Search found 10054 matches

by MachineGhost
Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:01 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: All Things Permanent Health
Replies: 86
Views: 26707

Re: All Things Permanent Health

Watson offers a cognitive computing approach to diagnosis, whereas CrowdMed harnesses the collective intelligence of actual humans. AI and machine learning-based systems like Watson cannot yet interact with patients or make sense of the type of medical case data that our human Medical Detectives ca...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: MachineGhost's Research Resort
Replies: 218
Views: 58169

Re: MachineGhost's Research Resort

Thanks to dutchtraffic for indirectly referencing these new study results.

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by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:50 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

dutchtraffic wrote:The drawdown can never be higher than buy and hold :)
Why does your chart (first one) show it higher then?
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:49 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

You know, if you had posted this recent study "proving" your assertions in your thread, we could have avoided this squabble:

http://www.cboe.com/micro/buywrite/wils ... -years.pdf

Because this is significant new information.
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:41 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

Your graph is selling ATM calls, not OTM, big difference. My bad. I was also thinking of naked not covered. However, do note that in your chart the maximum drawdown is MUCH, MUCH larger than the S&P 500. If the risk/reward is better then I say go for it, otherwise you're just getting a little bit e...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:28 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

It should lower volatility AND increase returns, we're not talking about writing ATM calls, there is enough upside room left. Nonsense. Selling volatility does NOT lower volatility in the long-run . You are making a anti-Black Swan bet. Moreover, a 10% allocation doesn't increase returns: http://s1...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 3:14 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

I made a topic about this but nobody seems to pick up on this. http://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=8723 There's just nothing to say. It does nothing for risk control and it breaks the risk parity. It's just a Prosperity enhancement like many other possibilities, except its ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 9:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

IDrinkBloodLOL wrote:
MachineGhost wrote:Why are you obsessed that those with higher incomes (i.e. job creators and capitalists that do more for the economy than you ever will)
HAHAHAHAHAHA
???
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:43 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

The thing that I like the most about the PP is that it reacts to the real market, not the one that pundits think we have. It's quite possible the current increase in bond yields is only a blip. When the yields go up and stay up, then I'll believe that the economic environment is truly changing. No ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:41 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

One strategy that I was surprised that never gained traction here was selling calls and puts as a way to boost returns. It seems like there should be a way devise some sort of algorithm around the rebalancing bands that gives an indication of what level to sell calls and puts. With highly volatile ...
by MachineGhost
Fri Nov 18, 2016 8:24 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!
Replies: 25
Views: 8846

Re: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!

Where I live (West Coast of Florida), if you go to the mall on a weekend it's hard to find a place to park. Over in Orlando where they have all the outlet malls it's even worse. There have been times when I've had to leave because no parking space was available. That's materialistic Baby Boomers fo...
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 10:05 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

For the past year or so I have been saying here that Tight Money is impossible to imagine now. Therefore throwing the 25% cash into question. I don't agree that it is the same as the Liquidity Crisis. That was deflation. IMO. But they're both the same thing. Cash becomes more valuable relative to a...
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 9:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

Yes - I'm referring to Congress not raising the debt ceiling. I suspect the Tea Partiers will continue to try to prevent this, not to get concessions from the "normal" Republicans but because they're zealots who believe increasing the federal debt is inherently evil. The question is whether the rat...
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 7:24 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

On the other hand, I'm skeptical of the PP's ability to withstand an idiot congress led by an ignoramus who together seem like the perfect storm that may end up with the US defaulting on Treasuries and/or the US dollar losing its worldwide reserve currency status. Are you referring to Congress not ...
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 6:17 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

I had a spark of inspiration this morning and am mulling over a fix for the PP's Achilles' Heel. What most of us didn't realize until just this very atomic moment is that "Tight Money" is the same thing as "Liquidity Crisis" aka 2008. The PP got destroyed in 2008 before just barely recovering on a c...
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 11:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trump's Effect on the PP
Replies: 88
Views: 39417

Re: Trump's Effect on the PP

Use trend following on T-Bonds and stop worrying about it.
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 11:47 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Government [Non]Accountability Scream Room
Replies: 7
Views: 3199

Re: Government [Non]Accountability Scream Room

Here's a U.S. Pension Tracker showing market/acturial pension debt/household, capita, etc.

http://us.pensiontracker.org/
by MachineGhost
Thu Nov 17, 2016 11:14 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Government [Non]Accountability Scream Room
Replies: 7
Views: 3199

Re: Government [Non]Accountability Scream Room

Get ready for more emigration! Only the poor and super-rich politicians will be left behind. The series of tax and fee hikes pushed by Emanuel and approved by aldermen adds up to about $1,692 a year once they take full effect. Here's a breakdown: *About $994 in property tax hikes for City Hall and C...
by MachineGhost
Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:49 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: P2P Lending
Replies: 75
Views: 34697

Re: P2P Lending

U.S. Consumers Are Increasingly Defaulting on Loans Made Online

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... ne-lenders
by MachineGhost
Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!
Replies: 25
Views: 8846

Re: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!

Good riddance to those malls! Online shopping is not just the future, it's the present. Introverts like me are never going to go hang out in a mall with sleazy sales people when we can just add it to the cart. It seems like the blacks with their pants backwards, down to their knees and/or chains da...
by MachineGhost
Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:03 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: ACA (Obamacare) v2.0
Replies: 26
Views: 7548

Re: ACA (Obamacare) v2.0

What's the point you're trying to make with this graph? It apparently shows the average cost of employer sponsored policies, not policies from the exchanges. The rate of growth is (approximately) 100% from 2000 to 2008, and more like 50% from 2008 to 2015. Is your point that ACA is a good thing sin...
by MachineGhost
Wed Nov 16, 2016 3:07 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: ACA (Obamacare) v2.0
Replies: 26
Views: 7548

Re: ACA (Obamacare) v2.0

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by MachineGhost
Wed Nov 16, 2016 12:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!
Replies: 25
Views: 8846

Re: Big, Open, Green, Wasted, Space!

Dead malls are popping up all over the states, particularly in the Midwest, where economic decline has sped up the “going out of business” process. This map, put together by a Dead Malls Enthusiasts Facebook group, shows that well. As Americans are faced with multiple shopping options and more stor...