Search found 4479 matches

by mathjak107
Sat Jun 08, 2024 5:56 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Why the big move in gold?
Replies: 95
Views: 87508

Re: Why the big move in gold?

it was more then the report .
China was loading up on gold for 18 months and it was learned they paused.

it was really both that sent gold tumbling
by mathjak107
Fri Jun 07, 2024 8:45 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

considering that hit in bonds and gold today with the jobs report ,not to bad

for comparison

reaper is up a bit as dbmf the managed futures fund saves the day .

all terrain down ..39

the interest rate sensitive pp down 1.13
by mathjak107
Fri Jun 07, 2024 4:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

it was a no brainer since i already held so many of the holdings . i just beefed them all up enough to make it interesting. i need enough money in these experiments to make it worthwhile Excellent. Next achievement will be getting the portfolio onto Tyler's illustrious Portfolio Charts website. 8) ...
by mathjak107
Wed Jun 05, 2024 2:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

for comparison the reaper is up 1.51% right now for the day ,my all terrain .49
by mathjak107
Tue Jun 04, 2024 4:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

it was a no brainer since i already held so many of the holdings . i just beefed them all up enough to make it interesting.

i need enough money in these experiments to make it worthwhile
by mathjak107
Tue Jun 04, 2024 3:35 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

I, too, must confess that I am no longer a user of the pure PP. There are just too many new developments, methodologies, investment paradigms, and considerations for me to warrant sticking with it. I follow the strategy in my avatar. I genuinely believe that this is not capitulation, but rather an ...
by mathjak107
Fri May 24, 2024 1:38 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2023 Returns
Replies: 31
Views: 159174

Re: 2023 Returns

i took a shot experimenting with it using etfs available here in america .

i already owned the cash , ibit , pdbc and gold
by mathjak107
Wed May 22, 2024 4:38 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2023 Returns
Replies: 31
Views: 159174

Re: 2023 Returns

My All-Terrain Portfolio clocked in at 5.19% for the year. very interesting portfolio. those funds are not available thru fidelity but i guess if one wanted global coverage gld gold ibit bitcoin bndw. global bond vt global stock pdbc commodities and cash would work just fine . i always like trying ...
by mathjak107
Mon May 20, 2024 12:17 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Just made a purchase at 5.088 for 30 year LTTs
Replies: 46
Views: 14019

Re: Just made a purchase at 5.088 for 30 year LTTs

because there are better ways today to get on deflation in lower risk portfolios with much better risk to reward profiles then the pp has proven to provide. in more modern times.

odds of deflation are also very slight . certainly i would never bet the same money on deflation as i would prosperity
by mathjak107
Tue May 14, 2024 2:33 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio concept continues to live on
Replies: 82
Views: 23848

Re: Permanent Portfolio concept continues to live on

nope , long term bonds are not a place i want to be.

i am finding there are far better defensive portfolios using leveraged risk parity
by mathjak107
Thu May 09, 2024 3:02 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Just made a purchase at 5.088 for 30 year LTTs
Replies: 46
Views: 14019

Re: Just made a purchase at 5.088 for 30 year LTTs

IMHO using LTT's at all in these circumstances makes no sense. What about insurance for a deflation? If bond interest rates drop significantly, LTT could provide an outsized payoff. it reminds me of waiting so long for the ship to come in that the pier collapses . like peter lynch said , Far more m...
by mathjak107
Thu May 09, 2024 2:58 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: New interview with Craig Rowland
Replies: 70
Views: 10614

Re: New interview with Craig Rowland

well they did it to gold at one time
by mathjak107
Mon May 06, 2024 7:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

so far it is proving to be exactly the way to go as a conservative investor . it has performed admirably where other supposed portfolios like the pp and all weather dropped the ball. all results include all expenses. evd is centered around 20-30 year exposure, tyd is centered around 7-10 year bonds ...
by mathjak107
Sun May 05, 2024 9:01 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

which is why i went back to 2020 in my look originally as to how it behaved in both covid and the rising rates and inflation which crushed conventional portfolios. others have looked at it too https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-WZDwcF8/0/DfNGGTksPgc4xXrsnsPg3QD4krmHqNfGQ9pbsqkQW/L/i-WZDwcF8-L.jpg a...
by mathjak107
Sun May 05, 2024 2:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

yep , i believe its day came and went for conventional investing …2022 showed us how vulnerable the pp is to rates and inflation and a strong dollar unlike the 1970s with all the once in a lifetime events for gold i believe for someone who wants a defensive portfolio today there are far better risk ...
by mathjak107
Sat May 04, 2024 7:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

like the buggy , conventional investing for lower risk may be a thing of the past . harry could never imagine the masses having simple access to the funds of today that are leveraged as well as go long and short or able to have managed futures working for them in a reliable fashion to create what ma...
by mathjak107
Fri May 03, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

depends on the bond funds held and their duration as far as how bad they would get hit. a leveraged risk parity portfolio performed very differently in the 2022 down turn as well .. it had better returns , lower risk , less draw down then the pp did. i posted the carolina reaper results above which ...
by mathjak107
Fri May 03, 2024 9:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

long term bonds and if short term bonds funds were used , them too, plus a negative year for equities in 2022.

like i said years ago , rising rates would be kryptonite to the pp
by mathjak107
Thu May 02, 2024 4:43 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

i gave up trying to watch it unfortunately..to long and boring for me to focus on it..
by mathjak107
Thu May 02, 2024 2:42 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

tried a comparison between the pp and the leveraged risk parity portfolio i have been experimenting with which is 20% upro a 3x leveraged equities fund 13.333% tyd a 3x leveraged bond fund and 66.666% dbmf a non leveraged managed futures fund i wanted a real tough patch for assets to look at so i pi...
by mathjak107
Wed May 01, 2024 7:52 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

from 2021 it’s just about been flat

100k has gained about 1200 bucks from jan 2021 to april 30th 1 2024 . a .38% cagr


https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/bac ... SUlrdyQOt3
by mathjak107
Mon Feb 12, 2024 5:15 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 62
Views: 21387

Re: This is the best time in 45 years to invest in the Permanent Portfolio

.. I made my only investments now 21 years ago in January 2003. All investments since have gone into cash. .. Seems like I would have been much better off over these last 21 years by having done the exact opposite. Having the bulk in Growth and giving away the Value funds. Opposite: I thought you w...
by mathjak107
Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:31 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: SP500 ETF SPLG now .02 % ER
Replies: 5
Views: 22051

Re: SP500 ETF SPLG now .02 % ER

the zero fee fidelity funds are not the same benchmark as an s&p fund or total market fund . they created their own index to avoid paying licensing fees , which while close in performance isn’t exactly the same as the index holds. not that is a good or bad thing but it is just different that cam...