Search found 11 matches

by Cyclesguy
Thu Dec 25, 2014 10:02 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The Bottom is Nearer...
Replies: 3
Views: 1241

Re: The Bottom is Nearer...

Agreed, these are the signs to look for. The bottom will be in when there are no articles even being written cause everyone went away and no one cares, total capitulation... We might be close in the junior gold mining/explorer stocks, I thought we were there last year when things were 50% higher tha...
by Cyclesguy
Thu Dec 25, 2014 9:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP facelift
Replies: 11
Views: 2909

Re: PP facelift

I agree with the previous posters that past returns and backtesting has no bearing or guarantee in the future. To echo the last post as well, if you have periods like the 2000's where gold shoots up like a rocket and stocks are flat, you'd be able to rebalance a few times into stocks and eventually ...
by Cyclesguy
Wed May 14, 2014 5:22 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Market Manipulation is a Myth
Replies: 51
Views: 14233

Re: Gold Market Manipulation is a Myth

Thoughts about this? How to Deal with CME Gold & Silver Price Capping …: http://youtu.be/Ah3yLq6zmJQ I watch the gold and silver price several times a day ( I know I'm weird) and the price action has got to be more than coincidence. There are times when the entire world supply of these metals is bei...
by Cyclesguy
Wed May 14, 2014 5:14 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: modified pp + open blog about it
Replies: 2
Views: 1489

Re: modified pp + open blog about it

Jake thanks for the tip- that makes total sense.  I've shuffled things accordingly and like the idea of a pp + VP much better! It might save me from stealing from the pp to rebalance my miners if there's another downturn (save me from myself?)  :o
by Cyclesguy
Fri May 09, 2014 9:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: modified pp + open blog about it
Replies: 2
Views: 1489

modified pp + open blog about it

Hey all I've created a Google finance account that approximates my modified permanent  portfolio and am getting started with a blog and YouTube channel about investing. I've followed the markets with a passion about 3 years mostly in precious metals. I jumped into the pp waters this year, it was ner...
by Cyclesguy
Sun Dec 08, 2013 4:07 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Avoiding Gold Mining Stocks!
Replies: 8
Views: 1592

Re: Avoiding Gold Mining Stocks!

The more people go on about how terrible gold mining shares are, the more conviction I have to keep buying them on the way down. The fact that there are almost no positive articles about this sector leads me to believe the bottom is near.
by Cyclesguy
Wed Dec 04, 2013 4:26 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: First DOWN year for gold since year 2000
Replies: 36
Views: 6239

Re: First DOWN year for gold since year 2000

What do you make of this? Is it relevant to anything, or just nonsense data? http://i.imgur.com/DlmYtHVl.jpg Interesting you point this chart out, it makes a good case for a bear market in gold. However: I've studied this one on and off for a few years (including dow:silver, hui:gold, gold:silver e...
by Cyclesguy
Wed Dec 04, 2013 11:44 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Ideal Overseas Gold Storage Option
Replies: 26
Views: 6416

Re: Ideal Overseas Gold Storage Option

technovelist wrote:
Holding stock certificates in a foreign company (like CEF) is effectively overseas storage.
Unless you're Canadian that is  8)
by Cyclesguy
Tue Dec 03, 2013 8:35 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Ideal Overseas Gold Storage Option
Replies: 26
Views: 6416

Re: Ideal Overseas Gold Storage Option

I don't trust the banks as far as I can throw them. As well, I can see the US making gold ownership illegal again, their balance sheet is bad news, "We're coming..after...you!"  :o On a serious note, does anyone have a list or link to where I can research if other countries have done gold confiscati...
by Cyclesguy
Tue Dec 03, 2013 8:23 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rebalancing CEF (while it's discounted)
Replies: 4
Views: 1710

Re: Rebalancing CEF (while it's discounted)

I assume the discount will decrease when gold prices start increasing.  Here's a question I have.  Will the discount decrease be a leading indicator or a lagging indicator of the bottom on gold prices? In my experience the NAV tends to bottom somewhere between -7 and -10 % NAV. That is THE indicato...
by Cyclesguy
Mon Dec 02, 2013 6:03 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rebalancing CEF (while it's discounted)
Replies: 4
Views: 1710

Rebalancing CEF (while it's discounted)

Anyone else getting primed and ready to buy more CEF? Another 10% punch to the metals and I'll be looking to get some more. It's interesting that the fund is trading -7% to it's NAV , I'm in the accumulation stage and spent most of this year buying at a major discount , I'd estimate I averaged in at...