Search found 29 matches

by var
Sun Apr 03, 2016 8:10 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The "trend following" Permanent Portfolio signals
Replies: 18
Views: 5543

Re: The "trend following" Permanent Portfolio signals

are u using real money to do this?
by var
Sun Apr 03, 2016 8:08 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: XIV SVXY LEAP
Replies: 9
Views: 3158

Re: XIV SVXY LEAP

hey guys so far this is my experience but a  LEAP call i think in jan when market was in turmoil... sold got out even weeks ago. bought svxy shares instead (this thing moves like an option so u might as have shares to not worry about time decay) up 11% so far.... i prob gonna sell it soon when its u...
by var
Tue Feb 23, 2016 6:39 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Shorting the market... my mind has been blown
Replies: 9
Views: 2679

Re: Shorting the market... my mind has been blown

If you use SH S&P500 SHORT ETF, in a Dual Momentum pairing with the S&P500 SPY LONG ETF, and just swap back and forth between the two based on the simple DM trading rules, you have better CAGR, Sharpe, and MaxDD than buy-and-hold SHY alone! That's just amazing to me, and completely surprising. Some...
by var
Tue Feb 23, 2016 6:36 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 162
Views: 39004

Re: LEAPS PP

prob the best way to do it set up ameritrade account...

then enable paper trading with think or swim... (quotes are delayed, unless you have enough cash in ur trading account)

thinkorswim got the best interface for options.
by var
Fri Jan 22, 2016 9:27 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: time to pick up gold/silver miners?
Replies: 11
Views: 3244

Re: time to pick up gold/silver miners?

looks like a good time to buy it... but only for trading i'd prob sell shortly after...
gold still looks like its in a down trend.
by var
Fri Jan 22, 2016 9:04 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

depends on your wife spending habits...

but i think 4 million my number.... it really depends where you live... car you want to drive etc..
by var
Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

I will be fine that's what asset allocations about.  If spy goes down and Tlt will go up. That's not always the case, though it's been pretty consistent in the past few decades of declining interest rates.  Before that period, the correlations weren't negative, they were closer to zero. of course. ...
by var
Sun Jan 17, 2016 2:54 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

My guess.  We get a big nasty drop.  And we go right back up again. 
by var
Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:34 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

+1 Yup buy on nice pull backs that said. A few more down days I'll start buying.  That's why don't even watch CNBC they'll talk PE. China down. Etc.  then at some point You'll be. In panic. Also correct me if I am wrong.  Boggle heads don't use TLT.  they rather use diversified bond fund.  I think ...
by var
Sat Jan 16, 2016 11:37 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

CraigR has something to say about TIPS - check the Gold FAQ or his website.  Among other issues, TIPS won't compensate for losses in other assets the way gold will.  At best it will tread water, and that's if you have 100% faith in the CPI. The last several posts here should probably be moved to th...
by var
Sat Jan 16, 2016 6:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

Why? If anything, now seems like the time to be buying stocks, not selling them. Stocks are still insanely overvalued. But they are less overvalued than they were when everyone thought buying them was a good idea. The best time to buy stocks is when everyone hates the stock market the most, but it'...
by var
Fri Jan 15, 2016 9:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!
Replies: 100
Views: 19145

Re: Stocks Crashing! Thank God For The PP!!

MediumTex wrote:
lordmetroid wrote: I am thinking it might be a good time to go TLT and IAU now.
Why?

If anything, now seems like the time to be buying stocks, not selling them.
stocks are attractive.. however i think there a good chance to that will test aug 15 low... i rather wait and see what happens before i jump in