Search found 1071 matches

by frugal
Wed Jan 07, 2026 7:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Predict 2026 winner
Replies: 10
Views: 520

Re: Predict 2026 winner

If the year ended today, I'd be right! (Gold) Silver and BitCoin weren't options :) 3-5% on BITCOIN I believe is a good choice I missed 13 years of great rising :'( I'm working slowly to get there Silver got itself there :) Which % of silver you have ? Is it part of PP? Please comment
by frugal
Tue Jan 06, 2026 9:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Balancing Gains and Losses Every Year to Eliminate Capital Gains Tax in the Long Run
Replies: 28
Views: 24997

Re: Balancing Gains and Losses Every Year to Eliminate Capital Gains Tax in the Long Run

💡 The Tax Loss Harvesting Dilemma Right now, you have the chance: 📉 An asset with a $100 loss. 📈 Another investment with $100 total profit. If you sell the losing asset today, you can offset $100 of profit and reduce taxes immediately. ✅ But here’s the catch: in a few years, it’s likely that all you...
by frugal
Tue Jan 06, 2026 9:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💼 Cash Management in HB-PP: To Rebalance or Not? 🔄
Replies: 5
Views: 130

Re: 💼 Cash Management in HB-PP: To Rebalance or Not? 🔄

Hey everyone! 👋 Following up on my previous post, I’m curious about a PP-style portfolio with a 33-33-33% allocation (equities 🟢 / bonds 🔵 / gold 🟠). I’m trying to understand: How would the overall risk change compared to a more traditional allocation? ⚖️ What kind of impact on performance/returns c...
by frugal
Tue Jan 06, 2026 5:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💼 Cash Management in HB-PP: To Rebalance or Not? 🔄
Replies: 5
Views: 130

💼 Cash Management in HB-PP: To Rebalance or Not? 🔄

Hello everyone, At the moment, the cash portion within my HB-PP portfolio stands at only 10%, while the HB-PP allocation represents roughly 20% of my total assets. 💼 I am wondering whether it would make sense to rebalance the cash component within the HB-PP itself, or if maintaining this relatively ...
by frugal
Tue Jan 06, 2026 3:30 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Free eBook: Charles Gave’s Strategy for Optimizing the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 12
Views: 710

Re: Free eBook: Charles Gave’s Strategy for Optimizing the Permanent Portfolio

Hello to all,

I printed to make a quick read in the weekend.

PP is PP and the rest is VP

Problem of PP is low volatility generates low returns

In Europe CAGR for the last 10 years is under 5% :'(
by frugal
Tue Jan 06, 2026 3:28 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Predict 2026 winner
Replies: 10
Views: 520

Re: Predict 2026 winner

Dieter wrote: Mon Jan 05, 2026 6:55 pm If the year ended today, I'd be right!

(Gold)

Silver and BitCoin weren't options :)
3-5% on BITCOIN

I believe is a good choice

I missed 13 years of great rising :'(
by frugal
Tue Dec 30, 2025 12:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

3 fantastic years!

Last 13 weren’t like this unfortunately 😭😃
by frugal
Mon Dec 29, 2025 5:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Predict 2026 winner
Replies: 10
Views: 520

Re: Predict 2026 winner

All winners

:)
by frugal
Sun Nov 02, 2025 2:32 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio: Has Each Scenario Really Happened 25% of the Time? 🤔📉📈
Replies: 13
Views: 75254

Re: Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio: Has Each Scenario Really Happened 25% of the Time? 🤔📉📈

dualstow wrote: Sat Nov 01, 2025 6:43 pm I feel like someone (Kevin K?) covered this a long time ago.
Said the need for long bonds happens less often.
Please explain 🤔
by frugal
Sat Nov 01, 2025 4:53 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Which ETFs Are Most Used in the American Permanent Portfolio?
Replies: 4
Views: 1310

Which ETFs Are Most Used in the American Permanent Portfolio?

