Search found 4580 matches

by sophie
Thu Oct 14, 2021 12:13 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 21
Views: 760

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

You won't miss out on the 7.12% no matter when you buy - you just have to wait a few extra months in order to get it. Meanwhile, the 3%+ interest rate is still a very good deal. I would give serious consideration to buying in October, which gives you an extra month of interest that still beats the p...
by sophie
Thu Oct 14, 2021 12:05 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%
Replies: 7
Views: 258

Re: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%

I am absolutely incredulous that banks and T bills are still paying near zero interest. A spread of 7% between inflation and nominal interest rates is absolutely unprecedented. I don't know what it might imply about monetary stability, but it's for sure not good. This kind of situation is what shoul...
by sophie
Wed Oct 13, 2021 3:42 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Well you do have to factor in population. Let's put it at 8 million for NYC, and 2 million for Austin. NYCs daily hospital admissions were over 1700 at their peak in April 2020, which is over 200 admissions per million residents. Our second wave got close to hospital capacity, but never to crisis le...
by sophie
Wed Oct 13, 2021 1:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

The pattern is that COVID hits a new area, mows through it like wildfire for about 6-8 weeks, and then settles in as yet another endemic seasonal illness. NYC was one of the first places in the US to get hit, so our pandemic period finished up in May of 2020. Healthwise, nothing of note has happene...
by sophie
Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:33 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Fake news from Foxnews...... The study, published last Tuesday in World Psychology, found that those with a substance use disorder (SUD) — a dependence on marijuana, alcohol, cocaine, opioids and tobacco — were more likely to contract the coronavirus after receiving both of their vaccination shots....
by sophie
Mon Oct 11, 2021 9:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I guess Scott Adams has basically the same opinion as I do: I think I am supposed to be one of the Lefties on here but I agree. Here in CT, Governor Lamont had his executive powers extended another four plus months. This in spite of the fact that statewide more than 77% of all CT residents have had...
by sophie
Sat Oct 09, 2021 6:38 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Are We Living Under Communism?
Replies: 26
Views: 708

Re: Are We Living Under Communism?

Interesting thought that we might be conflating communism and fascism. It's a little hard to tell the difference, isn't it? There are definitely socialists/communists pushing in that direction, but there are also those (e.g. the Clintons) who simply want power and control. They are aligned right now...
by sophie
Fri Oct 08, 2021 4:40 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Are We Living Under Communism?
Replies: 26
Views: 708

Re: Are We Living Under Communism?

There's nowhere better to go than here, I'm afraid. My answer to the thread title: No, not yet. But we're getting frighteningly close. Censorship, persecution for holding views that run counter to the state's preferences, a "Pravda" machine instead of the free press that the Founders envisioned, mak...
by sophie
Fri Oct 08, 2021 11:54 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Xan I understand your reasoning here, however I'm not sure why it only applies to the conservative viewpoints on the forum. There are people on the liberal side who have not been banned, and yet have the same negative effect. Any thought of doing something about that? I can't think of anybody who h...
by sophie
Wed Oct 06, 2021 8:40 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Xan I understand your reasoning here, however I'm not sure why it only applies to the conservative viewpoints on the forum.

There are people on the liberal side who have not been banned, and yet have the same negative effect. Any thought of doing something about that?
by sophie
Tue Oct 05, 2021 2:29 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

The full article if anyone cares to read it: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-021-00808-7 I suspect that the positive association between vaccination levels and COVID cases has to do with the definition of a case and the amount of testing going on. There are several reasons why high-...
by sophie
Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:01 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Somebody (Bangladesh) actually did a controlled study recently. They concluded that surgical face masks caused a statistically significant (but not particularly huge) decrease in spread. Zero for cloth face masks. 11%, if you scroll back a few posts. For surgical masks only. My guess is that this w...
by sophie
Mon Oct 04, 2021 10:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Forum Members with COVID-19
Replies: 206
Views: 19408

