Search found 1111 matches

by dragoncar
Thu Nov 10, 2016 8:13 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Tallying of early votes
Replies: 21
Views: 4249

Re: Tallying of early votes

Any chance of getting caught happens well after the fact, but the penalties might be considerable (misrepresentation on a government form). It's sort of like cheating on your taxes. Lots of people do it, but more avoid it because even though the probability of getting caught is small, the penalties...
by dragoncar
Tue Nov 08, 2016 12:23 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Tallying of early votes
Replies: 21
Views: 4249

Re: Tallying of early votes

That makes more sense. I thought in 2000 they were saying that mail-in ballots basically were never counted unless the race was close enough that it would make a difference. That was a bit upsetting to me at the time. Gore won 270+ electoral votes if the FL Supreme Court had decided to wait to coun...
by dragoncar
Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:40 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Newbie question
Replies: 23
Views: 5681

Re: Newbie question

I use individual bonds, but check your trading platform/brokerage and see how they plan to make money off the trade. For example, I bought some using TD Ameritrade and it when I went to sell I got so-called "bids" that were 5% below the expected value. Wouldn't want to do a lot of trading at the cos...
by dragoncar
Mon Nov 07, 2016 10:30 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Tallying of early votes
Replies: 21
Views: 4249

Re: Tallying of early votes

As far as I know, it's only ballots that have been returned and party ID that is tallied, not the actual vote counted. So for instance, hypothetically if 675K registered R's, 700K registered D's and 550K I's have returned early votes, they know the numbers returned, but they don't report who each p...
by dragoncar
Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:39 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Taxi Drivers are Racist!
Replies: 3
Views: 2236

Re: Taxi Drivers are Racist!

In restaurants, the differences in tipping could be explained by mutually destructive preconceptions (black people tip less therefore I give them worse service so they tip less). Is there evidence they also tip less for taxis? If a bunch of taxis passed me I think I'd tip more to the one that finall...
by dragoncar
Tue Nov 01, 2016 10:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Goodbye
Replies: 31
Views: 10424

Re: Goodbye

Just for the record, I still pop in now and then, though mostly as a lurker. While I will agree that the level of discourse is not up to its former standards, my main reason for not posting as much is simply that a lot of what is being posted are topics that have either been beaten to death or that...
by dragoncar
Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:59 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Hurricane Matthew
Replies: 6
Views: 2426

Re: Hermine

It's levioSAAHH
by dragoncar
Fri Sep 23, 2016 4:23 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Replies: 28
Views: 8879

Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

I got a perfect score (100) and think the test was very well written
by dragoncar
Fri Sep 23, 2016 1:22 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Hand Holding
Replies: 60
Views: 13718

Re: Hand Holding

25 basis points is too much for a single raise. Just do 5 bp and nobody will bat an eye. If they did 5bp each quarter this year we'd almost be at 1/4 point and no overreaction. Boil the frog
by dragoncar
Thu Sep 22, 2016 1:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Replies: 28
Views: 8879

Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

The classics questions are the ones with equal expected value, so would you rather have $500 or a 50/50 chance at $0/$1000. That makes sense I guess. I'd typically pick a sure thing all else being equal. Now if it's $500 vs 50/50 chance of $2000/0 I'd flip the coin. Usually you keep adjusting the va...
by dragoncar
Wed Sep 21, 2016 9:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Replies: 28
Views: 8879

Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

I didn't even know what they were getting at with the whole "some experts think metals will go up do you sell your bonds?" Uh no I don't change my AA based on what "some experts" think
by dragoncar
Wed Sep 21, 2016 2:10 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Replies: 28
Views: 8879

Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

Above average, but possibly a $200 gain is insignificant compared to my portfolio. If they example values were 10-100 times bigger I'd be far more cautious