Search found 14789 matches

by dualstow
Sat Jan 18, 2025 5:44 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Ben Carlson makes the case for the Golden Butterfly
Replies: 4
Views: 250

Re: Ben Carlson makes the case for the Golden Butterfly

Kevin K. wrote: Tue Jan 14, 2025 2:58 pm Not his intention of course but here we are:

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2025/0 ... -and-gold/
Ha! He’s got the diversification. Now he just needs to mention rebalancing.
by dualstow
Fri Jan 17, 2025 1:54 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Anyway, you got me to read a couple AQR and Cliff Asness threads at b’heads (where he used to actually post).
by dualstow
Fri Jan 17, 2025 1:28 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Fidelity Investments having issues
Replies: 16
Views: 3504

Re: Fidelity Investments having issues

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/what-you-dont-know-could-sting-your-portfolio-6c095df2 In an email, the Fidelity representative spelled out seven ways Armbruster could make up the shortfall. Several involved what the rep called “asset shift,” or moves into investments run by Fidelity affiliate...
by dualstow
Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:48 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Trump Tariff Risks Are Fueling a Chaotic Hunt for Gold in London
Replies: 3
Views: 102

Re: Trump Tariff Risks Are Fueling a Chaotic Hunt for Gold in London

It was in the low 2600s last week. i shouldn’t have blinked.
by dualstow
Thu Jan 16, 2025 8:41 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

So well said
by dualstow
Tue Jan 14, 2025 2:29 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 522
Views: 363155

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

Well people who use the pp continue to buy stocks, 😂 And there are non-pp’ers who buy gold. Even bogleheads buy treasuries. (Admittedly, they usually eschew the longest-term bonds). I’d hate to think we’re buggy whip owners even if we do watch the McLarens and Ferraris of the all-stock portfolio spe...
by dualstow
Tue Jan 14, 2025 11:13 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

wow!
by dualstow
Tue Jan 14, 2025 11:12 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 522
Views: 363155

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

I'm reposting mathjak107's reply here... because when he refers to "hedge fund strategies" I do believe that he's referring to strategies that use trendfollowing to enter and exit positions. Trendfollowing is at the heart of most Tactical Asset Allocation strategies, which is what this th...
by dualstow
Tue Jan 14, 2025 9:26 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

The main reason I have been so slow to buy bonds, to buy more bonds, is because my pre-pp dividend stocks keep raising their payouts every year.

Even so, I don’t have enough treasurys and I think I’m jumping in over the next several months.
by dualstow
Mon Jan 13, 2025 2:02 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

US 10-year notes have hit 4.8%
by dualstow
Sat Jan 11, 2025 4:21 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Vanguard adds non-diversification warning to Total Stock Market
Replies: 22
Views: 3472

Re: Vanguard adds non-diversification warning to Total Stock Market

If you do, there had better be some drum fills included O0
by dualstow
Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:52 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Those numbers certainly look good, I must admit. I won’t be chasing it.
Hope it serves you well, though.
by dualstow
Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:41 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Looks like it goes back to mid-2020 — ?
Edit: was still typing when m posted.
by dualstow
Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:28 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

I was looking at Yahoo Finance. It shows a 23% return from 2020. Share price went from $10 to $12 and change so not annualized. But after your post above I looked at Vanguard, which has returns like the ones you stated. Which is correct?
by dualstow
Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:18 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

mathjak107 wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:13 pm you do understand that return is net of fees
It’s still terrible
by dualstow
Fri Jan 10, 2025 6:12 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

less risky funds like qdsnx were up a little bit today too. they are a mix of different types of alternative fund strategy’s 5-year return of 23% and an expense ratio equal to the yield? No thanks. I understand your disdain for 30-year bonds, mathjak. They’re widely unloved. But qdsnx looks worse. ...
by dualstow
Thu Jan 09, 2025 2:54 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Good analysis of the HBPP
Replies: 4
Views: 1289

Re: Good analysis of the HBPP

Thanks, that was a great read!
by dualstow
Thu Jan 09, 2025 2:49 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

😂 Well that’s what’s available now 😂
I did use the conditional…
by dualstow
Thu Jan 09, 2025 2:31 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

Smith1776 wrote: Thu Jan 09, 2025 2:38 am My mom has been a vegetarian for 20 something years, and for her it would be harder to eat meat than not to. It's a moral thing for her rather than for health reasons.
It would be for me, too. I want lab grown meat.
Thanks, all.
by dualstow
Wed Jan 08, 2025 8:32 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Moving up to 4.9%
Replies: 83
Views: 5023

Re: Moving up to 4.9%

Need to rebalance more into LTT's. This is good news. I will find it hard not to buy some treasury bonds at 5% I don’t think I can commit to 1/4 in 30-year bonds. That ship has sailed for me. At the same time, 5% in a risk-free instrument is very appealing. Even ten-year treasurys are approaching t...
by dualstow
Tue Jan 07, 2025 3:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

How long have you been a vegetarian, boglerdude?

Is it difficult?
by dualstow
Mon Jan 06, 2025 6:34 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3765
Views: 2019964

Re: The GOLD scream room

The same, yep.
by dualstow
Sat Jan 04, 2025 4:48 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

Smith1776 wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 1:41 pm Sorry guys. :(
No worries, Smithers. The initials aren’t out of control here like at b’heads.
All good!
by dualstow
Sat Jan 04, 2025 1:12 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2772
Views: 1732942

Re: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us

I hate all these initialisms even though I happen to know this one from reddit.