Search found 106 matches

by Tom
Wed Jan 20, 2016 12:14 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 24211

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

Sorry, yeah it's blowing away S&P YTD by a long shot.  I was looking at my chart since inception and that is now beating S&P by a slight margin
by Tom
Wed Jan 20, 2016 9:14 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 24211

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

PP is now beating S&P YTD.  S&P has lost almost 11% just in the month of January.  The PP is starting to show how in more volatile environments it does in fact work as expected and provide protection.  TLT is up to 127.10, about $10 from where it had previously settled and my gold ETF (PHYS) has pic...
by Tom
Wed Jan 13, 2016 1:40 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: HBPP component predictions for 2016
Replies: 21
Views: 6556

Re: HBPP component predictions for 2016

So far my pick, which was against my gut, of bonds as the best performing asset is a pretty good one.  They're picking up a lot of slack.  I'm feeling pretty good about the PP right about now, with the S&P down around 7.71% so far this year and the PP slightly up! It seems that it gains slow and ste...
by Tom
Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:36 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: HBPP component predictions for 2016
Replies: 21
Views: 6556

Re: HBPP component predictions for 2016

My gut says gold, which is precisely whey I'm going to not say gold and go with bonds.  Bonds is what I'm most terrified about tanking - and is therefore most likely to do well.  Things tend to never turn out in the way that would make sense.
by Tom
Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rate Hike
Replies: 6
Views: 1610

Rate Hike

Fed released decision to raise rates .25.  Stocks, bonds and gold are all up.  We'll see what pans out longer term.  So far, seems the market already built in the loses prior to the decision.
by Tom
Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:32 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Depressed
Replies: 39
Views: 9255

Re: Depressed

Isn't that the premise of the PP? Yes.  If you're having a rough time with this year's performance, just keep in mind that every prior down year has been followed by a double-digit (positive) year. I second this.  It seems to me that next year could be a volatile one - and that could be good for th...
by Tom
Fri Oct 16, 2015 1:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP is once again positive YTD
Replies: 216
Views: 33932

Re: PP is once again positive YTD

I'm down 1.13% still  >:(  I was going to ask how that's possible, but I added a substantial amount on 1/12 when TLT was up to $131 from $125.92 at the start of the year.  I'm guessing that's what did it.
by Tom
Fri Oct 09, 2015 12:02 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Brokerage Firm as Your Bank
Replies: 20
Views: 9640

Re: Brokerage Firm as Your Bank

I'm all set up with my debit and credit card and have all my bills switched over to this account now.  Only thing I'm waiting on is my wife's credit card and our checks.  But so far so good - has really simplified things already and I haven't noticed a difference from using a regular bank.
by Tom
Fri Oct 09, 2015 11:41 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP End of Year Predictions
Replies: 6
Views: 1678

Re: PP End of Year Predictions

We're not really going to all of this trouble for a 1-2% gain, are we? You could make a prediction, use a different strategy or say nothing you know.  It's not that much trouble and the market hasn't been great as a whole this year, not just the PP and it's one freaking year.  This thread isn't mea...
by Tom
Fri Oct 09, 2015 10:38 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP End of Year Predictions
Replies: 6
Views: 1678

PP End of Year Predictions

We have two and a half months left to the year.  Any predictions on where the PP will stand come end of year?

I'm going to stick my neck out and optimistically gamble that after a lackluster and then somewhat bumpy year it will still end up slightly positive in the 1-2% range.
by Tom
Tue Oct 06, 2015 4:38 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The value of physical gold
Replies: 130
Views: 18772

Re: The value of physical gold

I Shrugged wrote: Does every thread have to devolve into the same debate by the same people?
Apparently.
by Tom
Mon Oct 05, 2015 10:12 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tighter Rebalancing Bands For Low-Return Environment?
Replies: 9
Views: 2840

Re: Tighter Rebalancing Bands For Low-Return Environment?

I think everyone on here is pretty much in agreement that we are in a low-return environment and may be so for at least another several years going forward. Bonds and stocks could both move up from these levels but it's harder for them to make a major move, one that would push them up to 35% of a p...