Search found 1179 matches

by Hal
Wed Jun 22, 2022 4:21 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
Replies: 171
Views: 7455

Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5

FWIW.... If I had my time again, I would go with a 50/50 Global Bond(Hedged)/Global Share portfolio with Gold added to minimise the volatility. Ben Graham got through the Great Depression and recommended the 50/50 allocation. Only difference being for most of his life they were on a Gold Standard Is...
by Hal
Tue Jun 21, 2022 3:46 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1173
Views: 347029

Re: YouTube Junkie

B29 flight to Commemorative Air Force Headquarters at Dallas Executive Airport.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YlgOAk7x7SE
by Hal
Wed Jun 15, 2022 2:48 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Rickards on Victoria, we're famous!
Replies: 2
Views: 115

Rickards on Victoria, we're famous!

Excerpt from Jim Rickards newsletter re "The Great Leader" :P Nowhere was the fascist impulse more on display than in the state of Victoria in Australia, particularly its main city of Melbourne. Innocent citizens were arrested just for driving in cars alone. Civilians were scooped up off the street ...
by Hal
Fri Jun 10, 2022 7:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
Replies: 135
Views: 12162

Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"

Just to make you feel better (or less worse)

Check out the YTD in the LHS column. All the portfolios are in the red.
If it were just the PP in the red it would be a different matter....

https://portfolioslab.com/lazy-portfolios
by Hal
Thu Jun 09, 2022 3:47 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: BelangP's latest
Replies: 2
Views: 155

BelangP's latest

by Hal
Sun Jun 05, 2022 8:45 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How much can you not afford to lose?
Replies: 35
Views: 1010

Re: How much can you not afford to lose?

In retrospect, this seems quite naieve Count me as naive as well ;D Waayyy back.... people used to save and not expect their investments to pay for their retirement instead of working. if "IF" you are a genius at speculating then having a lot in the VP when you are young may make sense. Family memb...
by Hal
Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
Replies: 171
Views: 7455

Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5

Alternatively, we could look at the PP as the retirement account. Stashing victories from the VP to the PP. In other words, as you reach retirement your ratio of VP/PP approaches zero. +1. Well said !! And if you are unfortunate enough to get ill prior to your planned retirement date, you have some...
by Hal
Wed Jun 01, 2022 4:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
Replies: 171
Views: 7455

Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5

I think a nice little more conservative portfolio for say 40+ in age is a 50/25/25 stocks/bonds/gold. The stock component is what matters and is your risk to reward asset (i.e. dial it up or down to taste). The second 2/3rds doesn't really matter all that much so long as you keep at least one at 10...
by Hal
Tue May 31, 2022 6:18 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is not an investment
Replies: 21
Views: 999

Gold is not an investment

Plus interesting insights on the value of backtesting.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rbvu7eSnAnk
by Hal
Tue May 31, 2022 5:19 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 31
Views: 1201

Re: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")

Given my wife's conservativism, we may well land closer to a Desert portfolio by lowering the US TSM holding and upping the Tnotes. <snip> BTW how the hell did y'all end up finally settling on your final AA? When you finally ran out of cash to aveage into the market? Or is the fact you're on this f...
by Hal
Sun May 29, 2022 7:04 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 31
Views: 1201

Re: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")

Hi Joypog, You may find this interview interesting. Unfortunately can't remember where they discussed REITS and Chris Coles(?) opinion. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JwS824WRflI Have you thought about having a 40% core portfolio of the PP as you have the individual components already, and the othe...
by Hal
Thu May 19, 2022 4:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Phone - connected to keyboard / monitor
Replies: 29
Views: 1345

Re: Phone - connected to keyboard / monitor

Xan wrote:
Wed May 18, 2022 8:46 pm
Amanda, what is the airspeed velocity of an unladen swallow?
An African swallow or a European swallow? ;D
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8Rn_f75UHs
by Hal
Tue May 17, 2022 3:18 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Random observation
Replies: 11
Views: 659

