Search found 2539 matches

by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 8:05 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing into more LTT
Replies: 27
Views: 293

Re: Rebalancing into more LTT

Not only far from being an efficient market, but the Fed seems bent on doing everything it can to help the U.S. dollar lose its reserve currency status. No more LTT's for me, but I'm sure as hell not selling any gold. Amen, brother. I'm too chicken to sell all of my LTTs, but I might gradually dial...
by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 7:22 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing into more LTT
Replies: 27
Views: 293

Re: Rebalancing into more LTT

I believe the market is pretty efficient -- well except for all the government intervention factors, of which I have little understanding. For what it's worth, according to the following two sites, there's a total of $14.8T of long-term Treasury bonds and notes outstanding, of which $4.3T (about 30...
by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 5:06 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Covid liability shield laws would pretty quickly put an end to the corporate CYA inertia, but unfortunately it seems like most state governments aren't pursuing that approach. Any thoughts on why that is? Actually, it looks like I was mistaken. According to the summary on this site , most US states...
by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 4:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

To be fair, it's more than just Starbucks. It does seem like big chain businesses are more likely than small, independently owned businesses to still have mask and distancing restrictions, even in "fully reopened" states like FL and TX. For example, my brother just moved to "fully reopened" FL, and ...
by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 1:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

And if you think lockdowns are a thing of the past, Fauci was BEGGING the PM of India to lock the whole country down hard yesterday. Yup, and I think most people will also beg for another lockdown the next time a mysterious new virus makes the rounds and the CDC says we're not completely sure how f...
by Tortoise
Tue May 11, 2021 12:12 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 748
Views: 17114

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

[...] maybe look at the mRNA technology as an incredible advancement in human ingenuity as Xan has said. The speed is amazing. Imagine we had all our social media back in 1918 but were still at a 1918 medical tech level. We'd be waiting years for a vaccine, or more likely, just quarantining everyon...
by Tortoise
Mon May 10, 2021 5:09 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 748
Views: 17114

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

I'm just saying, it's the same sky is falling, government is taking over line that gets rehashed over and over in history. And they still haven't taken over my life. It depends very much on who's saying the government is taking over their life, doesn't it? If you were younger, single, and enjoyed f...
by Tortoise
Sat May 08, 2021 12:16 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Arizona Election Audit
Replies: 15
Views: 503

Re: Arizona Election Audit

tomfoolery wrote:
Fri May 07, 2021 9:23 pm
Tortoise wrote:
Fri May 07, 2021 7:15 pm
It sounds like the Cyber Ninjas are looking for evidence that the Arizona voters were bamboozled.
You’ve been Trumpboozled.
Image
by Tortoise
Fri May 07, 2021 7:15 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Arizona Election Audit
Replies: 15
Views: 503

Re: Arizona Election Audit

It sounds like the Cyber Ninjas are looking for evidence that the Arizona voters were bamboozled.
by Tortoise
Fri May 07, 2021 5:31 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Just out of curiosity, what percent of voters in your county are registered D vs. R?
by Tortoise
Fri May 07, 2021 11:37 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

From a charter school in Lakeland, FL:

reward.jpeg
reward.jpeg (40.61 KiB) Viewed 261 times
by Tortoise
Thu May 06, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Best Tax Software Of 2021
Replies: 5
Views: 113

Re: The Best Tax Software Of 2021

Yes, the TurboTax price for state filing is $40. And the price for federal filing depends on the TurboTax version you're using. They have Free, Deluxe, Premier, and Self-Employed versions. This past year I used the Premier version and paid $55 for my federal filing (using a discount through Fidelity...
by Tortoise
Wed May 05, 2021 3:55 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Great news... the CDC now says 3 feet! Because... science... or something. That is great news. Hopefully they'll eventually whittle it down to an inch or two so that high school kids can at least awkwardly hover their hands over each other's shoulders when they're taking group photos. Maybe the CDC...
by Tortoise
Wed May 05, 2021 3:49 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Chauvin Verdict
Replies: 199
Views: 5201

