Search found 692 matches
- Thu Apr 02, 2026 6:42 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Follow-up Question: 🤔📈 Thoughts on holding Commodities ONLY in a Variable Portfolio?
- Replies: 9
- Views: 2291
Re: Follow-up Question: 🤔📈 Thoughts on holding Commodities ONLY in a Variable Portfolio?
Looking at a 4x25 PP where 10 of the 25 stock allocation were allocated to bitcoin (or a 3x leveraged tech stock), synthetic data from 1932, and the results look impressive. More reward (1.5% annualized more), increased volatility (similar Sharpe Ratio) but where yearly drawdowns were still relative...
- Thu Mar 26, 2026 3:43 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Follow-up Question: 🤔📈 Thoughts on holding Commodities ONLY in a Variable Portfolio?
- Replies: 9
- Views: 2291
Re: Follow-up Question: 🤔📈 Thoughts on holding Commodities ONLY in a Variable Portfolio?
Hi we can say that BTC from 0-5% is VARIABLE PORTFOLIO VP ::) But where a VP - with no fiat/stocks/Treasury's could yield similar characteristics to a PP. US assets and Treasury's are losing their luster, many in the EU/UK and elsewhere are starting to realise that Russia/China are potentially bett...
- Tue Mar 24, 2026 10:55 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
Russia's Satan 2 came into service in 2023, they have 50 and each can carry 16 independent targetable nuclear warheads, so one could hit 16 different UK major cities. They have a 11,000 mile range and travel at 15,888 mph. If say the UK was individually wiped out then other nations likely would not ...
- Mon Mar 23, 2026 7:59 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My 3x Leveraged Variable Portfolio
- Replies: 5
- Views: 4695
Re: My 3x Leveraged Variable Portfolio
For backtesting purposes you might create your own historic 3x stock yearly returns figures on the basis of borrowing at the start of each year at T-Bills + 2% (or whatever) assumed cost of borrowing. Have $100, borrow another $200 when T-Bill yields are 4%, so assume 6% cost of borrowing, deduct th...
- Mon Mar 23, 2026 6:57 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
So Iran’s missiles can reach the UK? Uh oh Edit: some say they can only do it without a warhead. Russia is aiding Iran, so could supply the missiles and warheads. If a unintercepted warhead did approach the UK that could initiate its own response launch as the likes of Russian Soviet 2's split on a...
- Mon Mar 23, 2026 6:38 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Nowhere to hide?
- Replies: 11
- Views: 2229
Re: Nowhere to hide?
?mathjak107 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 17, 2026 1:04 pm cash doesn’t go up nowhere near what investments go down .
Silver is down something like 20% over the last week, so cash buys 33% more silver than it did a week ago.
- Mon Mar 16, 2026 10:42 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
The middle east provides around 25% of daily barrels of oil. Many producers suppress production - have capacity to supply more especially if/when the price is high. If the Strait was closed, such as due to Iran mining the narrow (difficult to defend) Strait then both the US and Russia could do very ...
- Sat Mar 14, 2026 10:31 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: BTC in the PP
- Replies: 522
- Views: 1108601
Re: BTC in the PP
https://www.capitalspectator.com/is-bitcoin-digital-gold-or-fools-gold-the-markets-still-deciding/ Is Bitcoin Digital Gold or Fool’s Gold? The Market’s Still Deciding There are dedicated forms of digital gold, bitcoin is distinctly different and seems to be being priced similar to a 3x leveraged te...
- Sat Mar 07, 2026 1:58 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
Irony. Russia is supplying intel to Iran to aid targeting US assets. The US has asked Ukraine for help fighting Iranian drones. Trump prefers to lay out a red carpet and a fly-by for Putin but shout at Zelenskyy.
- Sat Mar 07, 2026 7:31 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
Correct me if I am wrong, but I fear one of the few viable options US & Israel do have is to completely obliterate Iran's infrastructure... Needless to repeat my father's advice to never push a possibly dangerous animal in the corner with no chance to escape. It's all or nothing war, I am reall...