Re: Random observation

I Shrugged wrote:
Mon May 16, 2022 9:24 pm
But, in 2008-09, corporates got killed while treasuries went up. Exactly why HB chose the treasuries.
Yet the Max drawdown for the two allocations are within 1/2%. Am I missing something?
by Hal
Mon May 16, 2022 11:49 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Random observation
Replies: 11
Views: 659

Random observation

For those with no access to LTT's in their retirement account.
by Hal
Sat May 14, 2022 5:52 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP without cash
Replies: 2
Views: 261

Re: PP without cash

If I were going cashless, personally this would be my approach.
1. 50/50 Stock/Bonds as per Ben Graham
2. Add Gold for minimum volatility as per BelangP

Already had the allocations memorised for the Pacific Peso (AUD) 8)
Edit: Results for USA 24% Gold, 38% TSM, 38% LTT
by Hal
Sat May 14, 2022 7:43 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 31
Views: 1201

Re: The Desert Looking Glass portfolio?

unfortunately the link just takes me to Morningstar's front page? Could you repost it? As for the pension...I won't vest for a couple more years, so I wonder how my psychology will shift once I know that I've got it in the bag. Even though the percentage is small at first just knowing its coming wi...
by Hal
Sat May 14, 2022 2:30 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 31
Views: 1201

Re: The Desert Looking Glass portfolio?

Here's something to think about seeing you will have a government pension. https://socialize.morningstar.com/NewSocialize/asp/FullConv.asp?forumId=F100000015&convId=190913&minReplySeq=41 If you took John Bogles advice, you would have a much higher share (& gold?) allocation than what you would norma...
by Hal
Thu May 12, 2022 3:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing advice needed
Replies: 26
Views: 1039

Re: Rebalancing advice needed

Don't live in the US, so not familiar with your tax laws.
This may be useful though -> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmuh1fvHIYg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhszdAX9Leg
by Hal
Tue May 10, 2022 4:59 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The old Stable Investing website
Replies: 0
Views: 169

The old Stable Investing website

Just re-reading. Posted incase anyone hasn't seen it.

https://web.archive.org/web/20160319123 ... icles.html
by Hal
Tue May 10, 2022 4:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP
Replies: 41
Views: 7671

Re: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP

Thanks Mathjak.

Here's the portfolio visualizer on your allocation.
Blue is the Mathjak portfolio, red the PP.

ps: What was your rationale for choosing those assets and percentages?
by Hal
Mon May 09, 2022 11:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP is Totally Obsolete!!!
Replies: 63
Views: 4715

Re: PP is Totally Obsolete!!!

Now if only I could find a way to do the same thing for food, our last variable monthly expense! Growing a lot of it myself has been a failure every time I've tried it. What the desert giveth in photons for free energy, she taketh away in dry barren soil. Hi Pointedstick, Try a wicking bed. My brot...
by Hal
Sat May 07, 2022 7:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Free book
Replies: 7
Views: 313

Re: Free book

.. Just finished Belanger's, … How did you like it? Does Belanger belong or not on my shelf? O0 Looking forward to Vil's review as well. For my part, I thought the book was good, especially the analysis of the issues. However, for the solution I must disagree somewhat. To base the recommended alloc...
by Hal
Thu May 05, 2022 2:51 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)
Replies: 7
Views: 801

Re: William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)

You will probably find this five part article interesting then.
https://www.idiosyncraticwhisk.com/search?q=bonds
by Hal
Sun May 01, 2022 6:00 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Overseas Gold? 2022
Replies: 9
Views: 380

Overseas Gold? 2022

> Australia, which thru Covid has shown itself to be authoritarian and insane Not the country of Crocodile Dundees I was told it was. https://texasbulliondepository.gov/ Also consider a rental prop for inflation protection, if you like to stay busy. But your gold will be safe with us.... ::) https:...
by Hal
Fri Apr 29, 2022 9:07 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Overseas Gold? 2022
Replies: 9
Views: 380

Overseas Gold? 2022

In another thread, ( joypog wrote ) On the gold front... moved to this new thread in the Gold § \DS 🚧 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ps: That's why I like the GoldSmith portfolio. Instead of seeing the individual assets classes swing widely, you just see the pr...