Search found 1023 matches

by frugal
Thu Jun 19, 2025 4:23 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€
Replies: 28
Views: 2885

Re: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€

Hey everyone, This is a question Iโ€™ve seen come up quite often โ€” and it's one Iโ€™ve wrestled with myself as someone exploring and refining Harry Browneโ€™s Permanent Portfolio (PP): โ€œIf the PP is meant to work over decades, why include long-term bonds, which are so vulnerable to rising interest rates? ...
by frugal
Wed Jun 18, 2025 7:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€
Replies: 28
Views: 2885

Re: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€

I loved long bonds when I was 40 O0 Donโ€™t want to stick my wife with them. What is your option and solution for LTB? Hug ๐Ÿซ‚ I have quietly opted for what a lot of others here have chosen: shortening the overall duration. I have some long bonds, the oldest of which mature in 2050. But, I donโ€™t buy ne...
by frugal
Wed Jun 18, 2025 7:29 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€
Replies: 28
Views: 2885

Re: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€

when you go back thru time frames the last two decades itโ€™s like equities and gold beat equities and bonds over most time frames . i am retired and really have no use for bonds at this stage . i keep a minimal amount but i canโ€™t really say why . call me old school . equities gold and cash instrumen...
by frugal
Tue Jun 17, 2025 4:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€
Replies: 28
Views: 2885

Re: Do 30-Year Bonds Still Belong in a Permanent Portfolio? ๐Ÿ™€

dualstow wrote: โ†‘Mon Jun 16, 2025 5:16 pm I loved long bonds when I was 40 O0
Donโ€™t want to stick my wife with them.
What is your option and solution for LTB?

Hug ๐Ÿซ‚
by frugal
Sat Jun 07, 2025 6:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: HB Permanent Portfolio: Now at 30/30/30/10 โ€“ What are the Risks? ๐Ÿค”
Replies: 1
Views: 681

HB Permanent Portfolio: Now at 30/30/30/10 โ€“ What are the Risks? ๐Ÿค”

Hey everyone, :) I've been a long-time advocate and holder of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio (HB PP) for a while now. I've really appreciated its stability and "all-weather" diversification through various market conditions. โ˜”โ˜€๏ธ๐ŸŒฌ๏ธโ„๏ธ Initially, I started with the classic 25% stocks, 25%...
by frugal
Sat May 31, 2025 1:29 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7523

Re: โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

Smith1776 wrote: โ†‘Thu May 29, 2025 11:23 pm It's not too late to invest in Bitcoin.

It's too late to not invest in Bitcoin.
Please explain ๐Ÿฅธ
by frugal
Thu May 29, 2025 4:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7523

Re: โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

โ€ข The total gold market cap is around $13 trillion.

โ€ข If Bitcoin captures just 10% of that market, that implies a BTC price of $600,000 to $1M.
by frugal
Wed May 28, 2025 6:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7523

โŒ› Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? โšก Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

Dear PP fellows, ๐Ÿ‘‹ After all these yearsโ€ฆ I never managed to invest in Bitcoin. Yes, I watched, I read, I hesitatedโ€ฆ and then did nothing. Now I look back and honestly think: We probably shouldโ€™ve allocated at least 5% of our portfolio. Just that. Not all-in, not speculative. Just a small, steady po...
by frugal
Tue May 27, 2025 7:39 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin giveaway! :)
Replies: 383
Views: 207526

Re: Bitcoin giveaway! :)

It seems likely that you forgot to write down one of the 12 words? Do you have an intuition as to what position the forgotten word was in? If you know that then brute forcing the seed phrase should be pretty easy. The BIP 39 dictionary has 2048 words. Hi ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿป now like this: Imported Bitcoin addresses...
by frugal
Mon May 26, 2025 1:07 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin giveaway! :)
Replies: 383
Views: 207526

Re: Bitcoin giveaway! :)

Hello everyone, ๐Ÿ‘‹ I have an old paper wallet that I printed from a website a while ago. On the paper, there is a login link ๐Ÿ”— and a mnemonic ๐Ÿ“. The problem is that the mnemonic only has 11 words, but I believe it should have 12. โ“ I used to log in to the wallet in the past and could see the balance ...
by frugal
Sat May 24, 2025 5:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐Ÿ“Š Current Portfolio Allocation โ€“ Almost a Permanent Portfolio (EU-PP-HB ) ๐Ÿ’ผ
Replies: 6
Views: 3459

๐Ÿ“Š Current Portfolio Allocation โ€“ Almost a Permanent Portfolio (EU-PP-HB ) ๐Ÿ’ผ

Hey everyone, Today my portfolio is roughly: โ€ข ๐ŸŸก 30% Gold โ€ข ๐Ÿ“ˆ 30% Stocks โ€ข ๐Ÿ’ต 30% Bonds โ€ข ๐Ÿ’ฐ 10% Cash This is close to the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio strategy, though not exactly the same (and not strictly rebalanced either). ๐Ÿค” Iโ€™m thinking of adding new money, but Iโ€™m trying to avoid rebalancin...
by frugal
Sat May 17, 2025 2:34 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 87034

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

outside the US people are paying their plumber and barber in bitcoin? with what apps. Waiting for a dip in bitcoin but as 2020 demonstrated there might not be another dip. Printer turns right on I donโ€™t see that โ€ฆ Binance had a card but it seems to finish Paying with cripto will be usual everyday?
by frugal
Fri May 16, 2025 4:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”
Replies: 11
Views: 3033

Re: ๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”

PROBLEM >:(

๐Ÿ” Rebalancing is not a minor detailโ€”itโ€™s a fundamental component of the strategy.

