrote: I'v been able to buy New Balance (made in America!)
My grey sneaks from New Balance say 'Made in Indonesia' unfortunately.
Some New Balance models are still made in the US - but I think at this point most are not.

http://www.newbalance.com/made-in-usa-1/
by rickb
Sun Mar 27, 2016 12:25 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Top 1%? Top 0.1%
Replies: 2
Views: 2607

Re: Top 1%? Top 0.1%

Just to be clear. Voting here means the folks who run this site (CraigR, MediumTex, and possibly TennPaGa as a moderator) can see the account name and IP address from which the vote originated. If you're uncomfortable with this, please don't vote.  I think these are trustworthy folks, and wouldn't h...
by rickb
Sat Mar 26, 2016 11:51 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Top 1%? Top 0.1%
Replies: 2
Views: 2607

Top 1%? Top 0.1%

From another thread I posited that we have very few posters here in the top 1% (perhaps about 1% :) ), and likely no one in the top 0.1%.

Let's find out.
by rickb
Sat Mar 26, 2016 11:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The political re-alignment of our time
Replies: 108
Views: 47611

Re: The political re-alignment of our time

MachineGhost wrote: Very curious.  Now I want to know the backstory of why a peanut looks like a Baron Robber.  Were peanuts expensive and only avalable to the super-rich at one time?  Details, please.
There is (of course) a Wikipedia article:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._Peanut
by rickb
Sat Mar 26, 2016 11:12 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Beware of bad data sources
Replies: 2
Views: 1939

Re: Beware of bad data sources

I just found out that the prices for ETF SCHX seen on Stockcharts.com and Yahoo! Finance do not match! And they don't match by large amount. Beware! I have given up on both, and have gone back to Schwab.com for data and charting, because SCHX is a Schwab ETF. It's a pain to log in, but damage from ...
by rickb
Sun Mar 13, 2016 9:04 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Corporations and Political Speech
Replies: 102
Views: 28009

Re: Corporations and Political Speech

Recalling a recent thread addressed to getting the money out of politics, I found it interesting that the overriding concern of the left-leaning folks was on silencing the political speech of conservative organizations-- not on ending the quid pro quo culture that has made Congress the bought-and-p...
by rickb
Sat Mar 12, 2016 12:12 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Money in Politics
Replies: 71
Views: 21840

Re: Money in Politics

But, if I could convince myself of this, should that make me feel any better about him becoming my president? Exactly.  Let's follow the logic here. 1) Hillary is the lowest of the low, clearly willing to say anything in order to get elected. 2) Trump is saying things for effect that he doesn't rea...
by rickb
Thu Mar 10, 2016 10:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Staggering World Debt Points toward Crisis
Replies: 53
Views: 25578

Re: Staggering World Debt Points toward Crisis

The modern monetary system is truly bizarre.  Modern money is not backed by a tangible resource like gold.  It's backed by debt.  What the levels of world wide debt increasing means is that people (overall) have more money.  It's like the gold supply increasing over time.  This is not necessarily as...