Search found 372 matches

by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 20, 2021 4:36 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Chauvin Verdict
Replies: 89
Views: 739

Re: Chauvin Verdict

Are verdicts binary or can your verdict be:

Guilty out of fear for my personal safety.
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 20, 2021 3:16 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Minimizing counterparty risk
Replies: 8
Views: 154

Re: Minimizing counterparty risk

Most extreme example may be to use direct stock purchase plans if corporations offer it. I bet they outsource to a holding company if if they do offer it though. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/directstockpurchaseplan.asp Holding a Vanguard mutual fund at Vanguard does at least feel safer than ...
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 20, 2021 12:08 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 592
Views: 10697

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

I hope this doesn't turn out like flu vaccine where you can't tell if it really does anything.

My favorite statistic for flu vaccine.
Immunized workers who do catch the flu return to work half a day sooner on average
by whatchamacallit
Mon Apr 19, 2021 3:33 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Future of Investing
Replies: 7
Views: 324

Re: Future of Investing

Some golden nuggets I found to help get back to the basics.

Paul Merriman
https://youtu.be/XF3IEEr8BfI

William Bernstein book:
https://www.etf.com/docs/IfYouCan.pdf
by whatchamacallit
Sun Apr 18, 2021 6:58 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
Replies: 771
Views: 154573

Re: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II

New Project Veritas video shows a producer self pwning the shit out of himself and CNN while on fake Tinderdates. It's obviously not surprising , but it's funny. He also lets slip that they're going to be fearmongering climate, so that's good to know AND KNOWLEDGE IS POWER GI JOOOOOEEEE I assumed e...
by whatchamacallit
Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP
Replies: 21
Views: 1611

Re: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP

Hal wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:23 pm
Another interview with Gundlach on the PP. Starts at 46:45 min mark

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcEj4XkLn5w
Good one. Pick back up at 1:08:30 if you don't make it that far.

Sounds like he was pretty much in PP except 50% cash instead of bonds.
by whatchamacallit
Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:51 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ways to profit from bitcoin crash
Replies: 1
Views: 82

Re: ways to profit from bitcoin crash

Looks like you can buy April 23rd 50k btc put for $179

https://omni.ledgerx.com/live

With crazy dogecoin action that feels like decent bet.
by whatchamacallit
Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:21 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I think it’s time to move into crypto
Replies: 80
Views: 2237

Re: I think it’s time to move into crypto

I sold all my gbtc on Friday. I made 30% or so profit.

With everything except btc going up last week something definitely felt broken with it.

It just felt like dogecoin run up could cause all of them to crash.

I don't know when I will get back in. Still hate the stuff but would love the profits.
by whatchamacallit
Thu Apr 15, 2021 4:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Poll: Which asset will be the winner in 2021?
Replies: 28
Views: 1900

Re: Poll: Which asset will be the winner in 2021?

whatchamacallit wrote:
Wed Apr 14, 2021 5:02 pm
blue_ruin17 wrote:
Wed Jan 27, 2021 9:24 pm
tomfoolery wrote:
Wed Jan 27, 2021 3:08 pm
GameStop will be the winning asset for 2021.
100% GameStop is incredibly risky...you gotta diversify:

25% GameStop
25% AMC
25% BlackBerry
25% Dogecoin (black swan hedge)
Can someone run analysis on this portfolio?
Dogecoin up 6200% in 1 year.
Insanity. 10000% now.
by whatchamacallit
Thu Apr 15, 2021 11:08 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4220
Views: 275150

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I think single dose is good enough for me.

Study shows at least 80% effective if not just as effective as two doses. It is harder to test how effective first dose would be after couple of months since most people would have received second dose.
by whatchamacallit
Wed Apr 14, 2021 8:53 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Future of Investing
Replies: 7
Views: 324

Re: Future of Investing

It is just frustrating when you see things like dogecoin go up 6500% in less than a year. Unfortunately this feels like the stories you hear from the great depression shoe shine boy stock tips. It seems like the smart money may be buying up land now though. Bill Gates buying farm land and whoever is...
by whatchamacallit
Wed Apr 14, 2021 5:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Poll: Which asset will be the winner in 2021?
Replies: 28
Views: 1900

Re: Poll: Which asset will be the winner in 2021?

blue_ruin17 wrote:
Wed Jan 27, 2021 9:24 pm
tomfoolery wrote:
Wed Jan 27, 2021 3:08 pm
GameStop will be the winning asset for 2021.
100% GameStop is incredibly risky...you gotta diversify:

25% GameStop
25% AMC
25% BlackBerry
25% Dogecoin (black swan hedge)
Can someone run analysis on this portfolio?
Dogecoin up 6200% in 1 year.
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 13, 2021 2:39 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Need a realtor to sell a home in this market?
Replies: 43
Views: 509

Re: Need a realtor to sell a home in this market?

