Search found 3357 matches
- Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:25 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 501
- Views: 343726
Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=254376#p254376 Possible sell signal end of August if the S&P500 falls more. Since my last update, I'm still beating the 60/40. If we're going into a recession, that outperformance will intensify. I want to retire next May, I can't be havi...
- Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:13 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4703
Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession
https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/what ... ut-economy
I SELL equities if the S&P500 loses its 6 month moving average minus a 1% fudge factor, so I'm selling on Friday August 30, if $SPX >= 5246. That's -1.7% away from where we are now.
I SELL equities if the S&P500 loses its 6 month moving average minus a 1% fudge factor, so I'm selling on Friday August 30, if $SPX >= 5246. That's -1.7% away from where we are now.
- Fri Aug 02, 2024 8:08 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4703
The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession
It's 0.53 as of today, unless my math is wrong (which it might be). Look at the official graph later. It has a stellar track record.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
- Fri Mar 29, 2024 8:55 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why the big move in gold?
- Replies: 95
- Views: 106510
Re: Why the big move in gold?
Congratulations! $2200+ for the month and quarterly closes!
- Fri Dec 22, 2023 10:13 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
I think you guys have it mixed up which side in this "culture war" is obsessed with sex and gender and orientation etc and which is the one responding to that. Vinny is absolutely right that adultery has been far too normalized. Even when a divorce is for cause like adultery it only affec...
- Thu Dec 21, 2023 7:29 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
I think it goes beyond abortion... it's anything sex organ related. If you met someone who all the time talked about Pokemon, non-stop, Pokemon this, Pokemon that, Pokemon values on eBay, conspiracies against Pokemon owners and suppression of their collection values (like goldbugs LOL) then you'd th...
- Wed Dec 20, 2023 4:42 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
- Mon Dec 18, 2023 3:06 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Javier Milei, Argentina, wants to Dollarize their economy?
- Replies: 6
- Views: 10541
Re: Javier Milei, Argentina, wants to Dollarize their economy?
'There is no money': Javier Milei delivers Argentines painful truth in maiden speech
Oh boy... how long is he going to last at this rate?
https://youtu.be/pcdDwUyAf84?si=NDeOUgtuWpeghN3E
Oh boy... how long is he going to last at this rate?
https://youtu.be/pcdDwUyAf84?si=NDeOUgtuWpeghN3E
- Mon Dec 18, 2023 11:59 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
There was an interesting study done looking at local communities spanning either side of Erie, PA... the three States of Ohio, PA, and NY... and there were significant differences in health and longevity. The conclusion was based on how difficult / costly it was for people to gain access to care, wh...
- Sat Dec 16, 2023 6:58 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
IMO the taking of a life should be a matter of being justifiable. A soldier killing a enemy has domestic peers justification. A emergency case of a mother presenting in her 9th month and it should be a doctors/family peers call. Around a non absolute guidance law. I could not have said it better. O...
- Thu Dec 14, 2023 12:44 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
I don't disagree. But you failed to answer my questions: -Is the CO law allowing elective abortion in the ninth month acceptable? -Why are more people moving from blue states to red? (Maybe abortion isn't the only issue to consider?) I don't think doing abortions in the 9th month is OK at all, but ...
- Wed Dec 13, 2023 1:49 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
My real issue is with the exceptions. I think those who argue that the progeny of a rapist deserves to be brought into the world by means of the body of the victim are excessively cruel. Such a stance assigns zero value, zero meaning for what it's like to be the victim of a sexual assault, and to ha...
- Sun Dec 10, 2023 10:54 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
He didn't have to. The issue was settled thousands of years earlier in Exodus 20: Thou shall not kill. I'm very glad you brought this up, because coming back to the present day, which are the parties more likely to cause death in the case of pregnant women with difficult pregnancies (Google on &quo...
- Sun Dec 10, 2023 9:29 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
For those who need context: The Beatitudes The text of St. Matthew runs as follows: Blessed are the poor in spirit: for theirs is the kingdom of heaven. (Verse 3) Blessed are the meek: for they shall possess the land. (Verse 4) Blessed are they who mourn: for they shall be comforted. (Verse 5) Bless...
- Sun Dec 10, 2023 8:55 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
- Sat Dec 09, 2023 8:39 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Rational reasons why you should be prepared
- Replies: 10
- Views: 15864
Re: Rational reasons why you should be prepared
I taught my kids how to use a paper road atlas to navigate cross-country in case of an emergency GPS outage. I keep a paper road atlas... it never gets used, but I have it.
- Sat Dec 09, 2023 8:37 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
- Fri Dec 08, 2023 2:05 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why the big move in gold?
- Replies: 95
- Views: 106510
Re: Why the big move in gold?
Gold at 2000 that was short-lived
- Fri Dec 08, 2023 10:22 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Here it comes... Texas AG wants to prosecute the couple after a judge granted their emergency request for an abortion based on medical necessity. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/ag-ken-paxton-warns-houston-hospitals-not-to-comply-with-judge-s-emergency-abortion-order/ar-AA1laBtk Is he setting him...
- Fri Dec 08, 2023 8:08 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Here it comes... Texas AG wants to prosecute the couple after a judge granted their emergency request for an abortion based on medical necessity. Paxton wants to play doctor with women's lives. What a complete turd. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/ag-ken-paxton-warns-houston-hospitals-not-to-compl...
- Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:37 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why the big move in gold?
- Replies: 95
- Views: 106510
Re: Why the big move in gold?
Kitco app says $2135 now? Someone's chasing it hard.
- Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:33 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Thank you for your sentiments. I appreciate it very much.
- Fri Dec 01, 2023 6:44 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
One thing about Texas... most of the knowledge workers are NOT from Texas, even in the oilpatch. The modern Oil & Gas industry is very high tech. At least half of us immigrated to Texas for money and jobs. Texas does a pretty bad job of educating its native sons and daughters when you get right ...
- Fri Dec 01, 2023 6:30 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: The Bond - Bullion Barbell
- Replies: 0
- Views: 24488
The Bond - Bullion Barbell
Perma-bear David "Rosie" Rosenberg thinks Long Bonds could be up 25% in 2024. He's also bullish on gold.
https://youtu.be/eRhbFNi3Has?si=cddW695zm5JB5Pff
https://youtu.be/eRhbFNi3Has?si=cddW695zm5JB5Pff
- Fri Dec 01, 2023 11:59 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
- Replies: 62
- Views: 372055
Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Both of my daughters left Texas recently. They can't really get 100% comprehensive gynecological care here. Ectopic pregnancy? Fetus going to inevitably die? We're sorry. Come back when you're septic and your internal organs are failing. Then we'll talk. One of them at least wants to have kids, but ...