Search found 1460 matches
- Thu Apr 17, 2025 8:50 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Thinking about the unthinkable - Treasuries as a risky asset
- Replies: 6
- Views: 795
Re: Thinking about the unthinkable - Treasuries as a risky asset
They're probly fine. But I want to get paid to take on volatility, until I must have stability. Trying to sort out if holding PFIX and EDV together makes sense, since they cancel out. Thinking it does, PFIX has more upside and rising real rates will take down all other assets. They'll take down the ...
- Thu Apr 17, 2025 8:47 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: US stock exposure without severe Mag Seven overconcentration
- Replies: 11
- Views: 3360
Re: US stock exposure without severe Mag Seven overconcentration
If you arent going to cap weight, you need to explain why Nvidia et al are mispriced by the investors looking at their numbers. Arnott's fund has slightly underperformed the market last 20 years. But theres always an issue with private managers front-running their funds when they know a rebalance is...
- Tue Apr 15, 2025 2:45 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 6
- Views: 1757
Re: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio
Morningstar charts dont show total return?
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewto ... 3#p8316853
Tariffs. Companies have different margins. https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1911513456249127332
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewto ... 3#p8316853
Tariffs. Companies have different margins. https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1911513456249127332
- Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:35 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
- Replies: 25
- Views: 7594
Re: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
^ yeah, no one wants those jobs. But millions of Americans need them. Including the unskilled immigrants we welcomed across the border.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfrKSTzY2mo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgCabQ_jZm8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfrKSTzY2mo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgCabQ_jZm8
- Fri Apr 11, 2025 12:45 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Rebalancing
- Replies: 12
- Views: 5771
Re: Rebalancing
"Tax on Corporate Profit Margins" finally someone says it. Funny cuz reddit loves corporate tax but they're in shambles over tariffs. Trump's not going to betray his megacorp donors....if markets drop more than 20% we'll get the printer. Well we better cuz Ive been bagholding EDV since Obama
- Sun Apr 06, 2025 1:49 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: BTAL - A Nice Diversifier
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1110
- Tue Apr 01, 2025 11:04 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Does variance matter to long term investors?
- Replies: 10
- Views: 1686
Re: Does variance matter to long term investors?
Varies by individual. People who check their numbers weekly or more maybe should be more defensive/risk parity. I dunno if people do that out of fear or excitement though. Similarly I'm trying to figure out why some people love gambling. Drugs I understand. Are they thinking that if they can hit it ...
- Fri Mar 28, 2025 2:01 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: “The administration’s chaos is a disaster for the commodity markets,” one executive said
- Replies: 2
- Views: 1870
- Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:45 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Tariffs a 'Back Breaker' for Global Auto Industry: Dan Ives
- Replies: 5
- Views: 2269
Re: Tariffs a 'Back Breaker' for Global Auto Industry: Dan Ives
Recession started April 2022 when they stopped printing. Lots are sitting empty in socal as developers wait for subsidized loans
- Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:25 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Balancing Gains and Losses Every Year to Eliminate Capital Gains Tax in the Long Run
- Replies: 26
- Views: 7034
- Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:19 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Return Stacking Strategy Applied to HB-PP
- Replies: 6
- Views: 2490
Re: Return Stacking Strategy Applied to HB-PP
mathjak is doing that. https://www.early-retirement.org/thread ... os.120880/
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=442932
The new all-weather ETF is doing that
Vanguard wont allow purchase of levered ETFs. IIRC you can get away with ALLW and PSLDX
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=442932
The new all-weather ETF is doing that
Vanguard wont allow purchase of levered ETFs. IIRC you can get away with ALLW and PSLDX
- Wed Mar 26, 2025 10:45 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold Revaluation
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2041
Re: Gold Revaluation
We've seen the lengths they will go to, so that "they can just print money?" is not the narrative.
- Tue Mar 25, 2025 7:40 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: ex-US stocks rising
- Replies: 34
- Views: 12223
Re: ex-US stocks rising
Humans consistently underestimate corruption, because they look in the mirror and see an angel who cant be bought They also cant handle the possibility that the covid narrative isnt exactly what they were told. Shatters too much faith in institutions. As Scott Adams said, people are watching differe...
