The Cranberries - Dreams (live 1994 London)
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- Sat Jun 03, 2023 10:25 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: YouTube Junkie
- Replies: 1231
- Views: 647932
- Wed May 17, 2023 1:48 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: When will indexing blow up?
- Replies: 30
- Views: 48167
- Wed May 17, 2023 8:06 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Non-ESG ETFs
- Replies: 53
- Views: 48078
Re: Non-ESG ETFs
The real fix is for funds to not have voting rights; the voting rights should belong to whoever's money it actually is. Is there any progress on that front? Agreed. Keep in mind, even the companies they gave A ratings to are still voting for/influencing corporations towards what everyone thinks of ...
- Wed May 10, 2023 3:19 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Check out this graphic. It lines up with the trickle of (mostly un-hyped) articles I'm seeing saying stuff like "the banking failures aren't over" and "this one will be worse than 2008." But then again, this doom stuff always gets me all hot and bothered. https://theirrelevantinv...
- Thu May 04, 2023 3:22 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1782622
- Wed Apr 12, 2023 9:17 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: House Dems To Biden: 'Hands Off Assange!'
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2965
Re: House Dems To Biden: 'Hands Off Assange!'
It's absurd that Julian Assange is still being targeted by the US government, while the source of his information, Bradley (now Chelsea) Manning, is living free. Manning indiscriminately leaked information that had no reason to be released. A personal example; I was deployed to Afghanistan at the ti...
- Thu Apr 06, 2023 5:04 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Hedging Against U.S. Dollar Losing Global Reserve Status
- Replies: 34
- Views: 32485
Re: Hedging Against U.S. Dollar Losing Global Reserve Status
It seems likely that the experience of the British and the US getting knocked off the hill are going to be very different. The UK was able to send their capital to the US was because the US was a friendly ally with aligned interests, and were able to diversify internationally because the US was just...
- Wed Apr 05, 2023 5:05 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Hedging Against U.S. Dollar Losing Global Reserve Status
- Replies: 34
- Views: 32485
Re: Hedging Against U.S. Dollar Losing Global Reserve Status
Fun! I'd imagine that if the US "loses" reserve currency status, then you wouldn't want to have much of an allocation to international stocks. I'm thinking along the lines of Zeihan (Zeihanic lines?): The US won't be able (or want) to maintain global force projection without the reserve cu...
- Sat Apr 01, 2023 1:06 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: YouTube Junkie
- Replies: 1231
- Views: 647932
Re: YouTube Junkie
Birthgap
Part 1 of a documentary on collapsing birthrates (it looks like the creator is trying to release the full documentary on a streaming service). I like how he made his maps look. Like diseased cells.
Part 1 of a documentary on collapsing birthrates (it looks like the creator is trying to release the full documentary on a streaming service). I like how he made his maps look. Like diseased cells.
- Wed Mar 29, 2023 1:06 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: TikTok ban thoughts?
- Replies: 26
- Views: 25104
Re: TikTok ban thoughts?
Nope, not in favor of this bill. It smells like the PATRIOT Act.
But
If Tik Tok is an intelligence operation by a foreign government targeting Americans, then counter-intelligence should probably be arresting Tik Tok employees, and/or attacking its servers and shit, right?
But
If Tik Tok is an intelligence operation by a foreign government targeting Americans, then counter-intelligence should probably be arresting Tik Tok employees, and/or attacking its servers and shit, right?
- Sat Mar 25, 2023 8:54 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: New ETFs for cash/bonds
- Replies: 4
- Views: 3928
New ETFs for cash/bonds
On a recent podcast , the Animal Spirits guys talked about some new ETFs that track on the run treasuries. They just rolled out in August of last year. They do 3mo, 6mo, 1 year, 2 year, and 10 year. On the podcast he mentions that they're going to be bringing out a 30 year soon. The ER is 0.15, whic...
- Sun Mar 19, 2023 11:45 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Optimal Diet
- Replies: 149
- Views: 123402
Re: Optimal Diet
Thanks for the thread bump, bot! I got an air fryer recently that I've been using it to cook chicken. It's fantastic . Dredge chicken in flour, throw it in the air fryer, take it out 20 mins later perfectly done. It's a real game changer. EDIT I also started doing 6.5 hours instead of the 8 I had be...
