Search found 1466 matches

by boglerdude
Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Oil industry taking a beating in the first 100 days
Replies: 1
Views: 100

Re: Oil industry taking a beating in the first 100 days

Vanguard Energy +6.47% ytd, total market -5.5%

But Morningstar lies to me about PFIX so iono
by boglerdude
Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:13 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Tariff Turmoil explained
Replies: 4
Views: 1918

Re: The Tariff Turmoil explained

^ ok im triggered. I'll assume the lockdown cheerleaders are taking the pfizer ceo's advice and boosting every 6 months

edit1 for substance: why the "lab leak" happened https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AQW_eq7KnEg
by boglerdude
Wed Apr 23, 2025 11:05 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3934
Views: 2376748

Re: The GOLD scream room

Got spooked by the gold revaluation talk, because I didn't hear about it till now. https://www.bullionvault.com/gold-news/ ... -031920251

Caved and opened 5% positions in PFIX and PHYS
by boglerdude
Wed Apr 23, 2025 10:58 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: US considering delisting Chinese stocks
Replies: 6
Views: 764

Re: US considering delisting Chinese stocks

So China and India dont want American plebs getting a piece of their growth. but tariffs...
by boglerdude
Tue Apr 22, 2025 10:06 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Ms. Market "votes" on inflation
Replies: 4
Views: 1177

Re: Ms. Market "votes" on inflation

Fed's going to fund the government. Is it worth waiting for them to do QE again tho, with M2 humming along at 7% and stocks at 9%. EDV will go up 60% if they start buying at 2.5%
by boglerdude
Mon Apr 21, 2025 12:28 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Fed Independence, Bonds, Tariff Debacle
Replies: 1
Views: 809

Re: Fed Independence, Bonds, Tariff Debacle

Buffett on tariffs 2003 https://www.facebook.com/philngai/posts/pfbid0FqoAbBgZnjdMTwuHYHUsxtJZ7aqEN72oosKpizaMomrHEyCmJF1X6eGYHGHqhggVl?__cft__[0]=AZUexekXaqdyhVGg2oSe5nlZzxnQmd-nuodnoJ1RXiRbpeGZZh4KGfUvVzmBGJdrg1kDrP7Tccvr_R_35yCE5E2Ft_M-YN2NwttGUgWbJcDaulizmp14Vmr7wSyywKg0RbPJZNkfiE7CRZH_aDCXzy4AY...
by boglerdude
Thu Apr 17, 2025 8:50 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Thinking about the unthinkable - Treasuries as a risky asset
Replies: 12
Views: 1588

Re: Thinking about the unthinkable - Treasuries as a risky asset

They're probly fine. But I want to get paid to take on volatility, until I must have stability. Trying to sort out if holding PFIX and EDV together makes sense, since they cancel out. Thinking it does, PFIX has more upside and rising real rates will take down all other assets. They'll take down the ...
by boglerdude
Thu Apr 17, 2025 8:47 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: US stock exposure without severe Mag Seven overconcentration
Replies: 11
Views: 4189

Re: US stock exposure without severe Mag Seven overconcentration

If you arent going to cap weight, you need to explain why Nvidia et al are mispriced by the investors looking at their numbers. Arnott's fund has slightly underperformed the market last 20 years. But theres always an issue with private managers front-running their funds when they know a rebalance is...
by boglerdude
Tue Apr 15, 2025 2:45 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 6
Views: 2154

Re: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio

Morningstar charts dont show total return?

https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewto ... 3#p8316853

Tariffs. Companies have different margins. https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1911513456249127332
by boglerdude
Sat Apr 12, 2025 2:35 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
Replies: 26
Views: 8999

Re: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing

^ yeah, no one wants those jobs. But millions of Americans need them. Including the unskilled immigrants we welcomed across the border.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfrKSTzY2mo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgCabQ_jZm8
by boglerdude
Fri Apr 11, 2025 12:45 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Rebalancing
Replies: 12
Views: 6720

Re: Rebalancing

"Tax on Corporate Profit Margins" finally someone says it. Funny cuz reddit loves corporate tax but they're in shambles over tariffs. Trump's not going to betray his megacorp donors....if markets drop more than 20% we'll get the printer. Well we better cuz Ive been bagholding EDV since Obama
by boglerdude
Tue Apr 01, 2025 11:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Does variance matter to long term investors?
Replies: 10
Views: 2016

Re: Does variance matter to long term investors?

