Search found 29 matches

by dkalder
Sun Mar 22, 2015 11:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP for European Investors (once again)
Replies: 53
Views: 27087

Re: PP for European Investors (once again)

Going for external-currency-bonds means to not keep to a real PP anymore. In the real PP, the own-everydaylife-currency-bonds are countered by gold and stocks concerning currency fluctuations. Going for external-currency-bonds means to put aside that kind of hedging, inherent to the PP and to specul...
by dkalder
Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: USA/Germany blended Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 16
Views: 7577

Re: USA/Germany blended Permanent Portfolio

Hi first of all I think it is deeply immoral anyways to tax labour at 40% and capital gains at ~26%. So blending tax rates somewhere in between is fine by me. If it does happen. The 0.1% have a big lobby in Berlin. All the people I know who skewed their allocations in regards to (deferred) taxation...
by dkalder
Sat Jan 17, 2015 7:39 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: USA/Germany blended Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 16
Views: 7577

Re: USA/Germany blended Permanent Portfolio

Hi Pfanni, I am a German PP holder since two years. The German PP was performing historically speaking bad in 2013 and very strongly recently. But the biggest issue of all is the taxation. With the Abgeltungssteuer you lose quite a lot of money with every rebalancing. It makes the PP quite inefficie...
by dkalder
Mon Jan 05, 2015 12:52 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin giveaway! :)
Replies: 378
Views: 164970

Re: Bitcoin giveaway! :)

The volatility of this "currency" is worse than that of tech stocks ...
by dkalder
Sat Nov 09, 2013 3:42 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Overcoming inflation for good
Replies: 10
Views: 4660

Re: Overcoming inflation for good

Well, this is exactly the mental and practical framework presented extensively in:

http://www.amazon.com/Early-Retirement- ... 145360121X
by dkalder
Sun Aug 18, 2013 11:17 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Don't become a software engineer
Replies: 17
Views: 6932

Re: Don't become a software engineer

Software development diversified so much in the past 50 years that it's difficult to compare the various areas. These days there are so extremely varying environments and applications, it's stupid to generalize. E.g. take some code-monkey business logic or web-dev implementation stuff against the la...
by dkalder
Wed Apr 24, 2013 12:07 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: What % of your PP gold is physical?
Replies: 70
Views: 30021

Re: What % of your PP gold is physical?

An equivalent at current prices of one year of your expenses in physical gold, in not too large portions (so no bars, only coins). An equivalent at current prices of one month of your expenses in physical silver (again no bars, only coins). An equivalent at current prices of one day of your expense...
by dkalder
Tue Apr 23, 2013 2:18 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: What % of your PP gold is physical?
Replies: 70
Views: 30021

Re: What % of your PP gold is physical?

I think, it is a good idea to have right at hand: An equivalent at current prices of one year of your expenses in physical gold, in not too large portions (so no bars, only coins). An equivalent at current prices of one month of your expenses in physical silver (again no bars, only coins). An equiva...
by dkalder
Mon Apr 22, 2013 12:28 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: GOP push to name bomber "enemy combatant"
Replies: 35
Views: 8823

Re: GOP push to name bomber "enemy combatant"

And so once again the terrorists have been successful. Successful in eroding civil and human rights as they intended, destroying the superiority of a society being born in and evolved since the Age of Enlightenment. And having a "nice", helping hand of their terrorist "brothers" ...
by dkalder
Tue Apr 16, 2013 4:43 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The Rout Continues
Replies: 80
Views: 39737

Re: The Rout Continues

So Stocks are overvalued Gold and commodities are overvalued Bonds are already near 0% and thus historically totally overvalued Cash is flooded onto the market by the central banks and thus overvalued And certainly my PP of the mid of last week was overvalued compared to today (around - 4%) ... The...
by dkalder
Mon Apr 15, 2013 2:12 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The Rout Continues
Replies: 80
Views: 39737

Re: The Rout Continues

Some quick thoughts. It's not just gold and silver. Stocks and oil are all taking a hit today. The economic data from China suggests a significant economic cooling. Our own most recent employment figures were disconcerting. Cyprus is being ordered to unload most the country's gold reserves and ther...
by dkalder
Sun Mar 17, 2013 3:29 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The Golden Dilemma
Replies: 9
Views: 6095

Re: The Golden Dilemma

Gold reacts to currency collapse, hyperinflation, negative real interest rates, and a bad stock market. It doesn't react strongly to low-to-moderate inflation, especially when the economy is doing well. Why own gold when you're well-employed, your house is rising in value, your savings account is t...
by dkalder
Thu Jan 24, 2013 12:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Better Than Human: Why Robots Will � And Must � Take Our Jobs
Replies: 44
Views: 12448

Re: Better Than Human: Why Robots Will — And Must — Take Our Jobs

Slashdot currently has a nice discussion about the topic http://tech.slashdot.org/story/13/01/23/201257/recession-tech-kill-middle-class-jobs based on this article: http://news.yahoo.com/ap-impact-recession-tech-kill-middle-class-jobs-051306434--finance.html Concerning robots repairing robots: it's ...
by dkalder
Tue Jan 15, 2013 10:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Is Lance Armstrong Guilty?
Replies: 53
Views: 17857

Re: Is Lance Armstrong Guilty?

