Search found 35 matches
- Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:20 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The Permanent Portfolio May Be About To Break
- Replies: 21
- Views: 19819
Re: The Permanent Portfolio May Be About To Break
Very pleased to meet you Craig. Two years into german PP now and your book is always near me. I'm likely to just rebalance according to plan. I don't have any better options or ideas right now. Each person is different and I can't offer specific advice due to varying circumstances. Ask me again whe...
- Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:38 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The Permanent Portfolio May Be About To Break
- Replies: 21
- Views: 19819
Re: The Permanent Portfolio May Be About To Break
Very pleased to meet you Craig. Two years into german PP now and your book is always near me. I'm likely to just rebalance according to plan. I don't have any better options or ideas right now. Each person is different and I can't offer specific advice due to varying circumstances. Ask me again when...
- Sun Jan 05, 2020 12:13 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 37376
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
@Tyler, you up for a coffee? Always! ;D BTW, while we’re talking about European investing — for anyone who would like to read or share PC in a language other than English, there’s a hidden little feature on the site that I’m not sure many people are aware of. You see those little flags near the top...
- Sat Jan 04, 2020 9:56 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 37376
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
I can't wait! :P @Tyler is The hero. But I would also like to point you to @brownehead and his carterapermanente.es (use google translate). It gives valuable information about the european peculiars of the PP. And there is also kind of a community hanging around. @Tyler on your site, it says "...
- Sat Jan 04, 2020 8:57 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Spreadsheets to Track PP
- Replies: 51
- Views: 185352
Re: Spreadsheets to Track PP
Hmm pity, I'll keep on looking then. Maybe try to build something simple myself. I just started PP for two years now. First year I also took a deep dive in making my own system and took data from different sources. I made things too complicated at first and it did not work out for me. I finally kep...
- Sat Jan 04, 2020 8:44 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Throwing in the Towel because Harry is Right!!!
- Replies: 45
- Views: 22947
Re: Throwing in the Towel because Harry is Right!!!
According to @tyler max drawdown was 14% and longest drawdown took 5 years:
https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/p ... portfolio/
https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/p ... portfolio/
- Sat Jan 04, 2020 5:35 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2019 Permanent Portfolio Results
- Replies: 18
- Views: 10854
Re: 2019 Permanent Portfolio Results
My european PP resulted 13.1% in 2019. I had new cash in the portfolio in januar, which I only divided in 25/25/25/25 in march.
If I had full 25/25/25/25 from begin 2019 on the result would have been 15.1%: Gold: +20.2%, Bond:+13.8%, Stock:26.8%, Cash:-0.2%
If I had full 25/25/25/25 from begin 2019 on the result would have been 15.1%: Gold: +20.2%, Bond:+13.8%, Stock:26.8%, Cash:-0.2%
- Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:09 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Portfolio for European investor
- Replies: 5
- Views: 7851
- Fri Jul 12, 2019 11:03 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: price German LT bonds suddenly plummeted
- Replies: 0
- Views: 15378
price German LT bonds suddenly plummeted
In a few days time price of german 30yr bund fell strongly: https://www.boerse-berlin.com/index.php/Bonds?isin=DE0001102432 Is there a logical reason for this or is it just general 'market sentiment' ? I can't imagine it is caused by the news Christine Lagarde being new head of ecb, because general ...
- Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:14 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why are older gold coins often pricier than new ones?
- Replies: 10
- Views: 8092
Re: Why are older gold coins often pricier than new ones?
For example, 1 oz gold krugerrands. Random year is cheaper than 2019 coins, fine. 1980 coins are on sale at Apmex, but they are more expensive than 2019 issue coins. Are they collectors’ items or something? Checked, but couldn't confirm. 'Old' coins are cheaper then 2019 coins here: https://www.the...
- Wed Jul 03, 2019 2:15 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Rethinking the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 52
- Views: 38340
Re: Rethinking the Permanent Portfolio
when moon, sir ?bitcoininthevp wrote: ↑Wed Jul 03, 2019 2:00 pm I am also happy to answer any direct messages for people who have specific questions.

- Tue Jul 02, 2019 6:26 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3934
- Views: 2381924
Re: The GOLD scream room
If the last month in gold doesn't have your head spinning, you are a very calm person. I am only in my first year in PP and my head is spinning constantly, can't stop checking the charts. Or you're not paying attention. Which the PP is good at letting you do. They assured me go into PP and you can ...
- Thu Jun 06, 2019 8:04 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Meaning of 1-3 yr and 10-30 yr treasury ladders
- Replies: 14
- Views: 14469
Re: Meaning of 1-3 yr and 10-30 yr treasury ladders
Where has Tyler posted his method? I'm getting more and more interested in hitting higher-yielding portions of the yield curve vs a solid barbell. Tyler rocks: https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&u=949 https://portfoliocharts.com/ more about his personal ve...
