Search found 83 matches
- Fri Apr 19, 2019 10:55 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: BOJ Largest Shareholder of stocks
- Replies: 6
- Views: 3243
BOJ Largest Shareholder of stocks
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Bank-of-Japan-to-be-top-shareholder-of-Japan-stocks Just when I think conspiracy sites like ZeroHedge are total bunk, their theories that the global economy is just a gigantic illusion waiting to have the curtain pulled away seem more realistic when I read an...
- Wed Apr 10, 2019 1:50 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: For JeffreyAlan
- Replies: 4
- Views: 10041
Re: For JeffreyAlan
It seems like the OP of that thread has a different idea than mine. He seems to be market timing. Other parts of the thread show him to be invested in Crypto and options. I was more thinking of just walking away completely from the worry or stress of investing and markets and concentrating on how to...
- Mon Apr 01, 2019 11:16 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock scream room
- Replies: 1438
- Views: 656321
Re: Stock scream room
The case for 100% cash is a lot stronger than 100% Gold or Stocks IMO. 100% stocks could easily lose you 50% in a year and make take many, many years to recover. Cash will not ever do that to you unless you are talking about runaway inflation. Correct me if I am wrong on that. When I say I think abo...
- Mon Apr 01, 2019 7:35 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock scream room
- Replies: 1438
- Views: 656321
Re: Stock scream room
How do you guys stay the course with your portfolios? I have been in the Desert Portfolio for a couple of years and it has done well for me. However, whenever I read about current events (robots taking jobs, Democratic Socialists, Govt Debt, End of the bull market etc) it makes me want to go to all ...
- Wed Feb 20, 2019 12:45 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
- Replies: 237
- Views: 485126
Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
I have never looked under the hood of TQQQ or TMF. How much at risk are these funds of going to zero (or getting shut down) like the XIV was?
- Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:59 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
- Replies: 237
- Views: 485126
- Sun Feb 03, 2019 4:34 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: What is "stock" any more?
- Replies: 3
- Views: 5741
What is "stock" any more?
Since most people on this board invest in the PP or a similar portfolio, I assume that most believe in stocks as an asset class that respond to certain economic scenarios. Is the thought that stock is an individual ownership in a company and you reap the benefits and risks of that company sort of pa...
- Fri Feb 01, 2019 1:32 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
- Replies: 237
- Views: 485126
Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Hey it's the end of the month, time for some results reporting! I implemented a leveraged Desert portfolio-ish at the end of last year. The mix is 70% UST, 20% TQQQ and 10% VGSH. I'm adding a little bit each month to it that will auto rebalance into the portfolio on M1. YTD Starting mix w/no change...
- Thu Jan 31, 2019 8:58 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP/VP Strategy Sanity Check
- Replies: 40
- Views: 19145
Re: PP/VP Strategy Sanity Check
Just a thought but I have been using The Desert Portfolio for over a year and I am extremely pleased with the returns and low volitility. It has really helped me sleep at night and not be overly concerned with the daily market gyrations. I am in ETFs: IEF 60% MGC 15% SLY 15% GLDM 10% It may not be t...
- Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:42 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Question on drawdowns
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1919
Question on drawdowns
I have a question on drawdowns. I see a lot of concern about drawdowns. Pardon my ignorance but unless the drawdown happens in the first year or so then is it as much of a concern? I started doing a Desert Portfolio about 3-4 years ago. I am averaging about 4.5% a year, much better than the return o...
- Mon Jan 21, 2019 6:19 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Question on duration vs maturity
- Replies: 4
- Views: 3457
Question on duration vs maturity
Can anyone educate me on what I should be looking at for a bond ETF when it comes to maturity vs duration? For example, I want to target the 10 year Treasury in an ETF. IEF has a duration of 7.39 and an avg maturity of 8.49. TLH has a duration of 10.84 and an avg maturity of 15.02. Which of those nu...
- Fri Jan 11, 2019 7:38 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
- Replies: 237
- Views: 485126
Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Not related, I moved a small amount of money as a test case to M1 Finance. Thus far, I like it a a lot. However, I’m not committing much until I see how their executions are. I have been using M1 Finance for a while now. I think it is perfect for a PP or something similar! Have you done any trade a...
- Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:46 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
- Replies: 237
- Views: 485126
Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
I have been using M1 Finance for a while now. I think it is perfect for a PP or something similar!
- Mon Jan 07, 2019 6:39 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
I think funds like BIL or SHY are brilliant replacements for cash. How do you feel about the safety of ETFS that hold Treasuries? I am contemplating keeping a stash of cash there and sucking up the .15 expense ratio instead of having to managing a 1-2 year treasury ladder. VGSH is .07. If you go wi...
- Mon Jan 07, 2019 8:53 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
How do you feel about the safety of ETFS that hold Treasuries? I am contemplating keeping a stash of cash there and sucking up the .15 expense ratio instead of having to managing a 1-2 year treasury ladder.
- Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:51 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
I think what I am struggling with are the "risk" factors. Now that we are a one-income family, we can less afford to take financial hits. But we also need to make our money grow as much as possible. That is the dilemma. Should I just put our money in the local bank money market account, e...
- Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:04 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
I think what I am struggling with are the "risk" factors. Now that we are a one-income family, we can less afford to take financial hits. But we also need to make our money grow as much as possible. That is the dilemma. Should I just put our money in the local bank money market account, ea...
- Sat Jan 05, 2019 9:43 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
For Desert I would mix IEI and IEF ETFs in order to arrive at a 5 year intermediate average duration. IEF 7-10 to me seems to be longer than what is meant by "intermediate". Yes, these things are not strictly defined. I thought that the Desert Portfolio specifically called for 10 year Tre...
- Sat Jan 05, 2019 9:11 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
I am using ETFs for the portfolio: 60% IEF (iShares 7-10 Treasury) 10% IAU (iShares Gold) 15% MGC (Vanguard Large Cap) 15% SLY (SPDR Small Cap) I use M1 Finance as my broker. They are perfect to run such a portfolio. I can deposit $500 there and they will buy $500 in the exact percentages I specifie...
- Fri Jan 04, 2019 7:42 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Re: Desert Portfolio Question
Would most feel comfortable keeping 100% of your savings in the Desert Portfolio? Is it safe enough from major losses and wild swings? In the year I have been invested in it, it has been fairly docile.
- Fri Jan 04, 2019 8:02 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Desert Portfolio Question
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17419
Desert Portfolio Question
I have a question for the group. I decided about a year ago to run a Desert Portfolio (60% 10 year Treasury, 30% TSM, 10% Gold) for my savings instead of the traditional 4x PP. It just about broke even last year which is what you would expect given the market A backtest of this portfolio from 2008 s...
- Wed Jan 02, 2019 8:46 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2018 Results Post Here
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17506
Re: 2018 Results Post Here
Desert Portfolio
-1.15%
IEF (7-10 yr Treasury) 60%
IAU (Gold) 10%
VTI (US Stocks) 30%
-1.15%
IEF (7-10 yr Treasury) 60%
IAU (Gold) 10%
VTI (US Stocks) 30%
- Sun Dec 30, 2018 12:32 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Worst investing year ever...
- Replies: 67
- Views: 38041
Re: Worst investing year ever...
Any love here for The Desert Portfolio that has outperformed the PP since 2008 with less volitility? The Desert Portfolio was designed for someone skittish about holding gold, and it does very well though doesn't allow for as high a withdrawal rate as the PP/GB. Its weakness is performance during a...
- Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:52 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Worst investing year ever...
- Replies: 67
- Views: 38041
Re: Worst investing year ever...
Any love here for The Desert Portfolio that has outperformed the PP since 2008 with less volitility?
- Sun Nov 18, 2018 6:42 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold, What is it Good For?
- Replies: 25
- Views: 16308
Re: Gold, What is it Good For?
The question asked a few posts back is a good one. If Central Banks hold almost 20% of the world’s gold and if some of them (like Russia) are stocking up on it, does that tell me as an individual investor that it needs to be a part of my portfolio? Or are their curcumstances different?