- Tue Mar 25, 2025 2:21 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Yes America, Trump and Trumpism are here to stay
- Replies: 38
- Views: 8899
Re: Yes America, Trump and Trumpism are here to stay
Truth? Politics is information warfare. Vinny hasnt spent a lot of time arguing with women. An American asked a Soviet Professor “What are you doing in the United States?” The professor replied, “I'm here to study American Propaganda.” The American asked, “What propaganda?” The Soviet said “Exactly ...
- Mon Mar 17, 2025 7:46 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Meme Thread
- Replies: 345
- Views: 353336
Re: The Meme Thread
r/Canada defines itself as non-American. socialized medicine, restricted rights to self-defense. Every day during the two weeks years of curfews they bragged about not having constitutional freedoms of religion or assembly. "Community first" collectivist/communist/socialist however you wan...
- Sun Mar 16, 2025 8:41 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
- Replies: 42
- Views: 9765
- Fri Mar 14, 2025 12:43 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
- Replies: 25
- Views: 7594
Re: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
Businesses do a good job charging consumers as much as they can pay. If Chinese EVs have a profit margin of 20% and US auto 10%, a 10% tariff on China might be a way to generate revenue. If China wants to give you EVs at nearly cost. . .take them. Exceptions for national security and food. Global Me...
- Thu Mar 13, 2025 11:46 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Great Idea by Judy Shelton - Gold Bond
- Replies: 9
- Views: 3134
Re: Great Idea by Judy Shelton - Gold Bond
2008 Fed printed billions and bought toxic MBS. Now the fed is paying banks 4.4% on that cash and the "pandemic" cash. Nice work if you can get it. What happens if they stop paying the banks? Bogleheads deleted my thread as too political and reddit deleted the replies https://old.reddit.co...
- Wed Mar 12, 2025 12:38 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: ex-US stocks rising
- Replies: 34
- Views: 12223
Re: ex-US stocks rising
> Treated differently?
For one thing, my income is too low to use the non-refundable foreign tax credit. And freetaxusa cant process it.
And Fed's going to bailout US companies first. Chart is world vs US
For one thing, my income is too low to use the non-refundable foreign tax credit. And freetaxusa cant process it.
And Fed's going to bailout US companies first. Chart is world vs US
- Mon Mar 10, 2025 8:56 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Trump says he has directed US Treasury to stop minting new pennies, citing rising cost
- Replies: 42
- Views: 12877
Re: Trump says he has directed US Treasury to stop minting new pennies, citing rising cost
Given how tribalism works I suppose ~700 million Chinese think communism is good economic policy
And I'm surprised Vinny can consider "MAGA" Elon a genius
And I'm surprised Vinny can consider "MAGA" Elon a genius
- Mon Mar 10, 2025 2:12 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
- Replies: 42
- Views: 9765
Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Not much discussion https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=450970 https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/allocation/ray-dalio-all-weather/ https://old.reddit.com/r/Bogleheads/comments/1j5gawp/ray_dalios_all_weather_etf/ ^ "1.7x 25/60/15 allocation" I think thats 25% stock, 60 long bond...
- Thu Mar 06, 2025 8:06 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Hoisington
- Replies: 3
- Views: 6829
Re: Hoisington
iduno abt inflation weakening, but the Fed has to buy those bonds when they print.
This money has to come from somewhere https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA
This money has to come from somewhere https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA
- Thu Mar 06, 2025 12:08 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Grilling Fauci
- Replies: 51
- Views: 31447
Re: Grilling Fauci
drip drip https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4t9UvyGK0E
Unrelated content, explanation of volatility decay: https://old.reddit.com/r/investing/comm ... y/dgr3whi/
Unrelated content, explanation of volatility decay: https://old.reddit.com/r/investing/comm ... y/dgr3whi/
- Wed Feb 26, 2025 12:36 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Grilling Fauci
- Replies: 51
- Views: 31447
Re: Grilling Fauci
Anthrax is the only bioweapon because the spores can dry out. Even then its a poor and indiscriminate weapon. If conservatives swallow the bioweapon narrative then Trump can claim bird flu is another leak, lockdown again and finish off small business and the middle class. edit1 for substance https:/...
- Sat Feb 22, 2025 10:56 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Two Financial Book Deals!
- Replies: 2
- Views: 1989
Re: Two Financial Book Deals!
Mostly the usual investment-porn but points out that tariffs can cut the profits of the global oligarchs and they dont like that
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zolT2xHEZk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zolT2xHEZk