While I don't follow the US market much, it seems both bonds and shares are rather elevated in price. As I couldn't find the 30y bond price, imagine you have 50% 10 year bonds, 25% each shares & gold. Thoughts?

But what if I step back to get a bit more perspective? What if I look at the preceding 13-year period (late 1997 to late 2010)? Over that time window, the stock market had a meager CAGR of 2.7% (vs. 7.3% for the PP) and also had a stomach-churning negative return of -36.2% in 2008. The picture star...

Having said that, I am fed up reading FI books, given my performance I haven't fully understood the ones I have read and chances are very thin that I will ever understand them. Actually, last book I read on financial topics was the one written by BelangP and with a light sense of irony - I guess hi...

Hmm...

Movie was Logans Run around 1976
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USADM5Gk9Gs

Honourable mention to first Mad Max movie. Filmed near where I lived after leaving home.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uiRd5Kcl2GU

I recently purchased a Playstation 3 off of Facebook Marketplace for $55, and am now playing some vintage games. This has awakened a bit of an itch to buy some more vintage tech stuff and relive some old memories. I might look for an old Pentium 4 system next. You may wish to check out these sites:...

Well.... consider you went off and purchased Vanguards most conservative Life Strategy Fund instead
https://investor.vanguard.com/investmen ... asix#price

Plan B: Get a dog to distract you! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvPVQx_Jnt8

Well, we are happy with the pet rock

HB stated in his radio show, the reason he chose Gold is that it is the second most popular form of money after the USD. The rationale being is if people lost confidence in the USD, they would move to the next most popular money, Gold. So assuming Gold is not accessible, I would expect the best Gol...

HB stated in his radio show, the reason he chose Gold is that it is the second most popular form of money after the USD. The rationale being is if people lost confidence in the USD, they would move to the next most popular money, Gold. So assuming Gold is not accessible, I would expect the best Gold...

What were your biggest Permanent Portfolio mistakes? Hmm.... Thinking that Gold in an Australian PP would perform in the same manner as Gold in a US PP. 1. Recommend holding US assets as well for non-US PP holders. 2. If I knew of the PP concept when I was young, then hold Shares/Gold and gradually...

Good advice from Sophie IMHO.... Maddy - if you want to switch to a Desert Portfolio-like structure (30% stocks, 10% gold except I'd recommend closer to 20%, and the rest in a 10 year Treasury ladder), you'd be fine over the long run and it might be much simpler to deal with. Alternatively, consider...

While we are on the topic is surprises me that we don't have more members of this forum that are gamers, given that it seems like we are mostly male. Is it a generational thing? Heh, Heh, More like a historical thing :) Games available when I was a teenager https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uiAxCBjSZ...

Mountaineer wrote: ↑

Sun Jul 09, 2023 7:27 am

Hal, did you by any chance play in the movie 2001? Inquiring bots want to know!

I'm sorry Mountaineer, I'm afraid I can't do that....

But this is my favourite scene!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpwvJzcfL1w

I guess it’s a symptom of a larger phenomenon: the forum is a ghost town. Personally, I prefer a forum with infrequent, well reasoned and thoughtful posts to one with incessant arguments about trivia..... Of course, frequent , well reasoned posts would be even better! ;D ps: For infrequent posts =>...

Could we possibly revisit this question again? What (reasonably plausible) scenario could make my 1.8 percent bonds worth hanging onto--keeping in mind that I won't live nearly long enough for them to reach maturity? Could you hedge your bond holdings with some gold? At the start of this video Bela...

I’m just saying, yes, base admissions on merit. +1 However, I am a little surprised Universities in the US would actively discourage sections of the student population from studying. The profit motive in Australian Universities is such that I could see them enrolling a potted plant if they could ch...

Screenshot says it all.
PS: I believe BelangP uses the WDIV ETF which was launched mid 2013. Anyone know for sure?

Interesting interview => https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2afXagEgRQw 00:00 Introduction 00:28 Current State of Affairs in Washington 02:30 Government Accounting Trickery 05:08 Debt Ceiling and Defaulting on the Debt 10:32 Holding the Population Hostage 14:07 Constitutional Right to More Gov't Debt 2...

My question is, for the purposes of financial planning, how do you estimate your future investment returns? The whole thing just seems like a crapshoot, which I guess it is at some level. Personally, I just take the Baseline Return as detailed here => https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/long-term...

Out of curiosity, I compared the Weird Portfolio to one I'd played around with for some time (I call it 25s, or Golden Quarters), a hybrid of the GB and PP, but with more stock allocation, it is 25% TSM, 25% SCV, 25% Gold, 25% ITT. Any thoughts? Would suggest you try modelling the Quarters Portfoli...

From ZeroHedge

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/repor ... esolutions

Just had this emailed to me today. Nice touch with the voice over guy...
https://www.facebook.com/DangerDanAndre ... 489161231/

On second thought, is there a particular reason why BelangP uses a high dividend index fund Paul explained his reasoning in one of these podcasts https://www.fundyourretirement.com/?s=Paul+Belanger Unfortunately they changed the website layout, so I don't have a link to the particular talk anymore....

Just playing around with backtests. BelangP's model doesn't look too bad. You would have to model it with a high dividend ETF that went through a period where Bonds performed well though...

Mathjaks observation from a Gold perspective.