I always used to call him "Lance-needle Dopestrong" 10 years ago and it was always clear to me, how this would play out and that he was the greatest doper of all time. The only surprise for me was how long it took for the story to fully unfold. Just see him talking once and you realize wha...
by dkalder
Thu Jan 10, 2013 6:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: New study: United States fares poorly in comparison with other rich countries
Replies: 27
Views: 11940

New study: United States fares poorly in comparison with other rich countries

"Younger Americans die earlier and live in poorer health than their counterparts in other developed countries, with far higher rates of death from guns, car accidents and drug addiction, according to a new analysis of health and longevity in the United States." http://www.nytimes.com/2013...
by dkalder
Sun Jan 06, 2013 4:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Better Than Human: Why Robots Will � And Must � Take Our Jobs
Replies: 44
Views: 12448

Re: Better Than Human: Why Robots Will — And Must — Take Our Jobs

And that, ladies and gentlemen, is the reason we need to think about the unconditional basic income ... soon! The society of labor is ending quickly. Disclaimer: I am heavily involved - understatement, it is actually my day job and I have a PhD in it - in intelligent service as well as industrial ro...
by dkalder
Fri Jan 04, 2013 11:48 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Free market flawed, says survey
Replies: 25
Views: 7721

Re: Free market flawed, says survey

In another thread someone asked me why I believe that France will be the first of the large industrial nations to get into really nasty troubles. Above is the answer.
by dkalder
Fri Dec 28, 2012 2:07 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: 2013 Will Be The "Worst" Year For The US [In My Adult Life]
Replies: 83
Views: 23473

Re: 2013 Will Be The "Worst" Year For The US [In My Adult Life]

Only in decadence and complacency lies danger. When the mood is bad, usually bright times lie ahead. As the energy challenge is developing well with shale oil, new methods for natural gas, cheap wind and solar power, a lot of pressure will be lifted from the economy in the coming years. Furthermore,...
by dkalder
Thu Nov 29, 2012 1:07 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Storing physical gold
Replies: 30
Views: 13697

Re: Storing physical gold

I honestly do not understand the reservations against hiding some portion of the PP-Gold as physical coins at home. If packaged the right way, damage by nature can be minimized as can be probability of theft. They take gold coins from the bottom of the sea, so flooding should be no problem and fire ...
by dkalder
Tue Nov 20, 2012 7:33 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: EUROPEAN PP family
Replies: 21
Views: 12077

Re: EUROPEAN PP family

To get back to the original topic: For a German PP holder, the capital gains tax ("Abgeltungssteuer") is the killer, because it scalps every rebalancing. In a high-inflation environment, the tax might even "take care" of all real gains. As the tax will certainly even rise further...
by dkalder
Thu Oct 18, 2012 5:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Milestones to Financial Freedom
Replies: 77
Views: 23236

Re: Milestones to Financial Freedom

having a job that you love and/or believe in so much that you don't have any desire to retire? If you can find that, more power to you.  But I will wonder what is wrong with you... I had my first passbook savings account by the time I was 10 (they paid 5-1/4% interest at the time).  I calculated ma...
by dkalder
Wed Oct 10, 2012 6:38 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Most likely next doomsday scenario
Replies: 8
Views: 2594

Most likely next doomsday scenario

Please vote for the scenario you think will happen most likely next.
by dkalder
Tue Oct 09, 2012 9:33 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Early Retirement Extreme progress
Replies: 105
Views: 40936

Re: Early Retirement Extreme progress

This is just a thought but I've often thought that if people that lived with extreme frugality funneled that time and energy into their career (or a new one, side business, etc), they could probably double or triple their income relatively easily.  Obviously if you're already making $100k+ that bec...
by dkalder
Tue Oct 09, 2012 6:55 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If you had $1 Million in the PP, can you live off of that?
Replies: 106
Views: 40811

Re: If you had $1 Million in the PP, can you live off of that?

If you are planning to send kids to college, does the 1M affect financial aid? Seems that this should be considered. Options: Kids don't go to college Kids work and pay own way Loans To be fair, it seems that indicating that you could live off of 1M means that 1) you no longer work, 2) you are comf...
by dkalder
Tue Oct 09, 2012 3:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If you had $1 Million in the PP, can you live off of that?
Replies: 106
Views: 40811

Re: If you had $1 Million in the PP, can you live off of that?

The median net income in Germany is 19000 US$/year (when accounting for purchasing power parity). So, 30000 US$/year should be quite sufficient for a household here around! You just have to play around with the investment portfolio, because health insurance costs actually depend on realized capital ...