Search found 1696 matches

by barrett
Tue Nov 23, 2021 12:44 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1879
Views: 99893

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

The Tokyo/Ivermectin post is utter nonsense. Ivermectin is not widely used in Japan to treat Covid. They are doing some studies on Ivermectin, but to claim that the Covid numbers declining are due to Ivermectin use is simply false. Here's a good article on Japan (from 3-4 days ago) and their super ...
by barrett
Sat Nov 20, 2021 1:07 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Maher clips
Replies: 16
Views: 243

Re: Maher clips

Thanks for posting this. I've been watching a bunch of Bill Maher clips recently and he's right on about so many things. Maher considers himself to be a "traditional liberal". As such he connects with people like me who also fall into that category and think WTF about the current left wing of the pa...
by barrett
Fri Nov 19, 2021 8:59 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: i-Bonds How-to Q&A as of 2021 November
Replies: 14
Views: 683

Re: i-Bonds How-to Q&A as of 2021 November

In other words, the overall rate was very low until recently, right? That’s why the CAGR is bad? That is correct, dualstow. Below are two links that should answer a lot of your questions. This is from Treasury Direct: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds_iratesand...
by barrett
Thu Nov 18, 2021 12:43 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: i-Bonds How-to Q&A as of 2021 November
Replies: 14
Views: 683

Re: i-Bonds How-to Q&A as of 2021 November

Dualstow, I’ll try to answer what I think you are asking. Your bond that shows 3.74% has a fixed rate of .2%. Your bond that shows 4.76% has a fixed rate of 1.2%. They are not yet showing a higher composite rate because of the months of purchase. When the six-month period where the variable rate is ...
by barrett
Tue Nov 09, 2021 9:34 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 4625

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

From a PP perspective, I just don't see any reason NOT to keep as much of my cash allocation as possible in I-bonds. At least at the present time. If they ever stop being such a good deal I can always cash them out. Let’s remember that we are always talking about buying I-Bonds as “taxable” holding...
by barrett
Sun Nov 07, 2021 9:36 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Notre Dame yesterday. What an amazing early November day! I understand some getting all worked up and moaning about masking, but look at this picture. Is the man or the government holding me down here? Tailgating was nuts as well. And I understand many of the rules don't make any sense! But if you ...
by barrett
Sat Nov 06, 2021 9:46 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

The mask is most effective at demonstrating the submission of the wearer to whatever dictates have been imposed. This is demonstrated most clearly by the diners who don the garment of submission at the door, and remove it as soon as they are seated. No, this is demonstrated most clearly by the driv...
by barrett
Sat Nov 06, 2021 7:27 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

But if you are going to compare Covid outcomes in Florida & Hawaii, you also should know that Florida has lost 2,770 people per million due to Covid-related illness while Hawaii is currently at 658 per million. I really wish people would stop making comparisons like this. Scientifically this is utt...
by barrett
Fri Nov 05, 2021 10:50 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%
Replies: 28
Views: 1850

Re: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%

Thanks. I also just shifted some cash in IRAs to VTIP. At least it will get some level of dividends for a while vs. nothing. I seriously need to educate myself on TIPS, but doesn't this expose you to some interest rate risk? I mean, it may work out great but it doesn't seem like an equivalent way o...
by barrett
Fri Nov 05, 2021 6:54 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%
Replies: 28
Views: 1850

Re: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%

Yup, took the plunge in late October myself. The NEXT, obvious question is when, and how much to invest in I Bonds in 2022? Plunk that $10k down in January to take full advantage of that sweet, sweet 7.12% rate? Do it in April or even later once the next period's rate is known? Or split two- $5k in...
by barrett
Thu Nov 04, 2021 4:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

As for why I choose not to wear a mask it's because I don't believe they work just as Fauci originally stated. As I stated in a post above Hawaii and Florida now have the lowest case counts per capita in the U.S. One has had mask mandates for a long time and still have them while the other (Florida...
by barrett
Mon Nov 01, 2021 11:55 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: The Everything Bubble
Replies: 9
Views: 492

Re: The Everything Bubble

I remembered hearing the phrase "The Everything Bubble" a few years back but was really surprised to see that it appeared in the NY Times on July 7, 2014. So, if current asset values are unsustainable, I guess this has been going on for more than seven years. But, to a great extent we should expect ...
by barrett
Sat Oct 30, 2021 5:38 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1879
Views: 99893

