Search found 165 matches

by mukramesh
Wed Apr 20, 2022 10:30 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Bonds Do Nothing for PP?
Replies: 5
Views: 1702

Re: Bonds Do Nothing for PP?

Max Drawdown and Worst Year were significantly reduced in Portfolio 1 (with LTTs)
Sharpe and Sortino Ratio were up.
Market Correlation was down.

You can decide if those are valuable to you. They are to me.
by mukramesh
Wed Apr 20, 2022 10:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
Replies: 341
Views: 140767

Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?

buddtholomew wrote:
Wed Apr 13, 2022 12:56 pm
...

Now people are either selling some or all of their LTT’s down 15%+ and locking in losses. Makes me think it’s a reasonable time to start buying.
I'm with you. I will likely make a big purchase of LTT's soon.
by mukramesh
Wed Feb 03, 2021 1:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Adding new funds - advanced
Replies: 7
Views: 2917

Re: Adding new funds - advanced

I think the optimal path can't be known in advance..

FWIW, I let cash accumulate until it reaches 35% and then buy assets to rebalance back to 25x4. This method is easy and results in very infrequent trading.
by mukramesh
Wed Jan 13, 2021 2:45 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Our lives are too easy...
Replies: 11
Views: 2392

Re: Our lives are too easy...

SomeDude wrote:
Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:40 pm
WE don't like your tone. The beauty of the left is they will always step up and speak for everyone else.
Politics sub-forum is leaking again ::)
by mukramesh
Tue Jan 12, 2021 10:45 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Mortgage Backed Securities as Part of Bond Allocation?
Replies: 3
Views: 2998

Re: Mortgage Backed Securities as Part of Bond Allocation?

I'm not totally following the advantage of this. Does adding MBS somehow increase the expected return or lower the volatility of the portfolio? Are MBS priced like treasuries? (I.e. price goes up as interest rate goes down and vice versa). My understanding is MBS are low yield (but probably higher t...
by mukramesh
Mon Jan 11, 2021 4:24 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Opting out of Politics, My Reasons
Replies: 16
Views: 2906

Re: Opting out of Politics, My Reasons

SomeDude wrote:
Mon Jan 11, 2021 12:54 pm
For God's sake children are doxing their parents and reporting them like it's Nazi Germany or post Soviet revolution Russia. And it might well be just that if the lefties get their way.
I'm scared to ask but... how do you think the lefties feel about if the righties get their way?
by mukramesh
Mon Dec 14, 2020 2:51 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP* Portfolio
Replies: 12
Views: 3859

Re: PP* Portfolio

Can this be back tested? In my testing, PP* is ~2% over or under whatever the vanilla PP does so nothing drastic According to Portfolio Charts, PP: 5.1% Avg 7.3% Std Dev. PP*: 5% Avg 6.8% Std Dev. So basically the same. Why make the change? Edit: I only tested reducing the cash allocation. Stock po...
by mukramesh
Thu Dec 10, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Talk on the PP
Replies: 9
Views: 3088

Re: Talk on the PP

+1 Sophie ;D
by mukramesh
Thu Dec 03, 2020 1:30 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?
Replies: 55
Views: 19188

Re: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?

I don't try to project returns at an arbitrary point in the future (your next 10 years for example). My thought is if volatility is high, having all 4 assets will give me better rebalancing opportunities along the way. For example, although the standard PP is 14.3% YTD (etfreplay), my own portfolio ...
by mukramesh
Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:18 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?
Replies: 55
Views: 19188

Re: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?

As horrible as Trump has been for debt growth, if he hands the keys over to Kamala I've got to think it will get worse. Based on what? Democrats finance projects via taxes. Republicans finance projects via debt. Based on the economy going into a tailspin from the aforementioned massive tax increase...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 3:15 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

The people here with PPs who don't like VP investing aren't complaining that there is a VP section. I, for one, simply turned that section off. I don't want to leave because a few folks want to talk about non PP investing. So why then have so many people left? Why have so many people voted "yes" on...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:50 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?
Replies: 52
Views: 11153

Re: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?

