Search found 5 matches

by jreality
Thu Jan 21, 2021 12:32 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?
Replies: 12
Views: 4389

Re: 2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?

The problem with commodities funds is, from what I've seen, is they all seem to lose money over the long haul, likely due to having to roll futures contracts forward. In any year when commodities are up, then for that year it will improve the performance of the overall portfolio, but I somehow doubt...
by jreality
Sat Jan 16, 2021 12:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Mortgage Backed Securities as Part of Bond Allocation?
Replies: 3
Views: 3034

Re: Mortgage Backed Securities as Part of Bond Allocation?

That chart was from the end of 2009 going into 2010 when the economy was starting to recover. I can't find any data on VMBS prior to the end of 2009. BTW I've seen charts of VFIIX where it it did gradually declined almost 9% over a couple years, from Aug 2011 to Sept 2013 (although I don't know what...
by jreality
Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:14 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?
Replies: 12
Views: 4389

Re: 2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?

Actually, Dalio's own hedge fund holds extremely little in bonds according to the 13F filing, so even though he has recommended the "All Seasons" portfolio in the past to the average investor, he doesn't much bonds in his own hedge fund: https://whalewisdom.com/filer/bridgewater-associates...
by jreality
Sun Dec 27, 2020 3:05 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Switching from TLT to TIPS
Replies: 6
Views: 4434

Re: Switching from TLT to TIPS

Go ahead and buy fire insurance from the arsonists. >:D Yes, the cause of inflation (government) gets to set the inflation rate used to determine the payoff on the TIPS. Not very enticing. I see that, for example, Vanguard's VTIP already has a SEC 30 day yield of -1.21% . It states that this exclud...
by jreality
Sun Dec 27, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?
Replies: 12
Views: 4389

2021 bonds percentage for Dalio/Robbins All-Seasons Portfolio?

If Dalio were recommending an All Seasons Portfolio to Robbins right now, using ETFs, to start investing in Jan 2021, would it still have 55% in bonds? If not, then what percentage in bonds, and what percentage of each bond ETF within that percentage? If the percentage in bonds would be reduced belo...