- Fri Mar 06, 2026 12:50 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My 3x Leveraged Variable Portfolio
- Replies: 5
- Views: 4695
Re: My 3x Leveraged Variable Portfolio
That's a lot of debt (borrowing for leverage). Perhaps consider just scaling/leveraging the stock PP element alone

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... mn3tk7O7eV

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... mn3tk7O7eV
- Fri Mar 06, 2026 12:24 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
Kill a religious leader during Ramadan and watch the extremist ranks swell to new all time highs, … Trumps spontaneity/irrationality is very dangerous, he's clicking on the doomsday clock to seconds before midnight. Striking during a holiday is really from the Muslim playbook. They’ve been doing it...
- Fri Mar 06, 2026 10:45 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
- Replies: 52
- Views: 18481
Re: U.S. And Israel bomb Iran?
Kill a religious leader during Ramadan and watch the extremist ranks swell to new all time highs, and in addition to de-dollarization promote the development of weapons of mass destruction capable of being deployed within the US - such as biological weapons where even just a small vile less than the...
- Sun Mar 01, 2026 10:14 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
Reconverion of bitcoin back to regular fiat currency is and will become increasingly difficult. Here’s a post from a few months ago: We keep saying "Bitcoin fixes this" but the fiat off-ramp is still broken - are we just early or is this a fundamental problem? https://www.reddit.com/r/Bit...
- Thu Feb 26, 2026 2:26 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP variant using GDE
- Replies: 1
- Views: 3137
- Thu Feb 26, 2026 9:45 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
I should have used a comma
Reconversion of bitcoin back to regular fiat currency is and will become increasingly difficult, wallets even with a small amount of tainted bitcoin may be locked.
Reconversion of bitcoin back to regular fiat currency is and will become increasingly difficult, wallets even with a small amount of tainted bitcoin may be locked.
- Tue Feb 24, 2026 2:10 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
Here is a good new video on Bitcoin from Patrick Boyle: "Bitcoin Is Crashing and Exchanges Freezing Up" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xhrzm4CmpEo Reconverion of bitcoin back to regular fiat currency is and will become increasingly difficult. Wallets even with a small amount of tainted b...
- Tue Feb 24, 2026 2:01 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
Which one you use ? Leveraging? USD trading currency choice. 3USL (trades in USD) instead of 3LUS (that trades in GBP) for instance. Rebalancing the FX element once/year rather than daily adjustments is inclined to be better IMO. Hello 👋🏻 Can you please help with your portfolio for European euro cu...
- Tue Feb 24, 2026 1:58 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
- Replies: 46
- Views: 57559
- Fri Feb 20, 2026 12:24 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1403
- Views: 1960391
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Yes he does indeed O0 At least he hasn’t started any new forever wars. Let’s revisit that in a couple of weeks. Do you not think its another Venezuela II case, build up the fleet to readiness, then a concurrent decapitation of the IRG as and when that becomes a evident possibility rather than outri...
- Fri Feb 20, 2026 12:21 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
- Tue Feb 17, 2026 10:02 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1403
- Views: 1960391
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
What Russia mines of gold and silver is enough to cover the Russian cost of fighting the Ukraine war. The Swiss don't prohibit Russian gold/silver - just 'advise' investors not to buy it, that once refined into good delivery bars can be sold in London. Putin hasn't had to impose conscription, much o...
- Tue Feb 17, 2026 9:20 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
3% is the right number very volatile! only bitcoin no shitcoins which other assets can should we add to VP ? Regards! 8) The PP was devised as a potentially safer alternative to T-Bills Expectations : Stock share prices broadly compare to inflation Gold price broadly compares to inflation Hard cash...
- Tue Feb 17, 2026 5:40 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin in the VP
- Replies: 26
- Views: 16065
Re: Bitcoin in the VP
3% is the right number very volatile! only bitcoin no shitcoins which other assets can should we add to VP ? Regards! 8) The PP was devised as a potentially safer alternative to T-Bills Expectations : Stock share prices broadly compare to inflation Gold price broadly compares to inflation Hard cash...
- Tue Feb 10, 2026 10:23 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP symmetry
- Replies: 0
- Views: 8861
PP symmetry
Data since 1933 for a 4x25 Permanent Portfolio asset allocation where pre 1970 silver was held instead of gold, stock (large cap LC), long term treasury (LTT), T-Bills, PM (precious metal), which might be considered as a portfolio comprised of six 50:50 pairs of assets each pair weighted 16.6%. Meas...