As in the other thread, I don't understand. Why would someone leave here due to the politics? Why not just stop browsing this subforum where all the political content has been corralled into? Some people just can't help themselves, Smithers. They lack self-control. They find it too tempting to just...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:48 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?
Replies: 52
Views: 11153

Re: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?

People are banned all the time on Internet forums. I don't think my comment was controversial. I wasn't referring to a specific person that I thought should be banned, so I apologize if it came across that way. Group A wants people to have freedom to choose their actions and take responsibility for...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:20 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?
Replies: 52
Views: 11153

Re: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?

People are banned all the time on Internet forums. I don't think my comment was controversial. I wasn't referring to a specific person that I thought should be banned, so I apologize if it came across that way. Group A wants people to have freedom to choose their actions and take responsibility for ...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:03 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?
Replies: 52
Views: 11153

Re: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?

To be fair, I agree the Bogleheads forum is ridiculous. I'm not suggesting that. These are not binary choices. It doesn't have to be one or the other. There is a WIDE gap in between the two. I find your statement to be apropos to the political discourse libertarians have with leftists. Whereby libe...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:27 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

I agree the forum is being split in two directions and I vote we get rid of the finance and investing talk and focus on the politics. Politics is interesting and dynamically changing while the PP has been the same for 20+ years. How hard is the permanent portfolio, really? The whole point is that i...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

if something "somebody posted on the internet" is getting you riled up.. take a minute or a day... consider your reply and avoid feeding the drama.. Yes obviously we can just avoid the discussions related to politics. +1 for personal responsibility. Frankly, I'll probably stick around no matter wha...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:23 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

Maybe the answer is to warn/temporarily-ban/permanently-ban the abrasive people. Or, to chose to not engage with those you believe fall into that category. Fires don't keep going without burning material, correct? I totally agree with you from a personal responsibility perspective! And Libertarian6...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:14 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

Maybe the answer is to warn/temporarily-ban/permanently-ban the abrasive people.
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:48 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

if something "somebody posted on the internet" is getting you riled up.. take a minute or a day... consider your reply and avoid feeding the drama.. Yes obviously we can just avoid the discussions related to politics. +1 for personal responsibility. Frankly, I'll probably stick around no matter wha...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:40 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?
Replies: 52
Views: 11153

Re: Poll: Have You Thought Of Leaving Forum Because Of Politics?

buddtholomew wrote:
Wed Dec 02, 2020 9:56 am
I’m grateful this site started around the time I began investing in the PP else I never would have ascribed to the philosophy sifting through all the current threads.
+1
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:32 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

The political drama has poisoned this forum. We have lost tons of members because of it. It has put us all at each others throats and divided us into groups. I don't think the politics belongs here. I think that if politics stay, eventually it will be the death of this forum. Absolutely. No one is ...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:27 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

The political drama has poisoned this forum. We have lost tons of members because of it. It has put us all at each others throats and divided us into groups. I don't think the politics belongs here. I think that if politics stay, eventually it will be the death of this forum. Absolutely. No one is ...
by mukramesh
Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:06 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing
Replies: 116
Views: 23519

Re: I Think This Forum Should Stick To Investing

pmward wrote:
Wed Dec 02, 2020 8:28 am
The political drama has poisoned this forum. We have lost tons of members because of it. It has put us all at each others throats and divided us into groups. I don't think the politics belongs here. I think that if politics stay, eventually it will be the death of this forum.
Absolutely.
by mukramesh
Tue Dec 01, 2020 3:28 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?
Replies: 55
Views: 19188

Re: Does it make sense to buy long bonds now?

SomeDude wrote:
Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:04 am

As horrible as Trump has been for debt growth, if he hands the keys over to Kamala I've got to think it will get worse.
Based on what? Democrats finance projects via taxes. Republicans finance projects via debt.