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

Here's an interesting explanation of the decline of antibody counts and why it doesn't mean as much as most people think. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/10/waning-immunity-not-all-bad/620436/?utm_source=pocket-newtab Thanks for posting this, Shrugged. It's a fascinating look at ho...
by barrett
Fri Oct 29, 2021 2:25 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

In yet another example of Covid hysteria not close to being over, this morning I took my son to school as usual. He felt fine, everything was fine. About an hour or so later I get a call from school that he has been "coughing." Because of that I have to come pick him up. For him to come back I have...
by barrett
Fri Oct 29, 2021 9:25 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Regarding tweet #1, his figure of 8 deaths per million for CT is wrong. Just pointing this one out because it's something that I follow closely. CT releases Covid data from Monday through Friday. The Monday numbers include Saturday and Sunday as well. BUT, Covid-related fatalities are only reported ...
by barrett
Fri Oct 29, 2021 5:33 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

What could be the explanations for what we see? The highest and lowest are roughly each contiguous states. But why is one area the highest while the other area is lowest? Capture.JPG One explanation is that people being indoors facilitates the spread of the virus and generates more cases. The red s...
by barrett
Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1879
Views: 99893

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

https://overcast.fm/+F1mWd2F8 This is the best discussion about Covid19 and vaccines that I’ve heard yet. Thanks for posting. That is an excellent source of information from a virologist and, I have to say, one of the more optimistic pieces I have heard. I would recommend skipping the first 16 minu...
by barrett
Sat Oct 16, 2021 10:58 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 4625

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

Never mind my last post. Just realized that if I redeemed the May of 2021 bonds in May of 2022, that I actually would get nine months of interest payments (September to May inclusive). Carry on!
by barrett
Sat Oct 16, 2021 7:42 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 4625

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

The rate is set every six months and you get that rate for six months regardless of the announcement date. Quick example. Bond bought in Sept (3.54%) Rate change on 1 Nov to 7.1% Bond bought in Jan September bond stays at 3.54 until March at which point it rolls to 7.1% until Sept next January bond...
by barrett
Thu Oct 14, 2021 11:55 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: "The Bezzle"
Replies: 9
Views: 931

Re: "The Bezzle"

Yes, thanks for posting this! For those of you who have read the piece or are otherwise familiar with the bezzle, do you think that a PP-esque portfolio can withstand the unwinding stage? Does it follow that unwinding benefits high-quality long duration bonds? I mean, such an unwinding is deflationa...
by barrett
Wed Oct 13, 2021 10:47 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 4625

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

This just posted at Tips Watch: https://tipswatch.com/2021/10/13/inflation-report-sets-i-bonds-inflation-adjusted-rate-at-7-12-and-social-security-cola-at-5-9/ So the new inflation rate for I-Bonds starting on 11/1 will be 7.12%. Also of note on that page is that the SS COLA is 5.9%. I'm guessing th...
by barrett
Wed Oct 13, 2021 10:23 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

The pattern is that COVID hits a new area, mows through it like wildfire for about 6-8 weeks, and then settles in as yet another endemic seasonal illness. NYC was one of the first places in the US to get hit, so our pandemic period finished up in May of 2020. Healthwise, nothing of note has happene...
by barrett
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5340
Views: 487990

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I guess Scott Adams has basically the same opinion as I do: I think I am supposed to be one of the Lefties on here but I agree. Here in CT, Governor Lamont had his executive powers extended another four plus months. This in spite of the fact that statewide more than 77% of all CT residents have had...
by barrett
Sat Oct 09, 2021 7:53 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1879
Views: 99893

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

Vinay Prasad MD MPH is a pretty reasonable dude. He’s pro-vax, but not at the complete expense of critical thinking. He seems to be more and more understanding of vaccine hesitancy given the attempted shutdown of scientific debate. Here’s a new video discussing the latest concerns about myocarditis...
by barrett
Wed Oct 06, 2021 12:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP musings
Replies: 10
Views: 1200

Re: PP musings

What happened to the "fine art" that Rickards used to recommend as part of a balanced doomer portfolio? Has he sold it all off? It seems like he changes his mind just often enough to be perceived as relevant.