Search found 10054 matches
- Sat Nov 19, 2011 3:18 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Re: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
2. If interest rates go significantly higher my assumptions are Gold prices go down LT Bond prices go down Stock prices go down The only asset that provides some increase is Cash (perhaps in the form of CDs or others). So eliminating Cash may be undesirable I agree that it is undesirable...
- Sat Nov 19, 2011 3:12 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Re: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
I used the Vanguard funds since 1990 because the dividends were reinvested as opposed to ETF's. However, the data was daily, just the reporting was done in monthly for the annual totals. Yahoo will have the historical data at daily. You will not find 30-year T-Bond monthly data except at the FRED ...
- Sat Nov 19, 2011 3:00 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Re: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
I would like to add a quick point in support of MediumTex's preceding post. Gold was chosen as the "hard asset"for the PP because it has for 6000 years served as a store of value and money. Many of the other proposed "real assets" would fall more under the heading of "col...
- Sat Nov 19, 2011 2:44 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Re: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
Anything but treasuries for the cash allocation is going to introduce counterparty and interest rate risk. Some of the suggestions above are, IMHO, not suitable for "money you can't afford to lose." It seems to me counterparty risk is everywhere in the portfolio, short of holding physica...
- Wed Nov 16, 2011 11:04 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Re: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
Fascinating contributions, guys! I forgot to mention that in real terms, the maxium drawdown in the 25x4 during 1938 to 1951 was around 25%. That's a jaw-dropping amount of net worth & purchasing power to have lost, especially outside the actual Great Depression. Using the S&L rates for th...
- Sun Nov 13, 2011 9:10 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 142
- Views: 69154
Improving on the Permanent Portfolio
Intuitively, the HBPP concept made sense to me, but I've always had a nagging feeling in my gut that the risk of the portfolio was understated for purposes of "dumbed down" simplicity for conveying the concept to mainstream investors. In no way shape or form could a simplistic allocation ...
- Sat Nov 12, 2011 3:10 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Physical Stock Certificates as Part of PP?
- Replies: 11
- Views: 5224
Re: Physical Stock Certificates as Part of PP?
Policing for Profit: The Abuse of Civil Asset Forfeiture chronicles how state and federal laws leave innocent property owners vulnerable to forfeiture abuse and encourage law enforcement to take property to boost their budgets. The report finds that by giving law enforcement a direct financial sta...
- Sat Nov 12, 2011 10:48 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Some Questions about the Permanent Portfolio from a Newbie
- Replies: 14
- Views: 9774
Re: Some Questions about the Permanent Portfolio from a Newbie
1. The list is outdated. Under $50K you are better off buying cheap bullion or low-premium semi-numismatic gold coins. Over 50K you can look at storage options in insured private vaults. Do note that in the U.S., bank deposit boxes are not insured. 2. Stocks are still the primary driver of long t...
- Sat Nov 12, 2011 10:11 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
- Replies: 23
- Views: 12186
Re: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
With Ron Paul running for President and wanting the US currency to be backed by gold (and probably silver as well) - I was wondering if the impact of the change has been considered as far as the asset allocation for HB PP is concerned. I searched around a little but did not find much on this subjec...
- Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:41 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Rebalancing/backtesting software?
- Replies: 9
- Views: 7345
Re: Rebalancing/backtesting software?
http://code.google.com/p/mypersonalindex/beafet wrote: Does anyone know of some software or a website that can be used to experiment with different rebalancing bands and timing?
MG