Search found 65 matches
- Fri May 03, 2024 11:19 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 50
- Views: 15934
Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
long term bonds and if short term bonds funds were used , them too, plus a negative year for equities in 2022. like i said years ago , rising rates would be kryptonite to the pp Aren't they a killer of any portfolio that heavily relies on nominal bonds? Many people over at the Bogleheads forum were...
- Fri May 03, 2024 9:22 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 50
- Views: 15934
Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
It's mostly the long bonds' fault, isn't it?mathjak107 wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2024 7:52 am from 2021 it’s just about been flat
100k has gained about 1200 bucks from jan 2021 to april 30th 1 2024 . a .38% cagr
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... SUlrdyQOt3
- Fri May 03, 2024 9:11 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
- Replies: 8
- Views: 223
Re: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
As I've stated in the other thread, this is the human norm - working poor finance the idle owners. On the flip side, owners create firms that employ the working poor. The janitors at MSFT never had to incur the opportunity cost of studying information technology, but they benefit from Bill Gate's p...
- Thu May 02, 2024 12:54 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
- Replies: 8
- Views: 223
Re: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
As I've stated in the other thread, this is the human norm - working poor finance the idle owners. On the flip side, owners create firms that employ the working poor. The janitors at MSFT never had to incur the opportunity cost of studying information technology, but they benefit from Bill Gate's p...
- Thu May 02, 2024 3:16 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
- Replies: 8
- Views: 223
Re: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
Maybe this is a weird tangent that no one sane would associate with your initial post, but there's no forum rule against mental illness, so... There once was a civilization where: the ruler was considered a living god, whose daily activities controlled all social and natural phenomena, and whose goo...
- Wed May 01, 2024 4:40 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
- Replies: 8
- Views: 223
Re: Disconnecting productivity from consumption
As I've stated in the other thread, this is the human norm - working poor finance the idle owners. Moreover, modern economy could not function without it - when the issue of new debt stops for even a minute, the economy contracts and the poor suffer even more. Ancient societies used to either hold a...
- Tue Apr 30, 2024 3:36 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New interview with Craig Rowland
- Replies: 55
- Views: 4223
Re: New interview with Craig Rowland
But I assume a passive squire would not get very far.dualstow wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2024 11:54 amArthurPooh wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2024 10:42 am Yes, exactly. Medieval peasants couldn't just frugal themselves into becoming knights,
But squires could “feudal” themselves into becoming knights
- Tue Apr 30, 2024 10:42 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New interview with Craig Rowland
- Replies: 55
- Views: 4223
Re: New interview with Craig Rowland
By ‘switch sides’ you mean graduate from a serf to a nobleman? Yes, exactly. Medieval peasants couldn't just frugal themselves into becoming knights, and actual slaves/serfs in many human societies had no chance of changing their situation at all. In contrast, in last several decades there were pro...
- Mon Apr 29, 2024 3:55 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New interview with Craig Rowland
- Replies: 55
- Views: 4223
Re: New interview with Craig Rowland
I still can’t get over the idea that one can generate wealth- ok, can generate income , from interest and dividends. Of course I understand the concept. You’re renting out your money, like a landlord rents out living space. But…I didn’t sweat for it. And I didn’t invent anything. I’m not complainin...
- Fri Apr 26, 2024 8:59 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all
- Replies: 30
- Views: 24949
Re: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all
Thanks for the well-wishes, Hal. You always post the best links.
- Tue Apr 23, 2024 12:38 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all
- Replies: 30
- Views: 24949
Re: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all
For anyone who might have been interested in my thoughts here and on the other thread : the final allocation we have decided on and are investing in right now is: 50% developed country stocks (in which 25% large and mid-cap and 25% small cap), 25% cash, 25% gold. Minor details still to be ironed out...
Re: Taxes
What are some examples of these bad decisions?Pointedstick wrote: ↑Sat Apr 13, 2024 11:08 am So maybe this whole "we pay half of our money to the government!" meme is a bunch of baloney pushed by people trying to make you mad and turn off your brain so you'll make bad decisions that just so happen to serve their purposes.
Re: Taxes
And yet people still roll their eyes when I talk about colonizing Antarctica...Jack Jones wrote: ↑Tue Apr 09, 2024 4:36 am When born under such conditions, it seems like non-participation and retreating to the frontier is the best you can do.
