Search found 303 matches

by ahhrunforthehills
Mon Jun 07, 2021 2:40 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world
Replies: 25
Views: 1012

Re: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world

It's great to see your name reappear on the forum ahrunforthehills! Your posts have been some of the best I've ever read here. Obviously it's not just the PP but the whole universe of low or reduced "fat tails" portfolios intended for retirees and others who can't handle deep or protracted drawdown...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sun Jun 06, 2021 11:16 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world
Replies: 25
Views: 1012

Re: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world

Thanks for a thoughtful and well reasoned post Kevin, Years back I was discussing the PP concept with a retired Japanese stockbroker and she stated exactly those concerns relating to living in Japan (very low return on 3/4 of the portfolio). Now here we are with the same issue. I had been very seri...
by ahhrunforthehills
Thu Jun 03, 2021 1:47 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?
Replies: 71
Views: 1307

Re: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?

What you say doesn't make sense at all. If you want to be actively involved in your portfolio and you believe that is the way to maximize your risk/reward ratio. That statement in itself is very revealing. The PP has outperformed its expectations in recent years so I can understand how it has attra...
by ahhrunforthehills
Thu Jun 03, 2021 1:39 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?
Replies: 71
Views: 1307

Re: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?

Old ladies aren’t the only people who want to set it and forget it. ::) Nothing wrong with that as long as you are willing to except a higher risk of lower returns. Lots of people give up money for insurance that, from a risk-adjusted standpoint, isn’t optimal. That doesn’t make them wrong. It just...
by ahhrunforthehills
Thu Jun 03, 2021 10:39 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?
Replies: 71
Views: 1307

Re: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?

TBH, this forum is basically just a collection of INTJ rants that I like to occasionally check while I am sitting on the pot. It is entertainment. If it wasn't for the "Politics" and "Other Discussions" sections, I think this forum would already be dead. I don't realistically even consider this an i...
by ahhrunforthehills
Thu May 27, 2021 8:28 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Crypto convert
Replies: 12
Views: 838

Re: Crypto convert

Here is a 15 minute lecture that explains it better than I could ...the potential is definitely real. That said, most altcoin are shit. Just schemes to make a quick buck with no serious potential https://youtu.be/Zuc2_7MGZ_g Interesting how he pretty much just assumes at 10:50 that the military for...
by ahhrunforthehills
Thu May 20, 2021 11:18 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: UFOs?
Replies: 11
Views: 347

Re: UFOs?

Then you got Harry Reid claiming that UFO/UAP debris are allegedly in the possession of Lockheed Martin. He tried for years to get access but couldn't get the necessary clearances. Senate Majority leader is a pretty credible position. Say what? Yea, it's crazy. The New Yorker just did a piece on it...
by ahhrunforthehills
Wed May 19, 2021 1:50 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: UFOs?
Replies: 11
Views: 347

Re: UFOs?

My best guess is that the military treats UFO incidents as highly classified and tries to sweep them under the rug, as you described, mainly because the inability to explain such incidents suggests certain limitations in our military's capabilities. They probably consider that embarrassing and a po...
by ahhrunforthehills
Wed May 19, 2021 12:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: UFOs?
Replies: 11
Views: 347

Re: UFOs?

I am the last person to believe in UFOs, but... The thing that unnerves me the most about it is how the government seems to handle the information and treats witnesses. For example, look at the USS Nimitz incident. You have all of the air control systems on the entire Navy Strike Carrier Group 11 th...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sun Mar 21, 2021 9:34 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

If I would have put in $1000 when I knew about it at $100 per bitcoin or whatever it was at the time. Think about what you will lose if you put 1% of your investable assets into Bitcoin and it goes to 0 versus what you may gain if it just keeps doubling. If I was 3 feet taller I would have Lebron’s...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Mar 20, 2021 5:28 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Thanks for the feedback. It's nice to know that even if I am completely nuts in my ramblings... at least there are other people here that speak my same level of crazy :)
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Mar 20, 2021 3:24 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Thank you for your perspective. I keep asking myself “what if”? What if Bitcoin is legitimate even with all the challenges outlined to owning and transacting. What if... I have .60% of investable assets in Bitcoin to answer all the what ifs... People seem to think that somehow bitcoin can operate t...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Mar 20, 2021 11:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Thank you for your perspective. I keep asking myself “what if”? What if Bitcoin is legitimate even with all the challenges outlined to owning and transacting. What if... I have .60% of investable assets in Bitcoin to answer all the what ifs... I hear ya. "What ifs" are hard to quantify. The biggest...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Mar 20, 2021 10:53 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Hi Budd, Anyways, no I don’t own any (but I have been researching it for years). I am not opposed to it anymore than I am other types of high-risk venture. In fact, the ONLY reason i even commented was because this forum is really beginning to misclassify bitcoin in a crazy way. Can bitcoin be the n...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Mar 20, 2021 10:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 199
Views: 10852