Varies by individual. People who check their numbers weekly or more maybe should be more defensive/risk parity. I dunno if people do that out of fear or excitement though. Similarly I'm trying to figure out why some people love gambling. Drugs I understand. Are they thinking that if they can hit it ...
by boglerdude
Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:45 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tariffs a 'Back Breaker' for Global Auto Industry: Dan Ives
Replies: 5
Views: 2651

Re: Tariffs a 'Back Breaker' for Global Auto Industry: Dan Ives

Recession started April 2022 when they stopped printing. Lots are sitting empty in socal as developers wait for subsidized loans
by boglerdude
Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Balancing Gains and Losses Every Year to Eliminate Capital Gains Tax in the Long Run
Replies: 26
Views: 7840

Re: Balancing Gains and Losses Every Year to Eliminate Capital Gains Tax in the Long Run

dualstow wrote: Fri Feb 28, 2025 7:49 am And with that, the ancient yet youthful creature frugal went back into the hollow
of the magic tree where he dwells, not to be seen again until the next solstice,
or a disturbance in the underpinnings of the Universe…
Google says this is Original Content
by boglerdude
Fri Mar 28, 2025 12:19 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Return Stacking Strategy Applied to HB-PP
Replies: 6
Views: 2935

Re: Return Stacking Strategy Applied to HB-PP

mathjak is doing that. https://www.early-retirement.org/thread ... os.120880/

https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=442932

The new all-weather ETF is doing that

Vanguard wont allow purchase of levered ETFs. IIRC you can get away with ALLW and PSLDX
by boglerdude
Wed Mar 26, 2025 10:45 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Revaluation
Replies: 2
Views: 2439

Re: Gold Revaluation

We've seen the lengths they will go to, so that "they can just print money?" is not the narrative.
by boglerdude
Tue Mar 25, 2025 7:40 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ex-US stocks rising
Replies: 34
Views: 13921

Re: ex-US stocks rising

Humans consistently underestimate corruption, because they look in the mirror and see an angel who cant be bought They also cant handle the possibility that the covid narrative isnt exactly what they were told. Shatters too much faith in institutions. As Scott Adams said, people are watching differe...
by boglerdude
Tue Mar 25, 2025 2:21 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Yes America, Trump and Trumpism are here to stay
Replies: 39
Views: 10351

Re: Yes America, Trump and Trumpism are here to stay

Truth? Politics is information warfare. Vinny hasnt spent a lot of time arguing with women. An American asked a Soviet Professor “What are you doing in the United States?” The professor replied, “I'm here to study American Propaganda.” The American asked, “What propaganda?” The Soviet said “Exactly ...
by boglerdude
Mon Mar 17, 2025 7:46 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Meme Thread
Replies: 345
Views: 357083

Re: The Meme Thread

r/Canada defines itself as non-American. socialized medicine, restricted rights to self-defense. Every day during the two weeks years of curfews they bragged about not having constitutional freedoms of religion or assembly. "Community first" collectivist/communist/socialist however you wan...
by boglerdude
Fri Mar 14, 2025 12:43 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing
Replies: 26
Views: 8999

Re: Schwab podcasts discussing Federal effects on investing

Businesses do a good job charging consumers as much as they can pay. If Chinese EVs have a profit margin of 20% and US auto 10%, a 10% tariff on China might be a way to generate revenue. If China wants to give you EVs at nearly cost. . .take them. Exceptions for national security and food. Global Me...
by boglerdude
Thu Mar 13, 2025 11:46 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Great Idea by Judy Shelton - Gold Bond
Replies: 9
Views: 3695

Re: Great Idea by Judy Shelton - Gold Bond

2008 Fed printed billions and bought toxic MBS. Now the fed is paying banks 4.4% on that cash and the "pandemic" cash. Nice work if you can get it. What happens if they stop paying the banks? Bogleheads deleted my thread as too political and reddit deleted the replies https://old.reddit.co...
by boglerdude
Wed Mar 12, 2025 12:38 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ex-US stocks rising
Replies: 34
Views: 13921

Re: ex-US stocks rising

> Treated differently?

For one thing, my income is too low to use the non-refundable foreign tax credit. And freetaxusa cant process it.

And Fed's going to bailout US companies first. Chart is world vs US