Re: Forum Members with COVID-19

The real question should be how many months/years of life lost there are due to COVID. It doesn't help to point the finger at COVID when the main result is to change what's written on the death certificate, but not the date. I saw one study early in the pandemic that looked into that very question. ...
by sophie
Sun Sep 26, 2021 10:03 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: AZ audit
Replies: 24
Views: 1029

Re: AZ audit

At the risk of being politcally incorrect, I feel obliged to point out that the Arizona audit book is not yet closed. 50,000 questionable ballots were found, and these have been referred to the Attorney General for further investigation. They included mail in ballots that were never sent out (i.e. p...
by sophie
Tue Sep 21, 2021 9:58 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Thanks for resurrecting that dualstow! I was thinking about that....I've done quite an about face on the COVID vaccine, on the face of it. I don't know if COVID and measles can be compared. Measles vaccine gives you lifetime immunity because the virus doesn't mutate the way coronaviruses do - and th...
by sophie
Sat Sep 18, 2021 3:46 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

I'm surprised at the FDA vote, but there was a good rationale for it: the Pfizer vaccine is still very effective at preventing severe disease, which is the real reason for the vaccine. The risks of the booster were deemed simply not worth it to prevent mild illness. I was quite heartened by the vote...
by sophie
Fri Sep 17, 2021 1:32 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 21
Views: 760

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

I'm not an I-Bond hater, just a Treasury Direct hater. I just wish there was somewhere else to buy them. +1 Clunkiest website ever. I was locked out for years. I would surely have bought more i-bonds in the past several years, but I just hate the website. They recently "updated" the website and you...
by sophie
Tue Sep 14, 2021 9:10 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

That might be a fair assessment, Maddy. The trends shown are probably legit, but yes, I'd agree that scientists (though perhaps not journalists) should know better than to take the absolute numbers as gospel. We should avoid that here on the forum, so we can hold ourselves to higher standards than t...
by sophie
Tue Sep 14, 2021 8:03 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

See article in the other thread about how you go about counting hospitalized COVID cases. Yes, I assume the number 44 per million represents the number of hospitalized children who tested positive for COVID during admission - and therefore includes both genuine COVID cases, and asymptomatic COVID i...
by sophie
Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

See article in the other thread about how you go about counting hospitalized COVID cases. Yes, I assume the number 44 per million represents the number of hospitalized children who tested positive for COVID during admission - and therefore includes both genuine COVID cases, and asymptomatic COVID in...
by sophie
Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:41 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Thank you for posting that article, Flying! I can't believe it, someone in the journalism field suddenly decided to practice journalism. Wow. It's not like we here on the forum haven't been talking about the difference between positive tests and COVID cases for months. Congrats to us for being that ...
by sophie
Sun Sep 12, 2021 10:45 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1785
Views: 70560

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

If they do get infected (which is a matter of time) they're at much greater risk than they are from the vaccine. Just a reminder that you have to be very careful about not only the numerator but also the denominator when you cite numbers to support a given position. There is a logical flaw in the q...
by sophie
Thu Sep 09, 2021 8:14 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Excellent primer on iBonds vs. TIPS
Replies: 1
Views: 199

Re: Excellent primer on iBonds vs. TIPS

Thank you for posting this Kevin! Very informative read. Makes me glad I shied away from jumping into TIPS, for sure. tl;dr - TIPS may be good for a tax-advantaged account, definitely don't want them in taxable, iBonds are the bomb right now and for the near to mid future. Also, I gathered that: - a...
by sophie
Sat Sep 04, 2021 10:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5122
Views: 437307

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I don't think this pandemic is ever actually going to end. Viruses mutate. That's what they do. New strains will proliferate faster than new iPhone versions every year. And of course, the ones that actually propagate are the hardy ones that resist the effects of inoculation. I think we're likely lo...
by sophie
Mon Aug 30, 2021 11:22 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Biden a Disaster?
Replies: 97
Views: 3348

Re: Biden a Disaster?

You might want to be careful tying bodily autonomy too closely to remaining a vector for disease. I'm puzzled. Hasn't the CDC made it clear that vaccinated people are still "vectors for disease" which is why they must continue to wear masks? Being vaccinated is about protecting yourself from gettin...