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

I think others have stated here that Bitcoin is more like a growth stock and I think that is more accurate. One thing I can think that will make it more like gold is if you were trying to flee with capital and you thought you could get it across borders. Maybe it is just my personal sentiment but I...
by ahhrunforthehills
Tue Mar 09, 2021 2:33 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Dr Seuss
Replies: 54
Views: 2232

Re: Dr Seuss

If you pay a little extra you can literally cut the entire line, go into the sistine chapel 15 minutes before the public is allowed in the building, they will turn the lights on for you, and let you take all the photos that you want. The concierge desk at luxury hotels have the connections to those ...
by ahhrunforthehills
Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:21 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Wsb phenomenon (Politics version)
Replies: 44
Views: 2474

Re: Wsb phenomenon (Politics version)

https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/download/file.php?id=1849 So business leadership is 20x more effective and valuable than it was in the 60s? The graph is not representative of reality. It is cherry picking the top 350 CEOs. Guess what apparently happens when you REMOVE just those 350 cherr...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sun Jan 31, 2021 4:10 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Wsb phenomenon (Politics version)
Replies: 44
Views: 2474

Re: Wsb phenomenon (Politics version)

I'm also curious why ordinary individuals organizing their interests on wallstreetbets receives bipartisan support but ordinary individuals organizing their interests in a similar forum to improve their wages at fast-food restaurants or walmart invites ire from the political right? Both parties are...
by ahhrunforthehills
Tue Jan 19, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BelangP's 65/35 vs PP
Replies: 12
Views: 1332

Re: BelangP's 65/35 vs PP

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by ahhrunforthehills
Mon Jan 11, 2021 5:03 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
Replies: 152
Views: 8937

Re: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump

[edit: Mark posted while I was typing] In other news, Facebook has blocked Ron Paul from managing his page "due to repeatedly going against our community standards". What exactly are their "community standards"? I haven't looked into this. Was there a specific post from Ron Paul that triggered this...
by ahhrunforthehills
Mon Jan 11, 2021 4:32 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
Replies: 152
Views: 8937

Re: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump

Mark didn't say they were required to let you do whatever. He just asked whether or not it scared you that they have so much power. Yes, but it's confusing for me when Mark doesn't seem to fear handing full control of our policing and legal system to private corporations, but fears the power of pri...
by ahhrunforthehills
Sun Jan 10, 2021 3:27 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
Replies: 152
Views: 8937

Re: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump

Please stop parroting what the media fed you and think for yourself. Even the article you linked is clear that no one if asking the government to take sides. Twitter lets 'Hang Mike Pence' trend the same day Parler is banned from Google. No one is asking for special treatment, only equal treatment....
by ahhrunforthehills
Sat Jan 09, 2021 2:22 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump
Replies: 152
Views: 8937

Re: Censorship continued: first the Parler app then @realDonaldTrump

The fact remains that social media compaines advertise themselves as a space to share content. Conversations that would have previously taken place in public spaces are now happening online. While I understand that these online conversations are hosted by private companies I feel that there should ...
by ahhrunforthehills
Tue Jan 05, 2021 10:43 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Secession Thread
Replies: 39
Views: 2531

Re: The Secession Thread

If everybody is ignoring their constitutions, state lines might not matter. Check out this guy's map: https://images-wixmp-ed30a86b8c4ca887773594c2.wixmp.com/f/8380a36a-0b1a-4851-a5cb-09901849b995/ddqiz35-c9385bc3-af08-48de-94ed-049a30143810.png/v1/fill/w_1239,h_645,q_70,strp/factions_of_the_second_...
by ahhrunforthehills
Mon Jan 04, 2021 5:05 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Wealth Transfers
Replies: 66
Views: 4439

Re: Wealth Transfers

In a simplified world the price is only affected by the bid-ask spread when a sale happens. If there are 5 known Mickey Mantle baseball cards in the world and I find a 6th one in my basement, the price does not change until the world knows about it by me selling it. If the sale is a private transact...