Search found 1414 matches

by boglerdude
Tue Jan 21, 2025 2:42 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Russell Napier - Global Reshoring Existential Threat to US PP?
Replies: 4
Views: 291

Re: Russell Napier - Global Reshoring Existential Threat to US PP?

Ambition is the scarce resource. When techies flee to Germany to start companies ill invest there. Or maybe they'd have another pipeline accident 🤔
by boglerdude
Tue Jan 21, 2025 2:34 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: We should all write to our members of Congress and demand tax reforms
Replies: 44
Views: 10592

Re: We should all write to our members of Congress and demand tax reforms

Rewatch Crocodile Dundee and compare it to Australia in 2020. With "toxically" masculine Trump the pendulum is swinging back a bit.

Also most of the MAGA crowd want jobs reshored.
by boglerdude
Tue Jan 21, 2025 1:50 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Grilling Fauci
Replies: 37
Views: 15681

Re: Grilling Fauci

Gain of function never stopped and will never stop. Because foreign adversaries will not stop. Same for AI killbots. Not a big deal for respiratory viruses because the sicker they make the host, the less they can spread. We've been co-evolving with them for millennia. Fauci's pardon is clever, it re...
by boglerdude
Tue Jan 21, 2025 1:38 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 113
Views: 6742

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Thats why you dont want a centralized politburo planning the economy. Forcing price controls to hide inflation. Extending credit and grants to their friends industries. OTOH China had their economic miracle. But we saw how they handled the housing bust in 2020. They found a neat way to stop bank run...
by boglerdude
Sun Jan 19, 2025 8:26 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 113
Views: 6742

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Fed could buy directly from treasury to fund deficit. eg money supply +10%/year. If they step out of private markets eg stop buying mortgages and corporate bonds, a free market would want ~13% rates. You'd get 10% CPI and businesses might fail with those rates. Japan is rich and creates make-work jo...
by boglerdude
Sat Jan 18, 2025 9:43 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: We should all write to our members of Congress and demand tax reforms
Replies: 44
Views: 10592

Re: We should all write to our members of Congress and demand tax reforms

Everyone has their own definition, its a war of language. But "protectionist" tariffs and lower taxes has overlap with MAGA. Taxes on tips would not generate a lot income, especially after compliance/enforcement costs.
by boglerdude
Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:53 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 113
Views: 6742

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Rising long rates are the PPs weak point...so what % PFIX? Or maybe PP theory needs an update to hold a lot less LTTs when they yield less than 2.5%. Zero lower bound is real

edit1: https://old.reddit.com/r/LETFs/comments ... implified/
by boglerdude
Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:31 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Robinhood Gold card
Replies: 8
Views: 2906

Re: Robinhood Gold card

"Fidelity is pleased to inform you that Roth contributions will be available for the Self-employed 401(k) plan prior to the regulatory deadline of Jan 1st, 2026." Credit Card companies will issues you two of the same card? Sometimes. I did a product change from doublecash to a 2nd customcash
by boglerdude
Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:24 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 113
Views: 6742

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

> Long bonds are about ensuring you have a minimum level of income Bond coupons, stock dividends, and apartments rents dont matter. You get a deal, or get burned, with the purchase price. Ive been naively holding onto a rental because rents are high. But thats priced in to the sale price knew a hedg...
by boglerdude
Thu Jan 16, 2025 1:28 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 113
Views: 6742

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

mathjak what's your explanation for bitcoin's outperformance

DBMF in Four Minutes
by boglerdude
Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:25 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
Replies: 139
Views: 93911

Re: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer

Need new roof and maybe solar a couple years later. any tips. 900 sq ft stucco box in socal. half flat roof half slanted
by boglerdude
Thu Jan 09, 2025 1:59 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2781
Views: 1734297

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

30 years. like any type of self-improvement its incrementalism. slightly less meat every day and swapping in fake meats. Getting my lunch down to a tablespoon of peanut butter was harder but you get used to feeling hungry and its energizing. The thing I cannot do is get up early. Trying to unwind al...
by boglerdude
Mon Jan 06, 2025 11:01 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Isn't there an Avatar Thread?
Replies: 236
Views: 232831

Re: Isn't there an Avatar Thread?