Re: Chauvin Verdict

I wasn't claiming there's a problem with the existing jury system. (There very well may be, but that wasn't my point.) My point was that because even a single biased juror can sway the decision one way or the other, then if a biased juror lied in order to avoid getting eliminated during jury selecti...
by Tortoise
Wed May 05, 2021 3:35 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Cortopassi wrote:
Wed May 05, 2021 1:07 pm
This August, though, back at it normally for senior year!
That's good. But hopefully they won't have to wear masks and maintain 6-foot separation, because if so, I wouldn't call that a "normal" high school experience. Better than remote classes or a basement pod, but definitely not normal.
by Tortoise
Wed May 05, 2021 3:23 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Chauvin Verdict
Replies: 199
Views: 5201

Re: Chauvin Verdict

Yes, one juror can definitely make a difference that’s much larger than their 1/12 fraction of the jury. For example, if most of the jurors go into deliberations on the fence, but one of them is very biased and also very persuasive, it’s possible that the very biased and persuasive juror could ultim...
by Tortoise
Tue May 04, 2021 1:48 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

People who got COVID-19 and recovered do not have immunity. It requires a vaccine to get immunity by definition. Interesting definition. ::) Vaccines work by stimulating the immune system to produce antibodies. You know what else stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies? Getting sick with...
by Tortoise
Mon May 03, 2021 10:45 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Help me out Tortoise. I'm looking for a accurate but non politically charged term to distinguish the group that has not received the Covid-19 vaccine by choice, for whatever reason. Not sure. What do we typically call people who have not received the flu vaccine by choice, for whatever reason? Are ...
by Tortoise
Mon May 03, 2021 12:16 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Help me out Tortoise. I'm looking for a accurate but non politically charged term to distinguish the group that has not received the Covid-19 vaccine by choice, for whatever reason. Not sure. What do we typically call people who have not received the flu vaccine by choice, for whatever reason? Are ...
by Tortoise
Sun May 02, 2021 12:11 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

So my kid's school is closing down sixth grade to online only for the next two weeks. This is because four sixth grade teachers are all down with Covid, and a handful of students have gotten it too. Kind of sounds like flu season back when I was a kid in grade school. The flu would make the rounds,...
by Tortoise
Sat May 01, 2021 12:55 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

In Arizona, the Indian reservation counties were by far the worst. Obesity — one of the biggest Covid risk factors other than age. https://www.apa.org/pi/oema/resources/ethnicity-health/native-american/obesity Nutrition and weight control have become issues of major concern for a lot of Native Amer...
by Tortoise
Fri Apr 30, 2021 2:16 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Chauvin Verdict
Replies: 199
Views: 5201

Re: Chauvin Verdict

First Chauvin Juror Speaks Out: I Saw No Remorse in His Face https://www.thedailybeast.com/derek-chauvin-juror-brandon-mitchell-says-he-saw-no-remorse-in-ex-cops-face Isn't it difficult to accurately discern certain facial expressions like remorse (whatever that's supposed to look like) when most o...
by Tortoise
Fri Apr 30, 2021 1:03 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio concept continues to live on
Replies: 84
Views: 2332

Re: Permanent Portfolio concept continues to live on

Here's the paper they refer to in that interview. It's been mentioned in at least a couple of other threads here in recent months: The Allegory of the Hawk and Serpent: How to Grow and Protect Wealth for 100 Years By the way, I've recently been one of the PP doubters. As I mentioned in another threa...
by Tortoise
Thu Apr 29, 2021 7:36 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Trump Wasn’t Going To Cure Cancer
Replies: 12
Views: 406

Re: Trump Wasn’t Going To Cure Cancer

We already cured it. Trump was the cancer, and democratically voting him out of office in a lawful election was the cure.
by Tortoise
Thu Apr 29, 2021 3:19 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4339
Views: 293616

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

GT wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 1:59 pm
All joking aside - it will be a change to go back to no masks - I think some folks are really going to struggle with it.
The power of behavioral conditioning.