Search found 319 matches

by drumminj
Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:35 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

In order to not derail the topic of this thread, I started a new topic to discuss the Dalio commentary here: viewtopic.php?f=9&t=10467&p=187828#p187828
by drumminj
Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:33 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Fiscal stimulus in response to corona virus
Replies: 9
Views: 3168

Fiscal stimulus in response to corona virus

Forking this thread off the Corona virus thread... Another great article by Dalio published this week: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/we-need-coordinated-monetary-fiscal-stimulus-counteract-ray-dalio/?published=t&mc_cid=2445095bbe&mc_eid=ded4b883a5 I'd be curious to debate this part of the a...
by drumminj
Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:51 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Another great article by Dalio published this week: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/we-need-coordinated-monetary-fiscal-stimulus-counteract-ray-dalio/?published=t&mc_cid=2445095bbe&mc_eid=ded4b883a5 I'd be curious to debate this part of the article: Some people will argue that providing such...
by drumminj
Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:33 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662199

Re: Stock scream room

Seems like a lot better plan than buying "FDIC-backed" 5 year CDs, as some on this forum have recommended. I'm not sure what I've missed, but my CDs are doing fine, earning their 3% interest. And I could break them tomorrow and have the cash in my account in a few days, less 6 months inte...
by drumminj
Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I'll take the consequences of liquidity over the consequences of austerity in a liquidity squeeze any day. Even if it means breaking our republic? IMO principles do matter. In terms of short-term pain, perhaps the liquidity is preferable, but if it moves us away from a republic and into oligarchy w...
by drumminj
Mon Mar 09, 2020 9:57 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662199

Re: Stock scream room

VBR is back go ~July 2016 levels. Ouch.
by drumminj
Sat Mar 07, 2020 4:20 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662199

Re: Stock scream room

If anyone wants to feel a bit better about the stock selloff the last couple weeks <snip> I don't know why anyone would need to feel better about it. With the performance of gold and LTT lately, my portfolio's at an all-time high. I'll take this performance any day of the week, and twice on sunday!
by drumminj
Fri Mar 06, 2020 7:08 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

vnatale wrote: Fri Mar 06, 2020 7:06 pm I lived a pet-free childhood.
I too had allergies to dogs and cats, but we always had them when I was a kid. I just got "allergy shots" for a period of time. No clue if that's something still done, nor how it works (possibly increasing dosages to build immunity?)
by drumminj
Fri Mar 06, 2020 10:00 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 554
Views: 368603

Re: The Bond Dream Room

My initial gut feeling says to rebalance now, but my second thought says to be patient. I have similar urges to try to capture gains with the swings, but then I remember that's not what this allocation is about. As long as the general trend is up and to the right with reduced risk/low draw-downs, i...
by drumminj
Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:07 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 554
Views: 368603

Re: The Bond Dream Room

pmward wrote: Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:04 am I'm rebalancing a couple percent of bonds back into stocks today.
Did you hit a band, or are you just taking advantage of the recent swings? As of yesterday, my LTT's are still only at 28%.
by drumminj
Thu Mar 05, 2020 10:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund
Replies: 6
Views: 4042

Re: Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund

Right now my savings is roughly 75% PP(4 x 25) and 25% VWIAX.

I'm not convinced it's best for me from a tax perspective, but overall I've been happy with my choice to diversify strategy/holdings a bit.
by drumminj
Thu Mar 05, 2020 2:56 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

pmward wrote: Thu Mar 05, 2020 1:56 pm not waiting on the government to tell them
Well, I believe the companies are doing this due to guidance made by the county. But still, I agree it's a good move.
by drumminj
Thu Mar 05, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2117694

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

pmward wrote: Thu Mar 05, 2020 11:30 am My teammates in the Kirkland office were also all told to work from home indefinitely.
Yeah, Amazon in Seattle/Bellevue is WFH until end of month. Microsoft until 3/25.
by drumminj
Thu Mar 05, 2020 9:48 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ally Bank No Penalty CD
Replies: 26
Views: 31555

Re: Ally Bank No Penalty CD

I do wonder if anyone's chasing that 2% while it lasts, though. I did lock in some 3% 5-year CDs around a year ago with "deep cash" with this in mind. Even broke some CDs and re-purchased at higher rate when things hit 3%. We've discussed relative risks of CDs vs treasuries elsewhere so h...
by drumminj
Thu Mar 05, 2020 9:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Falling interest rates
Replies: 3
Views: 1697