- Sun Mar 19, 2023 11:41 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Let's see. . . You lend $250,000 to the bank. You get virtually no return on your money and become an unsecured creditor of the bank--subordinate to shareholders and secured creditors. Sounds like a good deal to me. When I was looking at that FDIC document, it mentioned that it had increased the &q...
- Sun Mar 19, 2023 11:37 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
You should get 0 or negative rate on instantly available cash. If you want a return you should have to tie up your money for a few months, that would mitigate bank runs. Yea, that's something I've thought about for a long time. When I hear "nationalized bank" that's kind of what I picture...
- Sat Mar 18, 2023 8:30 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Twitter Files
- Replies: 163
- Views: 72751
Re: The Twitter Files
First, I can't estimate a timeframe, I just think it will happen because historically it's largely been the case. Second, I don't think that saying is the correct mental model to use. "Markets can remain irrational," is to "people can believe a lie" is right, but "...longer ...
- Sat Mar 18, 2023 6:44 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Twitter Files
- Replies: 163
- Views: 72751
Re: The Twitter Files
Ambitious media frauds Stephen Glass and Jayson Blair crippled the reputations of the New Republic and New York Times, respectively, by slipping years of invented news stories into their pages. Thanks to the Twitter Files, we can welcome a new member to their infamous club: Hamilton 68. If one goes...
- Tue Mar 14, 2023 5:12 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
While the FDIC was stepping in to make all depositors whole at SVB, Speaking of the FDIC rescuing the depositors... I'm no expert, but it looks like the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) had $128.2 billion as of Dec 2022 . That was 1.27% of insured deposits. If you were expecting to rescue up to th...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 6:14 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
That was a good Noticing.Mark Leavy wrote: ↑Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:33 pm Major Kudos to the treasury department intern that used the leet URL.
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 6:13 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 130
- Views: 499264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Ok, but is this enough for the Fed to stop raising rates, or do they need to keep going?
I liked Ben Carlson's thoughts: the Fed needs to keep raising the interest rate until they cause a recession, then they'll be able to lower the interest rate to save us from the recession
I liked Ben Carlson's thoughts: the Fed needs to keep raising the interest rate until they cause a recession, then they'll be able to lower the interest rate to save us from the recession
- Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:03 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
- Replies: 135
- Views: 58970
Re: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
I LOL'd.
But also, does ChatGPT have good game? Might need to explore that angle...
- Tue Mar 07, 2023 7:34 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Jan 6 footage on Tucker
- Replies: 35
- Views: 50162
Re: Jan 6 footage on Tucker
In one of those coincidences that seem to happen all the time when you read a lot, it's fitting that evidence that Jacob Chansley (among others) was unjustly imprisoned has been exposed now. I'm reading Tuchman's excellent The Proud Tower (A portrait of the world before the War: 1890-1914). So far i...
- Fri Mar 03, 2023 4:56 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 1082283
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
A concern is the starting of a new weapons race, where nukes are old-hat. Simple vertical launch missiles that inject a deadly virus into the jet stream that traverses the world to end all life as we know it. Assured mutual destruction, but where the proliferation is more inclined to see accidents....
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:31 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
- Replies: 850
- Views: 470575
Re: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
Then again, she's in her 90s.
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:26 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
- Replies: 33
- Views: 21364
Re: Stock Picking in the PP
I've also been trading out chunks of the index for individual companies. I base things loosely on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula (such a cheesy name: it's a value screen) method as a starting point, mostly to screen the SP500. It's been educational and interesting (and fun) to read through corporat...
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 8:11 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: When will indexing blow up?
- Replies: 30
- Views: 48167
Re: When will indexing blow up?
Also of concern are vanguard and blackrock having your voting rights. And what about when the Fed buys stocks like the BOJ does. As a major shareholder, they can force Walmart et al to verify annual vax status etc I could see a future where people who start companies don't incporporate, just so tha...