Search found 4 matches

by aaa
Thu Sep 05, 2013 11:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Why "should" the PP system work?
Replies: 49
Views: 20282

Re: Why "should" the PP system work?

I see this community is REALLY responsive, I didn't see this replay. Each of the assets has a non-negative expected real return.  According to the numbers posted at http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Historical_and_expected_returns the expected real returns are: Cash (0-2 year Treasuries): 0.3% Long Ter...
by aaa
Thu Sep 05, 2013 11:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Why "should" the PP system work?
Replies: 49
Views: 20282

Re: Why "should" the PP system work?

It's a valid concern. But ask yourself this: if assets in your portfolio are falling more than they're rising, where is that excess money going ? Hope that helps! It definetly helps, yes. But let me rephrase your sentence: "But ask yourself this: if assets in your portfolio are falling less th...
by aaa
Thu Sep 05, 2013 10:13 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Why "should" the PP system work?
Replies: 49
Views: 20282

Re: Why "should" the PP system work?

Thanks to all for such quick answers. I apologize for any grammatical or spelling mistakes, English is not my native language. Medium Tex, by what you say "...our book...", I understand that you are one of the authors, Roland&Lawson, of the PP book. I consider a privilege to be able to...
by aaa
Thu Sep 05, 2013 7:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Why "should" the PP system work?
Replies: 49
Views: 20282

Why "should" the PP system work?

Good morning, this is my first post in this forum  :). I have a question on the PP methodology. Why should the PP on the long term give approx + 3% of real returns instead of, say, - 3% of real returns? Do you know of some rationale other than the historical records? I think that trading or investin...