Search found 3238 matches
- Sun Jun 12, 2022 7:28 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
- Replies: 555
- Views: 220867
Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Now I remember why I left the forum for two years
- Sun Jun 12, 2022 7:26 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
- Replies: 555
- Views: 220867
Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
You're being ridiculous. The smallest companies in the SP are like Alaska Airlines, News Corp, Fox News, DaVita, Norwegian Cruise Lines .. Don't throw that Joe's Vegan Taco stuff around any longer. You make yourself look absurd. Your posts don't deserve a reply
- Sun Jun 12, 2022 11:44 am
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: I Bonds’s new variable rate will rise to 9.62% with the May reset
- Replies: 17
- Views: 2193
Re: I Bonds’s new variable rate will rise to 9.62% with the May reset
US Treasury sent me an email saying they expect conversion of paper I-Bonds to digital to take SIXTEEN WEEKS! 

- Sun Jun 12, 2022 10:30 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
- Replies: 555
- Views: 220867
Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Would you say that such funds are a kind of automatic buy-low sell-high? YES. Whenever they rebalance to equal Dollar amounts for each security, they will do that. Market-cap weighted are a momentum strategy. The titans of the S&P500 got that way because they have grown a lot in recent years, which...
- Sun Jun 12, 2022 6:21 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
- Replies: 555
- Views: 220867
Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
I will have to try!
And that point the GB devolves into an HBPP with an equity tilt...
And that point the GB devolves into an HBPP with an equity tilt...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 7:14 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
- Replies: 7
- Views: 402
Re: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
How much of the shale boom was unprofitable and doomed to fail. And who funded that, Fed or stupid investors or both The Fed put everyone on a chase for yield. The shale companies had a compelling story. They did produce a lot of oil, they just lost money with every barrel. Now they are making mone...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 6:08 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
- Replies: 7
- Views: 402
Re: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
Publicly traded oil and gas firms are not drilling aggressively now because they have shale debts to pay off, investors want cash returned to them not burnt up in more unprofitable misadventures, and ESG is a factor. That's the entire premise behind Energy Funders - disintermediate the crappy manage...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 6:00 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Unequal Sector Coverage in ETFs
- Replies: 11
- Views: 1383
Re: Unequal Sector Coverage in ETFs
Cap weight is equal weight. You own 1% of Amazon and 1% of Joe's vegan taco stand. Equal weight means your portfolio has the same dollar amount of Amazon and of Joe's vegan taco stand. Go to RSP Page at Invesco and look at detailed holdings. It's the same dollar amount for the largest firms as for ...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:53 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
- Replies: 7
- Views: 402
Re: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
Ocho whats your take on Peak Oil Everyone well, field, petroleum province, nation sees a peak and decline in oil and gas production. Also the entire planet will. It's just physics and chemistry. Higher price gets more exploration going, though, but as depletion continues the prices required increas...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 4:03 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
- Replies: 555
- Views: 220867
Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
I have RSP on the brain today (equal-weight S&P500 ETF). A GB with 40% RSP beats a GB with 20% ISV and 20% VTI, but the limiting factor for my backtesting (portfoliovisualizer.com) is when GLD started. It makes sense, RSP is not an implicit growth strategy (unlike cap-weighted ETFs) is therefore mor...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:37 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: How much can you not afford to lose?
- Replies: 37
- Views: 2427
Re: How much can you not afford to lose?
Hi edwardjk you totally misunderstood my statement. I was not implying that one should live off interest and dividends. I didn't say that at all. Being able to generate cash flows includes selling assets, as well as interest and dividends.
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 11:15 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Direct investment in oil & gas wells
- Replies: 7
- Views: 402
Direct investment in oil & gas wells
I put 1% of my portfolio into EnergyFunders.com they directly invest in oil & gas wells. But it has a 3-5 year lock up, it's for accredited investors only, and you sign away your money! No liquidity, you cannot get out. I know the people involved personally, so it was semi-easy for me here in Housto...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 10:21 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My crypto journey
- Replies: 2
- Views: 236
Re: My crypto journey
Thank you. I maybe have to sell by 12/31/2023 anyway because of that beyatch IRMAA
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 9:57 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: How much can you not afford to lose?