Hi everyone, 8) I’m based in Europe, and I already run a Permanent Portfolio here. Now I’d like to build a second one — an American-style Permanent Portfolio. Could you please share which ETFs are most commonly used (or preferred) in the U.S. version of the Permanent Portfolio for each of the four a...
by frugal
Thu Oct 30, 2025 12:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Uncorrelated Strategies (Carry Trade & Trend Following) in the Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 2
Views: 23197

Uncorrelated Strategies (Carry Trade & Trend Following) in the Permanent Portfolio

Hi everyone, 8) Has anyone here tried integrating uncorrelated strategies — such as Carry Trade (e.g., FX carry, bond carry, etc.) or Trend Following (CTA-style, managed futures, etc.) — within a Permanent Portfolio framework? The idea is to see if these approaches, which theoretically have low corr...
by frugal
Sun Oct 19, 2025 3:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio at Record Levels — Correction Ahead? ⚠️
Replies: 3
Views: 20587

Permanent Portfolio at Record Levels — Correction Ahead? ⚠️

Hi, The Permanent Portfolio has been on a strong upward trend, reaching levels that, historically, tend to precede some kind of cooling period or even a correction. Over the last months, we’ve seen a steady appreciation across its core components. Typically, the Permanent Portfolio works as a hedge,...
by frugal
Wed Oct 15, 2025 3:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

Grinch wrote: Wed Oct 15, 2025 10:31 am In Euro or USD?
US-PP had higher returns historically
by frugal
Wed Oct 15, 2025 6:36 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

I'm European. The risk or opportunity associated with the US dollar is more than adequately contained in Global Stocks. Over 70% is in North America. I don't need more. The price of gold is also traded in dollars. Gold price increases are currently only muted for euro investors. So why take more ri...
by frugal
Tue Oct 14, 2025 12:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio: Safe & Perpetual Withdrawal Rates (U.S. vs Europe) 😎
Replies: 3
Views: 21815

Permanent Portfolio: Safe & Perpetual Withdrawal Rates (U.S. vs Europe) 😎

Hi everyone 👋 I’m currently diving deeper into SWR (Safe Withdrawal Rate) and PWR (Perpetual Withdrawal Rate) using the Permanent Portfolio strategy — the classic 25% mix of stocks, long-term bonds, gold, and cash. For context: • SWR (Safe Withdrawal Rate) is the percentage of your portfolio you can...
by frugal
Tue Oct 14, 2025 11:53 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Long-Term Bond Selection for an International Permanent Portfolio (EU Investor)
Replies: 7
Views: 32526

Re: Long-Term Bond Selection for an International Permanent Portfolio (EU Investor)

Hello

i think you should stick to EU-PP or US-PP first...

???

Why don't you follow the book?

Regards

::)
by frugal
Tue Oct 14, 2025 11:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Deutschland

Grinch wrote: Sun Oct 12, 2025 3:36 am No, that is no Option
Why?

::)
by frugal
Sun Oct 12, 2025 3:21 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

Hi

Have you thought 💭 to have a second US-PP?

Regards
by frugal
Fri Oct 10, 2025 9:21 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 488
Views: 861814

Re: BTC in the PP

I bought a little IBIT Plan to do quarterly purchases Guess it's time for it all to come crashing down Hi Nice move on starting small and scaling in with quarterly buys — that’s a solid way to build a position over time. Curious though… why did you decide to go with IBIT instead of self-custody? Fr...
by frugal
Fri Oct 10, 2025 9:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💰 What Percentage of Bitcoin Fits into a Permanent Portfolio?
Replies: 4
Views: 27368

Re: 💰 What Percentage of Bitcoin Fits into a Permanent Portfolio?

That makes a lot of sense — your reasoning is very solid. What’s interesting is that we’re actually applying the same logic, just at different scales. You’re basically using 1–2 days of PP volatility as your Bitcoin risk budget, while my 2.5% allocation corresponds to roughly 10 days of average PP v...
by frugal
Fri Oct 10, 2025 2:42 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💰 What Percentage of Bitcoin Fits into a Permanent Portfolio?
Replies: 4
Views: 27368

💰 What Percentage of Bitcoin Fits into a Permanent Portfolio?

The Permanent Portfolio, created by Harry Browne, is designed to protect wealth through all economic cycles. Its classic structure is simple and balanced: 🪙 25% Gold → Inflation protection 📈 25% Stocks → Prosperity cycles 💵 25% Cash → Liquidity and deflation 🏦 25% Long-term Bonds → Deflation and rec...
by frugal
Fri Oct 10, 2025 2:34 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

Okay, that's a misunderstanding. I'm still depositing €1,000 into the account. So the volume is still growing. I'm just no longer buying all asset classes every month, but only when the 15/40 range is hit. Then there's a rebalancing to 4 x 25. hi, so only CASH is growing and waiting bands? Why not ...
by frugal
Thu Oct 09, 2025 5:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in Germany
Replies: 46
Views: 64457

Re: PP in Germany

Hi 👋🏻

Why you stopped adding savings!?

Regards