Search found 829 matches

by jalanlong
Thu Jan 25, 2024 5:00 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: I know who I will be voting for President!
Replies: 9
Views: 1647

Re: I know who I will be voting for President!

I know who I will be voting for President. Dean Phillips is so far beyond any present (or recently dropped out) presidential candidate. I cannot believe that someone of his quality is actually running. The two major parties should be ashamed of themselves for each having frontrunners so unworthy of...
by jalanlong
Mon Dec 11, 2023 4:29 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Replies: 62
Views: 263113

Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.

One thing about Texas... most of the knowledge workers are NOT from Texas, even in the oilpatch. The modern Oil & Gas industry is very high tech. At least half of us immigrated to Texas for money and jobs. Texas does a pretty bad job of educating its native sons and daughters when you get right dow...
by jalanlong
Sun Sep 17, 2023 7:20 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: I Thought Gold Would Fare Better in 2022-23
Replies: 63
Views: 100320

Re: I Thought Gold Would Fare Better in 2022-23

https://www.usfunds.com/resource/centra ... r-in-2023/


This is after record purchases in 2022. Are there any reasons to explain these purchases besides them knowing something we don’t know?
by jalanlong
Sun Sep 17, 2023 7:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Mistakes
Replies: 43
Views: 95469

Re: PP Mistakes

I have no regrets going all in on the PP in late 2010 and sticking with it since then. It has had a modest CAGR of 5.0% over that 13-year period, with a max negative return of -11.9% in 2022. It has allowed me to mostly shrug off market turmoil and sleep soundly as I focus on working and accumulati...
by jalanlong
Fri Jul 07, 2023 1:50 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 60120

Re: I'M OUT!

Switching gears, surely if one believes American exceptionalism is coming to an end there are any number of portfolios one could choose to hedge against it. Holding only globally-diversified stocks, market cap weighted (e.g. a blend of 60:40 VTI:VEU or simple the all-world ETF VT) plus an appropria...
by jalanlong
Fri Jul 07, 2023 1:39 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Which is worse?
Replies: 18
Views: 18974

Re: Which is worse?

2. What did Disney have to gain by doing this? They are probably not going to gain any new customers with their stance but almost certain to lose some. Therefore, they should be admired for taking a stand, something that almost all other businesses / corporations will never do. I can well understan...
by jalanlong
Fri Jul 07, 2023 12:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 60120

Re: I'M OUT!

Switching gears, surely if one believes American exceptionalism is coming to an end there are any number of portfolios one could choose to hedge against it. Holding only globally-diversified stocks, market cap weighted (e.g. a blend of 60:40 VTI:VEU or simple the all-world ETF VT) plus an appropria...
by jalanlong
Sun Jun 04, 2023 9:34 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Buy gold now?
Replies: 13
Views: 10504

Re: Buy gold now?

To keep with the baseball theme, Oscar Gamble would say People don’t think gold be like it is. But it do.

Ron Washington would say That’s the way gold go.
by jalanlong
Sun Jun 04, 2023 9:28 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk
Replies: 23
Views: 11912

Re: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/spending-shocker-cbo-s-latest-debt-projection-should-stun-even-washington/ar-AA17Y9Xl FOX News Spending shocker: CBO's latest debt projection should stun even Washington Story by Chad Pergram • Yesterday 9:35 PM The most staggering thing about a recent report...
by jalanlong
Thu May 25, 2023 8:44 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The debt celing soap opera explained so simply that even a member of Congress can understand it
Replies: 18
Views: 9763

Re: The debt celing soap opera explained so simply that even a member of Congress can understand it

Government needs to be shrunk/obstructed/gridlocked by any means necessary. If thats not what "republicans" are doing here, then its bad. Why? If you look at places with larger governments vs places with high HDI it seems that there is a correlation. This doesn't mean that having bigger government ...
by jalanlong
Sun May 07, 2023 7:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 60120

Re: I'M OUT!

I don’t use the PP any longer but I still listen to podcasts like the ones from Resolve Asset Management who specialize in Risk Parity portfolios. They have convinced me that if you are going to do such a portfolio then you need a lot more diversification than the PP gives you. You definitely need ...
by jalanlong
Sat May 06, 2023 7:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 60120

Re: I'M OUT!

I don’t use the PP any longer but I still listen to podcasts like the ones from Resolve Asset Management who specialize in Risk Parity portfolios. They have convinced me that if you are going to do such a portfolio then you need a lot more diversification than the PP gives you. You definitely need m...
by jalanlong
Sat May 06, 2023 6:21 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 60120

Re: I'M OUT!