Re: Falling interest rates

Who's panicking??? Budd? >:D I too read (and thought about) all the concern on interest rates being so low when I started the PP (4 years ago now?). Yet here I am with 30% capital appreciation on my long bonds and getting 2.5-3% interest. It's worked out well. Buying the lagging assets the past few...
by drumminj
Mon Mar 02, 2020 9:11 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: slightly confused about rebalancing
Replies: 29
Views: 20785

Re: slightly confused about rebalancing

I've never tax-loss harvested before, but understand the basic concept. You can't purchase the same security for 30 days though to avoid the wash sale rule though, right? So what are you thinking of selling, and will you simply sit in cash for the 30 days, potentially missing a bounce back as centra...
by drumminj
Thu Feb 27, 2020 7:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: What would it take to cause you to lose faith in the PP?
Replies: 50
Views: 18149

Re: What would it take to cause you to lose faith in the PP?

I am happy with the pp right now. There’s no guarantee that every day is going to balance perfectly. And it gives me peace of mind. I look at all the red (MSFT down 7% today? Ouch!) and honestly it doesn't phase me. That's what's good about the PP. Even with all the carnage, I'm still up a good chu...
by drumminj
Mon Feb 24, 2020 8:58 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1772489

Re: The GOLD scream room

Today is a shining example of the calming effect of the PP. Gold and bonds more than making up for the stock massacre. I'm a little ashamed to say I get a bit excited on days like today, so maybe not so "calming". Happy to have days like this which make up for the tracking error against s...
by drumminj
Sun Feb 23, 2020 10:19 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing Warning
Replies: 13
Views: 8158

Re: Rebalancing Warning

MangoMan wrote: Sun Feb 23, 2020 9:06 am I use a spreadsheet to keep track of the % in each asset. New contributions go to the laggard.
Same here.
by drumminj
Wed Jan 29, 2020 11:04 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What the heck happened to Maddy?
Replies: 28
Views: 8876

Re: What the heck happened to Maddy?

I have no quarrel with anything Xan has said. He has been an excellent administrator, and I intend to do my part to bring down the level of rancor on this forum. Hopefully we can do this without sacrificing our ability to engage in hard-hitting debates over controversial topics. Necessarily this in...
by drumminj
Wed Jan 22, 2020 10:42 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Wuhan, China Corona Virus 2020
Replies: 57
Views: 16862

Re: Wuhan, China Corona Virus 2020

Maddy wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 6:55 pm And don't order anything from Amazon. >:D
ebooks are probably okay! 8)
by drumminj
Sat Jan 18, 2020 4:42 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Is the successful salaried retail investor a myth?
Replies: 120
Views: 50792

Re: Is the successful salaried retail investor a myth?

WiseOne wrote: Sat Jan 18, 2020 2:30 pm Hilarious that there's a solution readily available that these articles studiously avoid mentioning.
Why would anyone live below their own means, when not doing so means (hah!) that you can also live on someone else's!?
by drumminj
Thu Jan 16, 2020 8:31 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Why Obama won
Replies: 112
Views: 40550

Re: Why Obama won

The migration patterns are interesting here in Bay Area: many techies and tech-related folks move to Texas and Washington as Austin and Seattle are growing as tech hubs and still are less expensive to live. Which just brings more of those problems to Seattle (and I presume Austin). Granted, we alre...
by drumminj
Thu Jan 09, 2020 9:38 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662199

Re: Stock scream room

I wouldn't touch stocks with a 20 foot pole unless I was in the PP, so we are all profiting from this, but it just seems so much smoke and mirrors. We go from WW3 starting to All is Well in 48 hours. It's like this is all running on a 2 hour movie timescale. Agreed, I've been struggling with this a...
by drumminj
Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: What % of your Total Portfolio is the PP?
Replies: 26
Views: 13788

Re: What % of your Total Portfolio is the PP?

Thanks for reviving this, vnatale . I've been thinking about this lately as well. For me, it's about 80%. I have a chunk in Vanguard Wellesley as well (VWIAX) -- about 15%, and then another 5% here and there in CDs and an angel investment. I'm currently in the lucky position of being able to save a ...