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by MachineGhost
Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:01 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: All Things Permanent Health
Replies: 74
Views: 24887

Re: All Things Permanent Health

Watson offers a cognitive computing approach to diagnosis, whereas CrowdMed harnesses the collective intelligence of actual humans. AI and machine learning-based systems like Watson cannot yet interact with patients or make sense of the type of medical case data that our human Medical Detectives ca...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: MachineGhost's Research Resort
Replies: 218
Views: 54750

Re: MachineGhost's Research Resort

Thanks to dutchtraffic for indirectly referencing these new study results.

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by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:50 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

dutchtraffic wrote:The drawdown can never be higher than buy and hold :)
Why does your chart (first one) show it higher then?
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:49 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

You know, if you had posted this recent study "proving" your assertions in your thread, we could have avoided this squabble:

http://www.cboe.com/micro/buywrite/wils ... -years.pdf

Because this is significant new information.
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:41 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

Your graph is selling ATM calls, not OTM, big difference. My bad. I was also thinking of naked not covered. However, do note that in your chart the maximum drawdown is MUCH, MUCH larger than the S&P 500. If the risk/reward is better then I say go for it, otherwise you're just getting a little bit e...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:28 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

It should lower volatility AND increase returns, we're not talking about writing ATM calls, there is enough upside room left. Nonsense. Selling volatility does NOT lower volatility in the long-run . You are making a anti-Black Swan bet. Moreover, a 10% allocation doesn't increase returns: http://s1...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:14 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

I made a topic about this but nobody seems to pick up on this. http://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=8723 There's just nothing to say. It does nothing for risk control and it breaks the risk parity. It's just a Prosperity enhancement like many other possibilities, except its ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 9:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

IDrinkBloodLOL wrote:
MachineGhost wrote:Why are you obsessed that those with higher incomes (i.e. job creators and capitalists that do more for the economy than you ever will)
HAHAHAHAHAHA
???
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:43 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

The thing that I like the most about the PP is that it reacts to the real market, not the one that pundits think we have. It's quite possible the current increase in bond yields is only a blip. When the yields go up and stay up, then I'll believe that the economic environment is truly changing. No ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:41 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 91
Views: 37225

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

One strategy that I was surprised that never gained traction here was selling calls and puts as a way to boost returns. It seems like there should be a way devise some sort of algorithm around the rebalancing bands that gives an indication of what level to sell calls and puts. With highly volatile ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:24 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!
Replies: 23
Views: 8320

Re: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!

Where I live (West Coast of Florida), if you go to the mall on a weekend it's hard to find a place to park. Over in Orlando where they have all the outlet malls it's even worse. There have been times when I've had to leave because no parking space was available. That's materialistic Baby Boomers fo...