???

:o
by frugal
Wed May 14, 2025 9:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”
Replies: 11
Views: 3033

Re: ๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”

๐Ÿ” Iโ€™d really like to hear how others using the Permanent Portfolio are handling this. Do you adjust your rebalancing strategy to reduce the tax hit? ๐Ÿ“ฌ Looking forward to hearing your thoughts. 1. Funds are in a Superannuation Account (Retirement Savings Plan) 2. Use a Vanguard Ready Made ETF (VDCO)...
by frugal
Wed May 14, 2025 4:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”
Replies: 11
Views: 3033

๐Ÿ’ธ Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? ๐Ÿค”

๐Ÿ‘‹ Hi everyone, hope you're doing well. Iโ€™ve been revisiting some aspects of my Permanent Portfolio (25% stocks, 25% long-term bonds, 25% gold, 25% cash), and thereโ€™s one issue I keep coming back to โ€” one that I think is seriously underestimated: the tax impact of rebalancing ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ’ฐ. Rebalancing keeps ev...
by frugal
Mon May 12, 2025 5:36 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Marc De Messel Portfolio
Replies: 27
Views: 32840

Re: Marc De Messel Portfolio

Ahahah Why it was so difficult to have like 5% of capital in bitcoin? Why we are so afraid? ๐Ÿ˜ณ PP followers may be averse to risk โ€ฆ ? Risk averse, for sure, frugal. I donโ€™t want to be boring, but think of it this way: Pascalโ€™s Wager, if I have it right, is the premise that you should believe in God ...
by frugal
Sat May 10, 2025 9:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ
Replies: 12
Views: 3686

Re: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ

OCHOTONA Hi! Invesco's Swiss Franc ETF + iGOV iShares International sovereign bond ETF = both for 25% cash portion of PP? Or it is a second PP outside US-HB-PP? 8) ??? One consideration is that the IGOV has a duration of 7-8 years, similar to IEF. Some people implement a US Permanent Portfolio of 2...
by frugal
Fri May 09, 2025 6:54 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ
Replies: 12
Views: 3686

Re: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ

OCHOTONA

Hi!

Invesco's Swiss Franc ETF
+
iGOV iShares International sovereign bond ETF

= both for 25% cash portion of PP?

Or it is a second PP outside US-HB-PP?

8) ???
by frugal
Thu May 08, 2025 12:57 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ
Replies: 12
Views: 3686

Re: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ

Hi ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿป

An US citizen should have 20-30% in directly euros ๐Ÿ’ถ?

And an EU citizen should have 20-30% in US Dollars ๐Ÿ’ต ?

Or the 25% gold on PP should be enough to protect us from currencies collapses ?


Regards
by frugal
Wed May 07, 2025 5:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ
Replies: 12
Views: 3686

Re: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ

:o

Problem is:

Gold is only 25%

:-\

Shouldnโ€™t be enough to offset losses โ€ฆ

Waiting your comments I remain.


Regards
by frugal
Wed May 07, 2025 5:47 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 87034

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

As a perhaps-humorous note, perhaps giving some insight into me: I currently live in Bitcoin City, El Salvador. And I still have the essentially same view of Bitcoin as I did when participating in this thread. Though I do wish I had bought a whole bunch back then! :D Hi ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿป Can you explain your thou...
by frugal
Tue May 06, 2025 6:05 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ
Replies: 12
Views: 3686

If the EURO ๐Ÿ’ถ collapses ๐Ÿคฏ

Hello ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿป if I finally decided to create a Permanent Portfolio for the United States ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, my reasoning is that, if the euro collapses ๐Ÿ“‰, having a significant portion of my assets in dollars ๐Ÿ’ต would offer me more complete protection against the depreciation of the European currency ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ. In this scenario...
by frugal
Wed Apr 30, 2025 9:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐ŸŒ Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly ๐Ÿฆ‹ or Second Permanent Portfolio ๐Ÿ“Š?
Replies: 10
Views: 2803

Re: ๐ŸŒ Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly ๐Ÿฆ‹ or Second Permanent Portfolio ๐Ÿ“Š?

Hi WhiteElephant,

So, in that case, does it make sense to hold gold in EUR, cash in EUR, and then allocate stocks and bonds in USD? ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ

Curious to hear your thoughts!

Cheers,
Frugal ๐Ÿ˜Ž
by frugal
Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ๐ŸŒ Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly ๐Ÿฆ‹ or Second Permanent Portfolio ๐Ÿ“Š?
Replies: 10
Views: 2803

Re: ๐ŸŒ Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly ๐Ÿฆ‹ or Second Permanent Portfolio ๐Ÿ“Š?

Hi ๐Ÿ‘‹, My main question remains: is it worth having 20โ€“40% direct exposure to USD ๐Ÿ’ต, through US-domiciled ETFs traded in dollars? At one point, I seriously considered building a US-style Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio (HB-PP-USA) using US-domiciled assets. After all, thatโ€™s where the strategy origi...