Search found 1553 matches

by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:44 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: BSV for cash portion
Replies: 9
Views: 216

Re: BSV for cash portion

Free (and good financial thoughts)...dig deep into the details of the contract, find out who is offering it, who is backing it, what level of insurance does it have if any, what it holds for assets, how they are invested (investment policy), what is your state's involvement (I think i read it was go...
by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Morningstar LTT & Gold analysis
Replies: 7
Views: 289

Morningstar LTT & Gold analysis

This is really good analysis I think. https://www.morningstar.com/articles/980636/long-bonds-and-gold-as-portfolio-diversifiers https://www.morningstar.com/articles/981788/gold-shares-or-bullion-as-portfolio-diversifiers Those of you familiar with the term risk on/risk off...seems like we are now PP...
by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:24 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 2787
Views: 596279

Re: The GOLD scream room

That there is funny with a capital F.
by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:23 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: A Boat I (Gladly) Missed
Replies: 6
Views: 230

Re: A Boat I (Gladly) Missed

Smith1776 wrote:
Wed Jul 08, 2020 2:12 am
About a year and a half ago I was eating at Denny's restaurant with some friends. Aside from talking about typical millennial topics such as yoga, kale smoothies, and snapchat
I KNEW it! Freakin snowflakes. ;)
by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 10:06 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: BSV for cash portion
Replies: 9
Views: 216

Re: BSV for cash portion

I have a sizable amount of my "cash" allocation in a 401k Mass Mutual stable value/Fixed Account that guarantees 3%/yr. "The Fixed Account is not a mutual fund. It is an investment choice available through a group annuity contract or group funding agreement." My plan was to draw from it as needed. ...
by Kbg
Fri Jul 10, 2020 8:14 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: BSV for cash portion
Replies: 9
Views: 216

Re: BSV for cash portion

https://investor.vanguard.com/etf/profile/BSV What would be the downsides to using the Vanguard Short Term Bond Fund for the cash portion? It is 67% in treasuries with a 2 year duration. It held up well in 2008 and so far this year in comparison to a Treasury only ETF like SHY. And over a 10 year p...
by Kbg
Mon Jun 22, 2020 8:35 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Replies: 96
Views: 69886

Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios

Yeah we do. Thanks for posting I was just coming to post this. In addition to UGL, I think DGP is worth a look. They both have their pros and cons. DGP, cheaper, clearly better performing, no K-1...big downside it's an ETN, but so was UGLD. Personally, if one could digest UGLD then I think DGP is th...
by Kbg
Mon Jun 22, 2020 11:55 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio Shakedown
Replies: 9
Views: 1001

Re: Permanent Portfolio Shakedown

I think it is important to note that what the author of the linked post has proposed is in no way a version of the PP. He has addressed what he views as the flaws of the PP by introducing various modeling techniques which attempt to improve performance by predicting what the next periods results wi...
by Kbg
Mon Jun 08, 2020 7:59 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: split-strike synthetic PP portfolio?
Replies: 2
Views: 324

Re: split-strike synthetic PP portfolio?

I have no idea and backtesting something like this requires specialized data and software. If you don't have them, it's a pure guess. The bold is my actual answer. My speculative answer is this is probably not a great idea with the PP. While from an options perspective, you have a point, from a por...
by Kbg
Fri Jun 05, 2020 10:28 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Replies: 96
Views: 69886

Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios

My personal mix is: 60 unleveraged bonds, 20 TQQQ, 10 TMF, 10 UGLD Through the close on 6/5/20: By the book: 10.46% Personal version that includes a little market timing on my part: 13.30% Basically I didn't get why LTTs would spike as high and as hard as they did...made no rational sense. As soon a...
by Kbg
Tue May 26, 2020 6:32 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Has Outperformed Stocks Over The Past 20 Years
Replies: 59
Views: 2712

Re: Gold Has Outperformed Stocks Over The Past 20 Years

Here is a tip which pretty much works in all times and all places as a general rule...not as a specific, but as a general rule. Obviously any individual trade will do what it is going to do. If you are a stop loss kind of person, set it in your head/on a piece of paper, do not enter it to trigger th...
by Kbg
Tue May 12, 2020 7:01 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Southwest?
Replies: 12
Views: 2090

Re: Southwest?

It is going to be interesting to see how this thing works out. The data is heinously bad, worst ever in my life time. Way exceeding the 2008 financial meltdown. I suppose there are a zillion possibilities, but let's go with fast snap back or drawn out financial problems that are REALLY going to caus...