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 12:16 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Occupied Land acknowledgements
- Replies: 16
- Views: 1298
Re: Occupied Land acknowledgements
I can't believe I was vaguely aware of this song (as in I recognize the tune) yet I've never associated it with Australia or any political themes. "Give it back" is a quite creepy line. And it seems somewhat grotesque to me that such a song is sung by a guy who looks like elderly Reinhard...
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 12:08 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Zimbabwe announces return to the gold standard
- Replies: 5
- Views: 507
Re: Zimbabwe announces return to the gold standard
Is it redeemable for USD and gold, or what? Apparently it's not redeemable for gold. It's supposedly "backed" by USD and gold. I think after the Zim dollar failed there have been two supposedly USD-pegged currency systems already and they did not stay pegged for too long. This seems like ...
- Sat Apr 06, 2024 2:17 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why the big move in gold?
- Replies: 86
- Views: 78909
Re: Why the big move in gold?
But back to my main point. Looking for a reliable site for the "real" rate of inflation, not the official CPI-U rate (which I would be heartened to hear is actually accurate). An alternative explanation of the CPI not reflecting the true inflation rate is the suppression of purchasing pow...
- Fri Apr 05, 2024 3:52 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investments Versus Liquidity
- Replies: 3
- Views: 411
Re: Investments Versus Liquidity
Lets consider investments to be money we give to other people in the hope that it grows, and liquidity to be the money we set aside to ensure we can meet our day to day obligations “whatever the future brings”. From this lens, stocks are investments and bonds, cash, and gold are about liquidity, ri...
- Fri Apr 05, 2024 3:44 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Occupied Land acknowledgements
- Replies: 16
- Views: 1298
Re: Occupied Land acknowledgements
I can't believe I was vaguely aware of this song (as in I recognize the tune) yet I've never associated it with Australia or any political themes. "Give it back" is a quite creepy line. And it seems somewhat grotesque to me that such a song is sung by a guy who looks like elderly Reinhard...
- Fri Apr 05, 2024 12:54 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Occupied Land acknowledgements
- Replies: 16
- Views: 1298
Re: Occupied Land acknowledgements
When did acknowledging that your institution is on “Located on Occupied and Unceeded XYZ Ancestral Homelands” become a thing? Is it anything other than empty virtue signaling? I have yet to encounter this. What are examples of this? From Perth Mint's website: Acknowledgement of Country: We acknowle...
- Sun Mar 31, 2024 4:47 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: BTC in the PP
- Replies: 239
- Views: 129550
Re: BTC in the PP
You have a "deep storage" multi-sig wallet that you almost never touch that you treat like a vault, the keys held by multiple professional trusted third parties that will only provide access to you. You have a self-custodied wallet that you treat as an account for the purpose of making an...
- Sat Mar 30, 2024 4:52 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: BTC in the PP
- Replies: 239
- Views: 129550
Re: BTC in the PP
I have an counterargument to the whole Bitcoin Standard narrative that I have never seen stated online and yet it seems like it should be fairly obvious. Warning: this will be somewhat long (if still shorter than the Moldbug article posted above) and I will talk about gold. A lot. First, let's state...
- Sat Mar 30, 2024 1:12 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: A history lesson for our crypto trolls
- Replies: 24
- Views: 5079
Re: A history lesson for our crypto trolls
What are the best ways for those fleeing Ukraine or China to move wealth In case of Ukraine, it's buying $100 bills (along with other hard currencies) for any price, hiding them well and hoping you still have some left after Slovakian/Polish/Hungarian/Romanian border guards are done with you. You w...
- Sun Mar 24, 2024 1:37 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Private equity
- Replies: 2
- Views: 933
Re: Private equity
How can a regular person even invest in private equity? I don't know about the UK, but if I'm correct in the US you need to be an accredited investor (high net worth and/or high income) to be allowed to invest in these funds.
- Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Moonshots
- Replies: 20
- Views: 8891
- Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:33 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Small Cap Value vs US Total Stock Market
- Replies: 19
- Views: 7015
Re: Small Cap Value vs US Total Stock Market
Buffett can tour a factory and get insider info. He defines value as great companies that are underpriced. Guru quants eg Asness & Arnott define value as bad/underperforming based on a few metrics like price to book. We are competing with millions of investors poring over public data online, da...