I'm really sorry, you guys. I'm just feel incredibly defeated about what's happening, and last night it was really getting to me. It's the long bonds that are the real nut-buster. They're down over 30 percent, and even after reading Tyler's piece, I still don't see a plausible path to recovery. And...
by jalanlong
Thu Mar 16, 2023 9:00 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Jan 6 footage on Tucker
Replies: 35
Views: 38228

Re: Jan 6 footage on Tucker

Sorry, Vinny, I may have been unclear. I'm not asking for your opinion of Naomi Wolf. What is your opinion of what she is saying here? He didn't have an opinion on Naomi Wolf. Wikipedia did. It is my perception that Vinny has no opinion on anything and no ability to critically think on his own, onl...
by jalanlong
Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:05 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Socialism - Should we be worried
Replies: 65
Views: 39126

Re: Socialism - Should we be worried

seajay wrote:
Wed Mar 08, 2023 10:55 am
... but aren't many youth (<30 years) more inclined to socialism, that transition to being capitalist (>30 years old) ... once they've accumulated some of their own wealth.
I heard an adage years ago that a Republican was just a Democrat that had not been robbed yet.
by jalanlong
Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:58 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 347348

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Check the date on this:


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by jalanlong
Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:54 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 347348

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

DogBreath wrote:
Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:23 pm
glennds wrote:
Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:16 pm


Where will these funds come from? The Fed will create them obviously.

So basically, it was a lie that taxpayers wouldn't fund the bailout. That dang inflation....
I think you meant to write that dang Putin Price Hike.
by jalanlong
Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:11 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 17555

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Here is what HB has to say on the topic. . . For the Permanent Portfolio, a stock-market investment should have these attributes: The Permanent Portfolio's stock-market investments, as a group, should reflect a broad spectrum of American enterprise; they shouldn't be tied to a signle industry or na...
by jalanlong
Tue Mar 14, 2023 6:44 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Trying to Understand Wide Divergence in Quotes Between Platforms
Replies: 2
Views: 1595

Re: Trying to Understand Wide Divergence in Quotes Between Platforms

I'm hoping that someone can explain to me why, at any given time, the quotes on particular securities vary so dramatically between platforms. I have money at Fidelity and Ameritrade and use both of those platforms to monitor what's going on in the market. This morning, I was (once again) stunned by...
by jalanlong
Mon Mar 13, 2023 10:19 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Meme Thread
Replies: 279
Views: 220745

Re: The Meme Thread

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by jalanlong
Sat Mar 11, 2023 10:29 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Socialism - Should we be worried
Replies: 65
Views: 39126

Re: Socialism - Should we be worried

Thank you, I see the distinction now. And I agree, to a point. The 1980s was a grand experiment in trickle down economics, and while the idea hasn't been totally discredited, I think there are differing opinions on whether enough trickled down such that society as a whole was lifted. I'm kind of gl...
by jalanlong
Thu Mar 09, 2023 5:01 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Socialism - Should we be worried
Replies: 65
Views: 39126

Re: Socialism - Should we be worried

What is income inequality? More fake news. Should a McD burger flipper make the same as a doctor, lawyer or engineer? Those professions required years of expensive schooling and lost wages during said schooling, not to mention hard work. You know who is underpaid? People who work dangerous jobs. No...
by jalanlong
Thu Mar 09, 2023 1:17 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Socialism - Should we be worried
Replies: 65
Views: 39126

Re: Socialism - Should we be worried

Timely news for this thread: https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/10-ways-biden-is-pushing-to-increase-taxes-in-his-2024-budget-proposal-170009051.html In his budget, President Biden is renewing his long-standing calls for more taxes on Corporate America. Biden wants to raise the corporate income tax ...
by jalanlong
Thu Mar 09, 2023 10:42 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Jan 6 footage on Tucker
Replies: 35
Views: 38228

Re: Jan 6 footage on Tucker

boglerdude wrote:
Thu Mar 09, 2023 2:55 am

and FYI you can add banks to TreasuryDirect easily now https://www.doctorofcredit.com/u-s-trea ... -accounts/
Finally!! Thank you for the heads up!
by jalanlong
Wed Mar 08, 2023 6:28 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Socialism - Should we be worried
Replies: 65
Views: 39126

Re: Socialism - Should we be worried

They have a million and one ways of taking away your wealth. They can crash the stock market on a whim, Speaking of this, I owned ADR shares in Russian oil company Lukoil for several years. I found it sold at much lower multiples than oil companies in the West and I assumed that the risk would be f...