Search found 19 matches

by robtkatz
Wed Feb 17, 2016 2:02 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Acceptable Bond ETFs
Replies: 4
Views: 5677

Re: Acceptable Bond ETFs

Thanks, all!
by robtkatz
Sun Feb 14, 2016 3:36 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Bonds — Maturity and Duration
Replies: 3
Views: 3612

Re: Bonds — Maturity and Duration

What effects do maturity and duration have on Bond ETF performance? How important is each of the two criteria, and what are good ranges to look for? Is bond duration listed, or does it have to be calculated? Google is your best friend. No disrespect but the definitions are concise and understandabl...
by robtkatz
Sun Feb 14, 2016 1:54 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Bonds — Maturity and Duration
Replies: 3
Views: 3612

Bonds — Maturity and Duration

What effects do maturity and duration have on Bond ETF performance?
How important is each of the two criteria, and what are good ranges to look for?
Is bond duration listed, or does it have to be calculated?

--
Thank you,

---Robert
by robtkatz
Sun Feb 14, 2016 10:33 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Acceptable Bond ETFs
Replies: 4
Views: 5677

Acceptable Bond ETFs

What are the acceptable Bond ETFs for the Permanent Portfolio? In particular, are VGLT, TLO, and TLT all satisfactory holdings?  Are there any others? And what about replacing the cumulative position of 25% Cash, 25% Long Term Treasury with 50% Intermediate Term Treasuries? -- Thank you, ---Robert
by robtkatz
Thu Jan 29, 2015 7:45 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Why not Berkshire Hathaway?
Replies: 11
Views: 9890

Re: Why not Berkshire Hathaway?

The guys running Berkshire are getting very old.  An article on cbsmarketwatch.com said their new hires did not beat the s & p 500 in 2014. The no fees idea is nice but VTI may be the better bet. Yeah, I'm wondering what'll happen to Berkshire Hathaway when Buffett departs.  What'll be it's pri...
by robtkatz
Fri Jan 23, 2015 8:04 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Why not Berkshire Hathaway?
Replies: 11
Views: 9890

Re: Why not Berkshire Hathaway?

mukramesh wrote: Why use Berkshire Hathaway? In your opinion, what advantage is there in using it over a general stock index for the PP?
Berkshire Hathaway is a multinational conglomeration of a diverse array of stocks  picked by a guy who has beaten the S&P repeatedly, and with lower fees than any ETF.
by robtkatz
Fri Jan 23, 2015 12:28 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Why not Berkshire Hathaway?
Replies: 11
Views: 9890

Why not Berkshire Hathaway?

Why not BRKB: Berkshire Hathaway INC for the stock portion of the Permanent Portfolio?
by robtkatz
Fri Jan 09, 2015 10:34 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations
Replies: 101
Views: 255221

Re: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations

MachineGhost wrote:
robtkatz wrote: What is the method for trend-following?
Simple MA, etc..
Is there a reference that explains this in detail?  I don't know much about it.
by robtkatz
Fri Jan 09, 2015 6:50 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations
Replies: 101
Views: 255221

Re: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations

I meant that if you did more than 25% cash to reduce the portfolio risk, it will will reduce the return and increase retirement shortfall risk.  I can't remember, but I think even at 50% cash the PP still had a moderate MaxDD, maybe -15% or so.  In other words, raising the cash level isn't quite as...
by robtkatz
Wed Jan 07, 2015 10:06 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations
Replies: 101
Views: 255221

Re: Backtesting for the Optimum HBPP Allocations

Hello, who is using different allocation than 25-25-25-25% ? And why? Thank you and great 2015! Frugal, one might use a different allocation in order to cut down volatility.  As an old timer, the most important thing for me is to do the best I can while keeping the draw-downs low. Here's a model of...
by robtkatz
Wed Jan 07, 2015 9:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2005-2015 10 year PP performance check-up
Replies: 11
Views: 6451

Re: 2005-2015 10 year PP performance check-up

During the period of January 5th, 2005 through today (January 5th, 2015), the PP returned a nominal CAGR of 7.62% ... It's even better than that, Stick.  The free version of ETFreplay doesn't do re-balancing.  If one re-balanced every year to 25, 25, 25, 25, then the CAGR comes out to an impressive...
by robtkatz
Thu Jan 01, 2015 3:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: My Permanent Portfolio Allocation
Replies: 4
Views: 3664

Re: My Permanent Portfolio Allocation

Pointedstick wrote: You don't like selling high and buying low?
Good one, Stick :)!
by robtkatz
Thu Jan 01, 2015 2:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: My Permanent Portfolio Allocation
Replies: 4
Views: 3664

My Permanent Portfolio Allocation

Right now, my Permanent Portfolio Allocation looks like this: 18% SHY: iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF 30% TLT: iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF 17% IAU: iShares COMEX Gold Trust ETF 35% IJR: iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund ETF According to the guidelines, I o...
by robtkatz
Thu Jan 01, 2015 1:58 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF as a proxy for Cash
Replies: 6
Views: 5453

Re: 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF as a proxy for Cash

For the cash portion of my Permanent Portfolio, I'm using IEF: iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF .  Is that a good proxy for Cash ? Nah. Cash isn't where you want your volatility. Stick to SHV, SHY, or treasuries. The more you increase the duration on the bonds you use for cash, the...
by robtkatz
Wed Dec 31, 2014 6:05 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF as a proxy for Cash
Replies: 6
Views: 5453

7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF as a proxy for Cash

For the cash portion of my Permanent Portfolio, I'm using IEF: iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF.  Is that a good proxy for Cash?
by robtkatz
Wed Dec 31, 2014 5:54 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Small Cap Index Fund ETF instead of S&P 500 Index Fund ETF
Replies: 4
Views: 4016

Small Cap Index Fund ETF instead of S&P 500 Index Fund ETF

For my Permanent Portfolio Stock Allocation, I'm using, IJR: iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund ETF instead of IVV: iShares Core S&P 500 Index Fund ETF.  Is that a good substitute?
by robtkatz
Wed Dec 31, 2014 1:49 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Cash Out
Replies: 6
Views: 4791

Re: Cash Out

Cool, so you'll be drawing down the bonds, and then rebalancing back into them occasionally.  You'll be doing with the bonds what is usually done with the cash.  Sounds like it would work. You ask "too risky?"  As Harry would say, that's the wrong question.  A somewhat meaningless questio...
by robtkatz
Wed Dec 31, 2014 10:05 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Cash Out
Replies: 6
Views: 4791

Re: Cash Out

LC475 wrote: How will you pay your bills?

What will you do if an unexpected expense comes up?
Right now, I expect to withdraw about ½% per month.  TLT is commission free at Fidelity, so I'd sell some of that.
by robtkatz
Wed Dec 31, 2014 9:34 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Cash Out
Replies: 6
Views: 4791

Cash Out

I'm thinking of doing something like this:
  • 33% IJR iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund ETF
  • 37% TLT iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF
  • 30% IAU iShares COMEX Gold Trust ETF
  • 0% cash
Is that too risky?