Vinny's desk isnt that clean.

For any other vegetarians wondering https://cooking.stackexchange.com/quest ... -cut-sirlo
by boglerdude
Sun Jan 05, 2025 10:59 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Question on Ukraine for Smith1776!
Replies: 2
Views: 859

Re: Question on Ukraine for Smith1776!

If people would accept that every politician wants to be a dictator we could discuss actual solutions like term limits and sortition. But its more fun to just rage at Team Red's leader or Team Blue's leader
by boglerdude
Sun Jan 05, 2025 1:35 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: 2025 Gold Forecasts
Replies: 14
Views: 1756

Re: 2025 Gold Forecasts

ppnewbie wrote: Sun Jan 05, 2025 1:05 ameverything would feel different if gold was legal tender or there was something backed by gold. I think this would be a key step in restoring responsible behavior by banks
That's why it wont happen.

ps buy boglercoin
by boglerdude
Sat Jan 04, 2025 10:22 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: 2025 Gold Forecasts
Replies: 14
Views: 1756

Re: 2025 Gold Forecasts

fredgraph.png What happens next. If the treasury issues only 1 month bonds and the Fed buys them at 0% what happens to the long end. And say money supply increasing 10%/year. Private market will want 13% long bond rates. Is the Fed required to buy my long bonds on the market before they can buy any...
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 22, 2024 11:57 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Robinhood Gold card
Replies: 8
Views: 2906

Re: Robinhood Gold card

I have two Citi Custom Cash so always get 5% on grocery and gas Vanguard fell out of bed and dumped solo 401ks to another company https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=429947 So I'm leaving them entirely, might do this for 4% back card https://www.doctorofcredit.com/my-experience-signing-...
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 08, 2024 10:28 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk
Replies: 39
Views: 28247

Re: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk

Not implying podcast and book dont have good info just fyi Search Labs | AI Overview Kelton is a leading proponent of modern monetary theory, which challenges the idea that governments should balance their budgets like households. She argues that governments can spend more and pay less attention to ...
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 08, 2024 10:10 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk
Replies: 39
Views: 28247

Re: Treasury Bills Offer Stock-Like 5% to Take Fed, Debt-Limit Risk

MMT is a progressive political agenda. When conservatives say "we cant afford it" MMT says "but wait, in reality the banks are required to buy the bonds from the treasury. Then the Fed prints the money to buy them from the banks" And people are surprised, because Wall st & Go...
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 06, 2024 3:27 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Meme Thread
Replies: 320
Views: 312544

Re: The Meme Thread

^ the suspected CEO shooter, for those not online enough

Unrelated, Matt Levine on MicroStrategy https://archive.ph/jzyDK

edit1: No war but class war? https://old.reddit.com/r/antiwork/comme ... ge_saying/
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 06, 2024 1:31 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 369
Views: 225715

Re: BTC in the PP

by boglerdude
Fri Dec 06, 2024 1:22 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Vanguard adds non-diversification warning to Total Stock Market
Replies: 22
Views: 3898

Re: Vanguard adds non-diversification warning to Total Stock Market

Any big bag of stocks is good enough, but cap weight is equal weight. eg you own 1% of Microsoft and 1% of Joe's vegan hot dog stand. You're claiming to be smarter than the market if you want $100k worth, or 50% of Joe's stand.
by boglerdude
Mon Dec 02, 2024 7:59 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 369
Views: 225715

Re: BTC in the PP

And Bogle was the anti-salesman...
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 01, 2024 2:09 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: "U.S. Treasuries not the safe bet they once were"
Replies: 77
Views: 20734

Re: "U.S. Treasuries not the safe bet they once were"

> have there been secular changes in the investment picture such that (some of) Harry Browne's insights and conclusions no longer apply We past peak working age populations in US EU and China. The pie only grows for everyone with young people taking out car loans, educations loans and mortgages. Whe...