Search found 458 matches

by pmward
Tue Sep 17, 2019 4:14 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

pmward, I think things would go much better if you could let things go. You've posted many times walls of text of technical gibberish (at least, that's how it comes across). Some people have pointed out that they don't believe in what you're doing. Why can't you leave it at that? Why can't you "ign...
by pmward
Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

If pmward is doing this in a 20% VP, then it doesn't sound like he's heading for destitution, however things may go for him. Seriously, this! It's 20% of my portfolio. Lest we forget, Harry Browne himself was one of the greatest speculators in history... I think Sophie saying I'm going to retire pe...
by pmward
Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:55 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

That still sounds like market timing to me, pmward, whatever you decide you want to call it (quantitative, risk management etc). I haven't done due diligence on the thousands of companies whose stock I own indirectly via mutual funds or ETFs. That doesn't make me a bad investor, because being able ...
by pmward
Mon Sep 16, 2019 11:07 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

pmward, I'm mostly trollin :) It might be interesting if you included how much youre betting on these "breakouts" etc so we can track progress. That would give away the secret sauce, haha. There's one thing that is more important than the bet, and that is risk management. That can involves setting ...
by pmward
Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:54 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How many brokerage firms are you using?
Replies: 40
Views: 9139

Re: How many brokerage firms are you using?

mathjak107 wrote:
Sat Sep 14, 2019 7:19 pm
Fzrox
I have a bunch in this as well in my IRA's. So far it's tracked the "official" indexes very well. The only thing to watch out for was some short term cap gains last year, which is why I don't hold it in taxable.
by pmward
Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:49 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Speculators Anonymous
Replies: 11
Views: 7355

Re: Speculators Anonymous

And I have no idea about Long Bonds. None whatsoever. Just gobsmacked. Made out well recently but a dangerous game. Yeah bonds are indeed tricky right now. I'm still a believer in the long term, but in the short term the charts are indeed looking very ugly and selling some bonds when you did was a ...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:30 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Speculators Anonymous
Replies: 11
Views: 7355

Re: Speculators Anonymous

Current speculation, small caps, and specifically small cap value. In my experience, I've come to view small-caps as the "canary in the coal mine" for stocks. If small caps go up, stocks in general tend to follow more often than not. Likewise, when small caps stagnate or breakdown, typically stocks ...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:23 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Speculators Anonymous
Replies: 11
Views: 7355

Speculators Anonymous

My name is pmward and I'm a speculator. Do you have a VP? Do you have an interest in technical analysis, quantitative analysis, fundamental analysis, global macro, trend following, portfolio tilting, back testing, or just generally have a speculative opinion on what is going on in markets and where ...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 11:49 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

A couple of points/thoughts. Pmward is right...you wouldn't be in the PP if not for its quantitative appeal and we know for a fact HB and I forget the gentlemen's name did quantitative analysis on this stuff in the late 70s/80s which is how they came up with the initial concept. I like Cullen Roche...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 11:28 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

For the sake of beginning investors out there, not for my sake, please give us all an example of investing that isn’t quant. If you can’t, does the term having have any meaning anymore? Or are you just muddying the waters for people who should really learn about indexing and lazy portfolios first, ...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:42 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

I just feel obliged to support dualstow here, since he and I have similar opinions on stock trading.... There are two ways to invest in stocks. One is passive, buying an index or basket of stocks and holding them long term in the context of a fixed multi-asset portfolio. The other is active, where ...
by pmward
Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:33 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 770
Views: 178002

Re: Stock scream room

You can call any non-whim decision on earth quant, but it’s still misleading. No it is not misleading. What is misleading is trying to define the words "quantitative analysis" in a short sighted and overly tight manner to only mean one very specific form of quantitative analysis, and to choose to i...