Search found 139 matches

by Pet Hog
Wed May 15, 2019 3:54 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasury Bond Basic Quetions - TreasuryDirect
Replies: 9
Views: 206

Re: Treasury Bond Basic Quetions - TreasuryDirect

With similar logic, if we have hyperinflation, $190 in 30 years' time would literally be worthless, so the minimum value of a $100 bond is zero. Well to be fair it wouldn't be 0. In a true hyperinflation it would be very small, but it still would not be 0 because a nominal coupon will be paid out o...
by Pet Hog
Wed May 15, 2019 3:39 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 365
Views: 77606

Re: The Bond Dream Room

Who would have thought a year ago when they were raising rates like crazy that we would be potentially entering a new official uptrend in long treasuries now? I think there are many members of this forum who didn't (and still don't) believe "there's nowhere for rates to go but up!" TM I'm happy tha...
by Pet Hog
Wed May 15, 2019 3:29 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasury Bond Basic Quetions - TreasuryDirect
Replies: 9
Views: 206

Re: Treasury Bond Basic Quetions - TreasuryDirect

What is the maximum value of a $100 - 30 Year treasury bond paying 3 percent. Is it $190. Also for this case assuming interest rates do not go negative. What is the minimum value? If interest rates go to zero and there's no inflation, then I think you're right that the maximum value of that bond is...
by Pet Hog
Wed Apr 17, 2019 3:22 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: New I Bond Rate 11/1/18 to 4/30/18
Replies: 51
Views: 5489

Re: New I Bond Rate 11/1/18 to 4/30/18

We already have the CPI-U data for March: 254.202. Last September it was 252.439. So that gives a new variable rate of 1.40% from May 1. So if the fixed rate stays at 0.50% we're looking at 1.90% combined.
by Pet Hog
Tue Mar 05, 2019 1:03 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 2453
Views: 393501

Re: The GOLD scream room

https://apmex.exceda.com/images/Catalog%20Images/Products/50994_Slab.jpg?v=20160812050906&width=900&height=900 Is it just me, or does Lady Liberty resemble TJ Dillashaw? https://ufc-video.s3.amazonaws.com/styles/event_results_athlete_headshot/s3/2019-01/DILLASHAW_TJ_BELT_LS.png?4yNP_bzX7Vp15gKayYDV...
by Pet Hog
Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: New all-time high
Replies: 30
Views: 6132

Re: New all-time high

Uncork the champagne!  According to peaktotrough.com, the PP started on January 1 1972 with 35/15 bands and reinvested dividends reached its all-time high (nominally) yesterday, surmounting the previous peak established on February 2 last year.  Hopefully, your portfolio is at its all-time high, to...
by Pet Hog
Tue Feb 05, 2019 5:03 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Fidelity Bond and Bill Direct Purchase ?'s
Replies: 22
Views: 1231

Re: Fidelity Bond and Bill Direct Purchase ?'s

Just make sure you express your interest in the auction before the 15th so you don't miss it. So I'll be submitting the order for the 30 year treasury auction tomorrow morning when I have access to the funds. Sorry, I made a mistake. The auction in on Thursday the 7th -- so, yes, put your order in ...
by Pet Hog
Tue Feb 05, 2019 4:19 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Another solid January
Replies: 9
Views: 900

Re: Another solid January

A big part of me wants to move everything into SHV or some 2.2% money market for the rest of the year and call it done for 2019! I'm with you! That's what I was sort of hinting at with my post. After last year's loss, I'd be happy with 4% ytd and adding on 2.5% extra with an 11-month treasury. But ...
by Pet Hog
Tue Feb 05, 2019 4:12 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Fidelity Bond and Bill Direct Purchase ?'s
Replies: 22
Views: 1231

Re: Fidelity Bond and Bill Direct Purchase ?'s

Regarding question 1, the bond price on Fidelity is updated just once per day, at around 8 pm eastern. You don't get the real-time prices during the day as you do for stocks. As anato noted, the auto-roll feature can't be turned off on the website, but you can make a call and they'll do it for you. ...
by Pet Hog
Fri Feb 01, 2019 4:29 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Another solid January
Replies: 9
Views: 900

Re: Another solid January

If January is a good month, what about the others? I've gone through the data month by month and here are the results for the past 15 years (some months have only 14 years of data). I've used only the EFT closing prices for VTI, TLT, GLD, and SHY, but not the spot price for gold, so there's one less...
by Pet Hog
Thu Jan 31, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Another solid January
Replies: 9
Views: 900

Another solid January

I've been fully invested in the PP since May 2013 and I keep a monthly spreadsheet of my performance. I noticed that each of the last six Januaries has had excellent (relative to PP standards) performance (up at least 1.2%), including this one just ended. So I wondered whether it is a feature of the...
by Pet Hog
Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:36 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: IAU is now commission-free at Fidelity
Replies: 21
Views: 2825

Re: IAU is now commission-free at Fidelity

KevinW wrote:
Tue Aug 07, 2018 3:08 pm
Wow, between this, FZROX, and the T-bill auto-roll feature, Fidelity is looking like a great broker for PP investors.
FZROX? I'll say!
https://youtu.be/-Jh6wnmRbvQ
(Sorry, couldn't resist. Commission-free IAU is fantastic news!)