- Thu Apr 18, 2019 12:22 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: bud split
- Replies: 11
- Views: 6032
Re: The GOLD scream room
thanks @Xan for making this decision. You took great caution and patience with Budd and it was fully clear this was what Budd wanted himself also. As a beginner in PP and GI I can confirm that the info on GI can be very confusing if you want to inform yourself about the basics of PP, but it also pus...
- Fri Feb 01, 2019 5:54 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6905
Re: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
That's great, you shouldn't invest in anything you don't understand, checking the sorces and making your own calculation is part of the understanding process! Thanks, it encouraged me ;) I told you earlier I could reproduce your results for 2018, which was grosso modo true: your return 2018: 10.68%...
- Fri Jan 25, 2019 1:30 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6905
Re: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
https://www.bundesbank.de/dynamic/action/en/statistics/time-series-databases/time-series-databases/745582/745582?tsId=BBK01.WZ3429&tsTab=0&listId=www_skms_it03b&id=0 With those yields I use the PRICE function to estimate the returns, which I've found quite consistent with market price c...
- Thu Jan 24, 2019 9:25 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Europe (Germany)
- Replies: 15
- Views: 16529
Re: PP Europe (Germany)
Okay, so now I am quite confident I have calculated returns and cagr's for both etf bonds and LT german bonds in such a way that they can be compared. First the overall results in a table: https://i.imgur.com/sBCxxDx.png The year returns differ quite a bit between the different funds. This triggered...
- Thu Jan 24, 2019 7:20 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6905
Re: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
Bond prices never include interest payments, therefore you have to consider them to calculate historical returns. However, you must consider also the price paid for the bond to calculate the real interest (dividend) received with the coupons: In your examples, if you bought the first bund (2048) on...
- Wed Jan 23, 2019 10:03 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6905
is dividend adjusted into the price of a bond or not ?
I am still very uncertain about how to calculate returns of potential portfolio's. Last year I had my bonds in an etf and I could calculate return by just looking what my broker showed me on actual delivered prices and dividends. But now I consider switching to real LT german bonds I have to use dat...
- Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:28 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Europe (Germany)
- Replies: 15
- Views: 16529
Re: PP Europe (Germany)
That's the "current yield", what is usually used as "yield" is the "yield to maturity": https://www.investopedia.com/terms/y/yieldtomaturity.asp Thanks that helped. https://www.investopedia.com/thmb/r7r_KT8Q9LJSi0scT7h3hs5svz0=/618x0/filters:no_upscale():max_bytes(1500...
- Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:05 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Europe (Germany)
- Replies: 15
- Views: 16529
Re: PP Europe (Germany)
During 2015 and 2016 the 30-year German bund yield went to 0.5% and even below. The current yield is 0.88% I presume what you call 'yield' is called 'rendite' at the bundesbank. I don't understand how this 'rendite' is exactly calculated, maybe someone can explain ? I understand it is different the...
- Sat Jan 19, 2019 5:41 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Yahoo Data Accuracy
- Replies: 5
- Views: 4823
Re: Yahoo Data Accuracy
Thanks for the tip. Quick look into it gives me no hits on european funds. I guess there are more then (100-99=)1% european's around here.
- Fri Jan 18, 2019 3:50 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Yahoo Data Accuracy
- Replies: 5
- Views: 4823
Re: Yahoo Data Accuracy
Last year I also used different data sources to calculate my different versions of portfolio. I really got completely confused by it. Digging into it the differences did not make any sense to me and asking questions about it did hardly deliver any answers: https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic....
- Thu Jan 17, 2019 11:45 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2018 Results Post Here
- Replies: 26
- Views: 20838
Re: 2018 Results Post Here
European PP: -1.5% 35% cash: 0% 22% bond: 5.2% 22% gold: 0.6% 22% stock: -12.7% stock: msci Europe bond: 50% exx6 etf 50% e20y etf gold: 90% gold, 10% silver IE00BSKRJX20 E20Y etf DE000A0D8Q31 EXX6 etf NL0010436671 msci Europe It is my first year on a PP and I started it in the second week of 2018. ...
- Thu Jan 17, 2019 10:43 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Europe (Germany)
- Replies: 15
- Views: 16529
Re: PP Europe (Germany)
Hello, I am still fiddling with the results of my first year EU portfolio. On bonds I had 50% exx6 (2018 return:6.1%) and 50% e20y (2018 return 4.2%). I compared the results with the returns for german LT bonds (2018 returns between 9-11%). I am rather puzzled over this big difference in the results...