Search found 308 matches

by jhogue
Tue May 21, 2019 7:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

I detest China's present party-led corrupt police state, but Chinese officials do not see themselves as trying to displace the USA as global hegemon. Rather, they see themselves as trying to secure their rightful place in their region and the world. I keep reading the same, mostly in Foreign Affair...
by jhogue
Tue May 21, 2019 7:02 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Invest like Buffett?
Replies: 27
Views: 892

Re: Invest like Buffett?

boglerdude wrote:
Mon May 20, 2019 10:31 pm
Buffet's always had inside info starting with his father, a congressman. His companies sell unhealthy food (See's candy, coke, McDs) and he product places these in interviews. Not sure he's a God. But good on him for admitting taxes are too low
Don't forget Dairy Queen and Karmelkorn.
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 5:11 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

The figure of 172.2% rise in real median household net worth from 1972 to present was cited in the op-ed in Saturday's Wall Street Journal (3/18/2019, p.A15) "The Myth of 'Wage Stagnation,'"authored by Phil Gramm and John Early, with link posted up thread from here. I did not double-check their figu...
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 5:04 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ally Bank No Penalty CD
Replies: 14
Views: 4193

Re: Ally Bank No Penalty CD

A 1 year T-bill at Fidelity brokerage was 2.34% today. A 6 month T bill was 2.39%. Minimum purchase of $1,000. T-bills are also free of state and local taxes. CDs are not.
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 2:51 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

1. War between great powers is not inevitable. The USA surpassed the UK in GNP in the 1880s, becoming the world's leading economic power, but the two have never fought a war against one another since then. Since then, the USA/UK relationship has been characterized by cooperation rather than conflict...
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 10:31 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The French Crime of 1873: An Essay on the Emergence of the International Gold Standard, 1870–1880
Replies: 22
Views: 778

Re: The French Crime of 1873: An Essay on the Emergence of the International Gold Standard, 1870–1880

I still don't understand why we have not had massive inflation. My inability to explain the effect of multiple rounds of QE and enormous deficits has a lot to do with why I embraced Harry Browne's market agnosticism. We have had massive inflation, but it was in the prices of housing, medical care, ...
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 7:17 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

No doubt former US senator Phil Gramm has a partisan axe to grind, but he has some impressive company. I seem to recall that Alan Greenspan also favored a re-calibration of the BLS indices a number of years ago. If I am not mistaken, he suggested that the current indices overstated inflation and wou...
by jhogue
Mon May 20, 2019 6:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question about 401k plan allocations in the PP
Replies: 8
Views: 307

Re: Question about 401k plan allocations in the PP

Be sure to ask your employer and your 401k provider if they can add a brokerage window to your plan. I found that to be the quickest way to convert my pre-existing asset allocation to an orthodox HBPP. In fact, until I asked, I did not know that my plan already provided for a brokerage window.
by jhogue
Sat May 18, 2019 1:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

See “The Myth of Wage Stagnation” in the op-ed page of today’s Wall Street Journal.

The authors” argument is that the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not accurately account for the massive substitution effect stemming from the near-universal adoption of innovations like cell phones.
by jhogue
Sat May 18, 2019 1:32 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Is all cash on hand considered part of the PP
Replies: 9
Views: 347

Re: Is all cash on hand considered part of the PP

I have been retired for several years and I consider all cash to be part of my PP. The lone exception is US savings bonds under a year. When they reach one year, I move them from VP to PP. My Cash quadrant currently consists of: -10% money market funds (& physical cash) -50% Short Term Treasury bill...
by jhogue
Fri May 17, 2019 4:40 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 2483
Views: 400819

Re: The GOLD scream room

I believe in having some of everything, but don't put all of my trust in any one thing.
by jhogue
Wed May 15, 2019 6:25 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will Trump be Re-elected?
Replies: 283
Views: 16970

Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

moda,
When an employee leaves before the end of the vesting period, what happens to the funds that they forfeit? Does it go to the other employees?