Here is this question answered by Burton Malkiel at the beginning of this year:
https://youtu.be/n9sVJQS5TXw?t=2343
The whole video is enjoyable and impressive coming from the 90 year old Burton Malkiel.
Search found 685 matches
- Sun Mar 05, 2023 12:01 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: When will indexing blow up?
- Replies: 15
- Views: 942
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 6:33 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
- Replies: 33
- Views: 2819
Re: Stock Picking in the PP
+1 with Vinny. I have also had a lot of hand wringing recently on what would be the best fund to use for stocks but have settled on a total stock index fund. I was looking hard at some active funds as potential candidates but I didn't have enough faith they would out perform. I leaned more toward fi...
- Mon Feb 27, 2023 8:39 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold - THE MOST CORROSION RESISTANT METAL!
- Replies: 0
- Views: 828
Gold - THE MOST CORROSION RESISTANT METAL!
I just stumbled upon this video that shows some scientific experiments with gold. I especially enjoyed the section with acids dissolving gold. Best I could tell, they could not destroy the gold. They only break it down into smaller particles which I assume must just be more pure gold than the .999 g...
- Thu Feb 02, 2023 11:59 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock scream room
- Replies: 1438
- Views: 554680
Re: Stock scream room
Nasdaq up over 17% ytd? That is some pain.
- Tue Jan 24, 2023 9:23 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Solution for those on the fence between bogle or browne
- Replies: 9
- Views: 1179
- Tue Jan 24, 2023 9:11 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: New Ideas about Sleep
- Replies: 15
- Views: 504
Re: New Ideas about Sleep
As a lifelong insomniac I can get on board with the body wanting to stay awake for 30 to 40 hours. If I didn't have to live by a schedule I could see getting into a sleep schedule that did not revolve around a time of day at all. I can't even comprehend being able to sleep for 10 hours and feel pret...
- Tue Jan 17, 2023 9:25 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
- Replies: 844
- Views: 280777
Re: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
Wow. That bill is terrifying. It is in itself what it purports to stop.
- Wed Jan 11, 2023 10:17 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: When is it time to load up on bonds.
- Replies: 29
- Views: 2590
Re: When is it time to load up on bonds.
I decided it was time to get back into long bonds sometime last month and went pure permanent portfolio in the accounts I was able to in. My thought process was that your best opportunity to take advantage of long bonds is when the yield curve gets as inverted as much as it is now. https://www.longt...
- Tue Dec 27, 2022 4:24 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Would you buy an even longer bond?
- Replies: 13
- Views: 1748
Re: Would you buy an even longer bond?
I wanted to hear some context from Harry himself so I listened to this show 05-04-24 - The effects of interest-rate changes on the economy https://youtu.be/R34Bct2OKFM?t=2224 It seems to me that the context is a world where the 30 year treasury bond is the longest dated bond. As welderwannabe mentio...
- Sat Dec 24, 2022 9:30 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Fidelity Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium Trading
- Replies: 3
- Views: 736
Fidelity Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium Trading
When did this happen? I just learned of this from snedgar in the other thread. This at least feels like lower counter party risk with some higher fees. https://www.fidelity.com/trading/investment-choices/gold-silver-platinum Buying and selling fees: Fees5 Gross amount Percent charged on gross amount...
- Fri Dec 23, 2022 1:51 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Huh, 1/N Asset Allocation is Quite Robust
- Replies: 12
- Views: 1084
Re: Huh, 1/N Asset Allocation is Quite Robust
Interesting. I was not familiar with this but found some more context in a 2011 paper that was also in support. http://arno.uvt.nl/show.cgi?fid=129399 In circa 400 A.D. Jewish Rabbi Issac Bar Aha recommended always to invest a third into land, a third into merchandise and to keep a third at hand. Th...
- Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:58 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: GAA Cambria Global Asset Allocation ETF
- Replies: 4
- Views: 792
GAA Cambria Global Asset Allocation ETF
I expect this fund would be of interest to folks interested in permanent portfolio. Maybe this has been mentioned before but I just heard fresh advertisement of Meb Faber's podcast. Podcast https://mebfaber.com/2022/12/05/cambria-aa/ He mentioned Harry Browne's permanent portfolio as one influence f...
- Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:01 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Twitter Files
- Replies: 163
- Views: 7838
Re: The Twitter Files
It can be hard to define but the government deciding what is truth and not allowing public discussion does shut down free speech.
https://www.dhs.gov/news/2022/08/24/fol ... ance-board
https://www.dhs.gov/news/2022/08/24/fol ... ance-board
- Sat Dec 03, 2022 8:35 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Twitter Files
- Replies: 163
- Views: 7838
Re: The Twitter Files
Free speech isn't the issue democrats care about so it won't change any minds. I imagine everyone has an issue that would cause them to abandon their party if the other party had their preferred stance. I know I would abandon all other positions if the republicans were the ones shutting down speech ...
- Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:20 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
- Replies: 36
- Views: 1967
Re: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
You are right. I was mixing up the 30k and 70k bonuses. Long story short is you are not getting that full bonus when you look at opportunity cost of moving from Treasury to citi So maybe you get $300 of that $500 bonus if you are lucky. Would be much more attractive if Treasury wasn't already paying...
- Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:29 am
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
- Replies: 36
- Views: 1967
Re: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
After seeing rate was better for lower amounts, I contemplated the $500 for $30k offer but still don't think it is worth it.
After state tax, rate would be more like 5.1
1 year Treasury is 4.75
So all the trouble to earn an extra .35 %
$100 maybe?
After state tax, rate would be more like 5.1
1 year Treasury is 4.75
So all the trouble to earn an extra .35 %
$100 maybe?
- Thu Nov 24, 2022 10:38 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Peanut Butter
- Replies: 51
- Views: 2075
Re: Peanut Butter
The peanut butter was exceptional. Going back to peter pan has been difficult. Walmart is also out of stock now.
- Thu Nov 24, 2022 10:33 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
- Replies: 36
- Views: 1967
Re: Tempting Cash Rebate offers
My calculations show this worse deal than Treasury money market.
It would only be about annual 4% return if you could replicate every 60 days. Rough estimate 2000 of 300000 is .66 % , x 6 is 3.96.
You would be better off buying 2 month Treasury that doesn't have state income tax for sure.
It would only be about annual 4% return if you could replicate every 60 days. Rough estimate 2000 of 300000 is .66 % , x 6 is 3.96.
You would be better off buying 2 month Treasury that doesn't have state income tax for sure.
- Thu Nov 10, 2022 12:40 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold ETFs old and new
- Replies: 32
- Views: 6994
Re: Gold ETFs old and new
Just noticed.
IAUM
Now at .09% expense ratio.
Bid ask spread and premium spread are looser than GLDM so I think GLDM would still be more cost effective.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/306 ... rust-micro
IAUM
Now at .09% expense ratio.
Bid ask spread and premium spread are looser than GLDM so I think GLDM would still be more cost effective.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/306 ... rust-micro
- Wed Nov 09, 2022 9:53 am
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Single-bond ETFs
- Replies: 13
- Views: 4039
Re: Single-bond ETFs
I completed a 3 month auction just in time to watch the rates go up right after. I also set up auto roll on it. For simplicity sake I am liking both sgov and cltl as mindless place to put cash while waiting for I bond space. Sgov is winning out for now but their expense ratio is scheduled to go up t...
- Sun Nov 06, 2022 8:43 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 4.3% SWR for 30 years
- Replies: 22
- Views: 2118
Re: 4.3% SWR for 30 years
I wondered if you could make it simpler with ETFs. I don't know how to calculate your yield though. You could split money 3 ways between these funds to spread out the duration. Then sell the fund that is up when you need to make a withdrawal. https://www.pimco.com/en-us/investments/etf/1-5-year-us-t...
- Fri Nov 04, 2022 3:20 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: White House Deletes Tweet After Context Note
- Replies: 10
- Views: 718
Re: White House Deletes Tweet After Context Note
At first I didn't like the sound of context being added by Twitter overlords but it sounds like this just a pinned comment based on community votes. That is generally helpful to stop a tweet that is disinformation. According to a description under the annotation, “Context is written by people who us...
- Wed Nov 02, 2022 9:56 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Peanut Butter
- Replies: 51
- Views: 2075
Re: Peanut Butter
Ok folks...convince me that (on Amazon) a $28.55 16oz jar of Teddie peanut butter is THAT good. I can get 12 16.3 oz jars of Skippy Super Chunk for $31.44 (on Amazon) 12x better??? Sounds like that is just an Amazon price predator. 26 oz for $5 https://www.walmart.com/ip/43300425 I have received my...
- Mon Oct 31, 2022 5:44 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Peanut Butter
- Replies: 51
- Views: 2075
Re: Peanut Butter
Seriously, why even bother with the apples. The only thing I ever add to my peanut butter is chocolate chips. :) The apples are non-cane sugar .. natural sugar. Now I will go off to make my only meal of the day. Heaping tablespoon of unsweetened cocoa powder A lot of peanut butter 2 packets of Stev...
- Sat Oct 29, 2022 10:28 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Peanut Butter
- Replies: 51
- Views: 2075
Re: Peanut Butter
Never had it myself but I found Walmart ships at least the salted variety. I'll order some to try.
Teddie All Natural Super Chunky Peanut Butter, 26 oz https://www.walmart.com/ip/43300425
Teddie All Natural Super Chunky Peanut Butter, 26 oz https://www.walmart.com/ip/43300425