Search found 200 matches

by lordmetroid
Tue Mar 08, 2016 3:45 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Replies: 539
Views: 350657

Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Whooaaaaa *Clap, Clap, Clap, Clap, Clap, Clap*

This is an awesome tool. You are a god of the future robo-advising industry!
by lordmetroid
Mon Mar 07, 2016 1:07 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1658198

Re: The GOLD scream room

The ETFs have been leveraging 280 times as of lately. That is, their exists only 1 unit of gold for for every 280th share.
by lordmetroid
Thu Mar 03, 2016 5:43 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12249

Re: 100% stocks

koekebakker wrote:
lordmetroid wrote: I already abandoned the idea a few days after my proclamation of 100% stocks.
Allright, might have missed that. Good thing you reconsidered! Take it slow now  ;)
Yeah, I am trading stocks instead!
by lordmetroid
Wed Mar 02, 2016 5:13 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12249

Re: 100% stocks

I already abandoned the idea a few days after my proclamation of 100% stocks.
by lordmetroid
Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:51 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12249

Re: 100% stocks

Will this be 100% Swedish or European stocks, or will you do a world-cap weighting, like the VT ETF? It is exciting, to see someone moving to 100% stocks.  100% stocks is a big bet on prosperity, but for all of our sake, I hope you're right.  Let us know when you have done it, so we can see how it ...
by lordmetroid
Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:05 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12249

Re: 100% stocks

You must put your decisions within the context of your overall financial situation. The OP is living in EU. They pay lots of tax and have big social security nets. I guess an average EU person pays around 40-50% in tax, if they go unemployed they can get around 2000 EUR/month, many have partially p...
by lordmetroid
Wed Feb 17, 2016 6:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: VoIP
Replies: 14
Views: 7844

Re: VoIP

Landline?
I don't have no frickin landline. We are living in the age of cellphones now!
Broadband fiber internet connection is the closest to landline I got!
by lordmetroid
Mon Feb 15, 2016 5:10 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1658198

Re: The GOLD scream room

Gold is tanking, speculating that this is temporary but who knows. We may have actually hit the bottom of this a mini stock crash like late 2014. On the other hand we may be in for the long haul Japanese style. Who knows... I don't care!
by lordmetroid
Mon Feb 15, 2016 5:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

Mmmm, you are probably right. I don't have any better idea anyway so I am going to stick with the Permanent Portfolio.
Can't wait to see my stock purchase drop 90% as we get another great depression.  8)
by lordmetroid
Mon Feb 15, 2016 4:24 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12249

100% stocks

I can't count on the gold as the japanese historical example have shown gold doesn't act as a hedge against the stock market, bonds are just boring so what do I intend to do.

1. Dollar cost averaging,
2. Buy and hold a free domestic index fund.
3. ? ? ?
4. Profit!!1!
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 6:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

frugal wrote: Hello,

so, outside of USA what is the alternative to PP?

Thank you.
At the moment I have no good answer, I am trying to figure out what to do now.
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 12:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

I remember someone (Browne?) writing that gold can take some time, years even, to do its thing. Whether one thinks of it as an inflation hedge, a fear index or whatever, it will not necessarily respond quickly to events, let alone day-to-day happenings and perceptions of those happenings. In the ca...
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 12:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

1990, the Japanese economy is experiencing Ragnarok. Stocks markets are in free fall and a whole country of japanese people are panicking but no reaction in gold. Nikkei 225, 1975 - 2015 [img width=500]http://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/servlet/quickviewChart?SERIES_KEY=143.FM.M.JP.JPY.DS.EI.JAPDOWA.HSTA[/img...
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 12:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

Japan has been in deflation for more than 20 years and even so the price of gold in yen has skyrocketed since 2004, which makes no sense whatsoever. http://goldprice.org/gold-price-japan.html Thank you for the hyperlink, did some research on the price charts and noticed price in GBP shows the same ...
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 11:50 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bonds and Cash
Replies: 4
Views: 3570

Re: Bonds and Cash

Lang wrote: Are you sure that you can't buy government bonds directly? This sounds pretty strange.
Yes, I am sure. Only banks and other wholesalers are offered to purchase directly and these wholesalers doesn't sell to private investors in smaller chunks than 1 million SEK.
by lordmetroid
Sat Feb 13, 2016 10:37 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bonds and Cash
Replies: 4
Views: 3570

Bonds and Cash

I have a hard time figuring out how to invest in bonds and cash. As a private investor in Sweden I have no way to directly purchase government bonds and bills directly, there are however many mutual funds that holds various mixes of fixed income assets. Cash: Could I use a mutual fund that holds a m...
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 9:13 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The fifth economic pattern
Replies: 14
Views: 8186

Re: The fifth economic pattern

This is the fifth condition: wild money printing that has not yet erupted into hyperinflation. The money they are printing is being used to partly buy equity and partly to pay off bad debts the banks created. As the debt is payed off the amount of credit in the economy shrinks and hence there is a ...
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 9:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16561

Permanent Portfolio is only for US

I think I figured  it out, the Permanent Portfolio can not work outside of the United States. Any local economic turmoil in a any other economy other than the super power wouldn't effect the gold. Europe stock markets peaked the 27th of April of 2016, far ahead of the US stock markets. However we di...
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 6:50 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'm noticing a lack of threads about how terrible the PP is
Replies: 24
Views: 11245

Re: I'm noticing a lack of threads about how terrible the PP is

The points dissipated in the collective demand and supply for the asset.
Your speculation turned out to be a loss in this case. You have something that fewer people wants to buy compared to when you bought.
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 3:16 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'm noticing a lack of threads about how terrible the PP is
Replies: 24
Views: 11245

Re: I'm noticing a lack of threads about how terrible the PP is

I only got 3 quarters of a Permanent Portfolio at the moment, I am not entering stocks until the moving averages indicates a change in the trend. I am well aware that I am risking a sudden unexpected huge swing back. However, I am more psychologically comfortable not seeing part of my portfolio rapi...
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 3:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Safe withdrawal rate when you have a mortgage?
Replies: 21
Views: 10091

Re: Safe withdrawal rate when you have a mortgage?

If you got a house worth anything you can simply sell, pocket the who profit and move into a rental apartment. Maybe a one room flat. That is a huge downsizing and now your portfolio is worth several 100K more in a relative small amount of time. The yield that the profit will generate might be large...
by lordmetroid
Fri Feb 12, 2016 2:52 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany
Replies: 101
Views: 47948

Re: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany

I've seen this suggestions here a couple of times now. If low/negative interest rates are of concern here, then why in the world would a switch to a shorter duration be sensible, where interest rates would be even lower/more negative?! The issue is the risk of changes in the market price of the bon...
by lordmetroid
Thu Feb 11, 2016 6:16 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1658198

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow wrote: Things may drop again tomorrow, but what a day. Time to celebrate.
It will just be a temporary drop, the stock market is far from bottom yet.
by lordmetroid
Thu Feb 11, 2016 6:14 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold soaring amid economic fear
Replies: 13
Views: 8826

Re: Gold soaring amid economic fear

Many people are probably reimaging a 2008 or with these low interest rates with a potential to go negative, a japanification of the economy where the stock market will never recover and this is the 25 year ATH.