- Replies: 37
- Views: 2427
Re: How much can you not afford to lose?
Perspective from a near-retiree: "How much can I afford to lose?" is the wrong question for me. This question is framed around Net Worth, and changes to Net Worth. Net worth doesn't matter for retirees. Repeat - net worth doesn't matter for retirees. The ability to generate after-tax inflation adjus...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 8:16 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Unequal Sector Coverage in ETFs
- Replies: 11
- Views: 1383
Re: Unequal Sector Coverage in ETFs
From its inception in 2003, RSP (S&P500 equal-weight ETF) has beaten SPY / IVV / VOO. I think the value vs growth argument by the OP is compelling. Equal weight is MORE AGNOSTIC than an implicit tilt toward growth. If you're truly honest with yourself, and you truly believe this statement - "I don't...
- Sat Jun 11, 2022 8:08 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My crypto journey
- Replies: 2
- Views: 236
My crypto journey
My crypto journey: 1. In 2020, put 1% of portfolio into Bitcoin ($10,000 per coin) and Ethereum ($250 per coin) 2. Both zoomed. BTC went up like 5x in a matter of months 3. I pulled my original capital OUT, so my at-risk money was now $0 (I did it in a tax-free manner too… buy donating to a charity ...
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 4:58 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: What polcies can be done to prevent mass shootings
- Replies: 228
- Views: 10915
Re: What polcies can be done to prevent mass shootings
You guys are arguing about hardware, and laws related to it, and missing the other part of the 2nd Amendment. Well Regulated Militia. How is what we have a Well Regulated Militia? I think there should be a Militia, organized at a low level (County perhaps), and everyone who wants to be on it has to ...
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 4:52 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 503
- Views: 237764
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 4:51 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: coping with a LTT bear market
- Replies: 9
- Views: 1556
Re: coping with a LTT bear market
The longest drawdown for this portfolio is about a year. I'd do nothing, put all new money to cash, but then rebalance on Jan 1, 2023. That's what I'd do.
- Mon Jun 06, 2022 4:32 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
- Replies: 294
- Views: 17002
Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
$100+ oil never hurts the oil business. Things are picking up. We expect 2023 to be exceptional for our oil & gas cloud computing and consulting company. Thanks. Can you recommend something to read that explains the pros and cons of the Keystone XL Pipeline? I'm looking for something that doesn't h...
- Sun Jun 05, 2022 7:53 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
- Replies: 294
- Views: 17002
Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
$100+ oil never hurts the oil business. Things are picking up. We expect 2023 to be exceptional for our oil & gas cloud computing and consulting company.
- Sat Jun 04, 2022 9:42 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
- Replies: 294
- Views: 17002
Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
I'm dropping in after a long absence. I'm taking note of the pretty severe drawdown in the HBPP, and I must say it's making me more hopeful about the model. Even though HBPP is a collection of four things, not just one thing, mean reversion is a strong force. If the portfolio is down 10% or more the...
- Sat Jun 04, 2022 9:36 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bitcoin and Taxes
- Replies: 3
- Views: 569
Re: Bitcoin and Taxes
I got into Bitcoin at $10,500 and Ethereum at $250. BTC quadrupled on me, so I donated an amount equal to my initial spend to a Fidelity Donor Advised Fund, thereby recovering my original value in a tax-free manner (I get to control where the DAF sends charity donations). So my downside is $0 even i...
- Sat Jun 04, 2022 9:26 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 503
- Views: 237764
Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
UPDATE My portfolio drawdown is about the same as the HBPP... -8.8%. But my growth has been a lot more, over the past two years (I've been gone about that period of time, right?) my portfolio is up 67% (of course, that includes new money as well as internal growth), and now I'm retirement-ready. I c...
- Sat Jan 09, 2021 8:57 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
- Replies: 154
- Views: 28149
Re: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
Because why? Because MUH FREEDUMS? Wait... doesn't the hosting organizations in all of these (absurd) examples have MUH FREEDUMS too? Could you make your point without the demeaning regional sound effects intended to paint libertarians as backward illiterates? This has been going on for quite some ...