Search found 1949 matches

by Tyler
Wed Nov 18, 2020 10:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 80/20 VTI/IAU for my 17YO
Replies: 13
Views: 439

Re: 80/20 VTI/IAU for my 17YO

Well done, Budd. You should be very proud.

Solid portfolio, BTW. It's nice to see young investors appreciate the value of commodities.

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by Tyler
Mon Nov 09, 2020 9:59 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1425
Views: 299205

Re: Stock scream room

If you think stocks are exciting today, take a look at small cap value. 8)
by Tyler
Sun Nov 08, 2020 3:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 5% guaranteed vs PP Results
Replies: 16
Views: 794

Re: 5% guaranteed vs PP Results

The Permanent Portfolio has consistently produced (with no sign of fading) a real return of 4-5% a year over every 20-year period since 1970. I'll take that over the 5% nominal.

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by Tyler
Sun Nov 01, 2020 2:43 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?
Replies: 44
Views: 2332

Re: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?

ahhrunforthehills wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 1:46 pm
You are speculating that Bretton Woods was not a massive contributing factor in the backtest data.

Love your thought process and contribution, but that part is not speculation. ;)

https://portfoliocharts.com/2020/08/21/ ... d/#returns
by Tyler
Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:33 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Signing Off - Peace, Out
Replies: 33
Views: 935

Re: Signing Off - Peace, Out

Just want to say I value your contributions, KBG.

Take a break, be happy, and check back in after the election. Politics wears me out, too, and hopefully things will calm down by then.
by Tyler
Mon Oct 19, 2020 5:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?
Replies: 27
Views: 478

Re: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?

I think Vinny is right...he's lost support since 2016 and hasn't gained any to speak of. Correct me if I'm wrong, but that math doesn't add up to a win. Elections are not a zero-sum game. It may be true that Trump lost some support since 2016. Judging from overall enthusiasm, it can also be true th...
by Tyler
Mon Oct 19, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?
Replies: 27
Views: 478

Re: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?

As an aside, I do my best not to get too caught up in the emotional side of politics. Sharing facts so that people can make their own educated decisions is more my thing, but even then I don't have the energy or desire to participate in a big political debate. So I'm glad to pitch in periodically, b...
by Tyler
Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:57 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?
Replies: 27
Views: 478

Re: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?

Ok, I read some of the stories. It seems he tried multiple times to leverage access to his Dad. Is there anywhere where there's a response/email from Joe saying "yeah, I'm in kind of trail?" I've seen no claim that Joe was ever directly on the incriminating emails. But there are emails where Hunter...
by Tyler
Mon Oct 19, 2020 12:57 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?
Replies: 27
Views: 478

Re: Will he be able to keep this up for the next two weeks?

I have a friend who has said the laptop is 100% genuine, multiple times. All I've read is the one Breitbart story tech linked. Can I ask someone for a link to a reputable (I don't care if right leaning) story detailing how it is known genuine? Here's what I understand so far: Direct evidence: - The...
by Tyler
Fri Oct 16, 2020 8:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Dueling town halls tomorrow evening
Replies: 50
Views: 813

Re: Dueling town halls tomorrow evening

I haven't watched the whole thing, but Biden's performance has me scratching my head. For the longest time, the conventional wisdom among Trump supporters was that Biden was a completely incoherent dementia patient that would be stumbling all over himself, unable to construct or maintain any logic ...
by Tyler
Thu Oct 15, 2020 3:27 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Dueling town halls tomorrow evening
Replies: 50
Views: 813

Re: Dueling town halls tomorrow evening

In related news, C-span just suspended the guy who was previously scheduled to moderate the cancelled second debate.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/c-span ... ing-hacked
by Tyler
Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?
Replies: 44
Views: 2332

Re: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?

Thanks for the link. Even if I don't always agree with the conclusions, it's good to see people talking about the Permanent Portfolio. I could talk about several points in terms of Permanent Portfolio reasoning (seriously -- please don't swap treasuries for munis without understanding counter-party ...