The relative of an acquaintance of mine recently put their "nothing special" house in a suburb of Buffalo, NY on the market at $415k. Within 4 days they had 11 offers, 4 were all cash, and the accepted offer was $500k all cash with a quick close. I really would like to see a breakdown of who is buy...
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 13, 2021 10:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 197
Views: 6005

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Bold prediction with a good bit of time left in year.
TIME magazine person of the year:
Satoshi Nakamoto

Then cue market top of our current debt cycle.
by whatchamacallit
Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:47 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 197
Views: 6005

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

The TIME magazine market top indicator is getting very close. It isn't a cover yet but at this rate I expect bitcoin to be on the cover this year. https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/bitcoin/time-magazine-to-hold-bitcoin For reference housing indicator https://ritholtz.com/2005/06/uh-oh-time-magazine-o...
by whatchamacallit
Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:36 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: , "Why I got the damn shot and got on with my life".
Replies: 7
Views: 192

Re: , "Why I got the damn shot and got on with my life".

Thankfully I live in a place where I have been able to get on with my life since May of last year or so. I just don't lick as many doorknobs as before. Statistically speaking at this point I feel like it is more important for our society to not wear a mask because of what is lost than what may be ga...
by whatchamacallit
Sun Apr 11, 2021 10:47 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mlb partisanship
Replies: 37
Views: 895

Re: Mlb partisanship

All the reasons denver is better https://youtu.be/Vv1XG1PgLkY Listening to it now. I have never had to show an idea to vote. How about everyone else here? Majority of the time you have voted you do or do not have to show an ID to vote. They just ask my name and my street and number. Interesting. Ki...
by whatchamacallit
Sat Apr 10, 2021 11:48 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mlb partisanship
Replies: 37
Views: 895

Re: Mlb partisanship

All the reasons denver is better

https://youtu.be/Vv1XG1PgLkY
by whatchamacallit
Thu Apr 08, 2021 3:51 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 197
Views: 6005

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

This might be start up setup. Since creator is unknown I can't prove otherwise.

Bitcoin is financial weapon from Chinese government.

https://fortune.com/2021/04/07/peter-th ... al-weapon/
by whatchamacallit
Thu Apr 08, 2021 2:32 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mlb partisanship
Replies: 37
Views: 895

Re: Mlb partisanship

Vinny, can you explain why you think black people are too stupid to get free ID cards? I'll be like Jesus and respond by answering a question with my own question. Can you explain why Georgia needed a new set of laws when there were no documented consequential voting fraud but with these news laws ...
by whatchamacallit
Thu Apr 08, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 197
Views: 6005

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Has anybody here researched or gamed out the regulatory risks to BTC or all cryptocurrencies for that matter? By this I mean, what might happen if the US government, or a coalition of governments take the position that crypto is a destabilizing threat. This could happen in the context of another fi...
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:38 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Caitlyn Jenner for governor
Replies: 0
Views: 90

Caitlyn Jenner for governor

Just when mlb makes you lose hope. Maybe Caitlyn Jenner on a republican ticket will mend a divide. Anybody that stands for personal liberty would be a god send. If we can agree on that then we can get back to agreeing to disagree on the rest of it. https://nypost.com/2021/04/06/caitlyn-jenner-mullin...
by whatchamacallit
Tue Apr 06, 2021 12:11 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mlb partisanship
Replies: 37
Views: 895

Re: Mlb partisanship

I assume China is being seen as the future of economic growth in the world. Are our us companies receiving directives from the Chinese government? Follow the money? From 10 years ago: More than half the CEOs interviewed spend 20% to 50% of their time dealing with policy issues and the authorities. h...