Search found 4588 matches

by sophie
Fri Nov 12, 2021 6:27 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Still Here... By The Skin Of My Teeth
Replies: 124
Views: 6494

Re: Still Here... By The Skin Of My Teeth

Jeez, I had the same reaction as pugchief. This is not a safe situation that Smith is describing. Smith, your highest priority should be to get into regular counseling, 2-3x/week at least. If Canada is anything like the US, and I suspect it is, counseling is on a cash basis and that can be difficult...
by sophie
Fri Nov 12, 2021 6:01 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

My daughter is a third grade teacher, and I asked her if her class this year was either intellectually or socially worse than previous years. Not surprisingly the answer was yes to both. This entire generation of children has been irreparably damaged. Yes, that's the stuff of nightmares. The econom...
by sophie
Fri Nov 05, 2021 4:34 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Oh and barrett, regarding community mask wearing: The data are becoming pretty clear: there is probably a small benefit but not much. It's small enough that a small study can't detect it (eg the Danish study), whereas a large study (Bangladesh) showed a 10% reduction in COVID cases. This is consist...
by sophie
Fri Nov 05, 2021 1:33 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Oh and barrett, regarding community mask wearing: The data are becoming pretty clear: there is probably a small benefit but not much. It's small enough that a small study can't detect it (eg the Danish study), whereas a large study (Bangladesh) showed a 10% reduction in COVID cases. This is consiste...
by sophie
Fri Nov 05, 2021 1:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

But if you are going to compare Covid outcomes in Florida & Hawaii, you also should know that Florida has lost 2,770 people per million due to Covid-related illness while Hawaii is currently at 658 per million. I really wish people would stop making comparisons like this. Scientifically this is utt...
by sophie
Mon Nov 01, 2021 11:18 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1992
Views: 127398

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

Both of your suggestions, Sophie, do involve giving people the vaccine in order to find out whether or not it's safe. OK let me spell it out for the logistically challenged. Once the emergency approvals for the vaccines were issued and the push to vaccinate the entire US population began, the long ...
by sophie
Mon Nov 01, 2021 10:13 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1992
Views: 127398

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

Dr. Ruben on the FDA panel: "We're never gonna learn about how safe the vaccine is until we start giving it. That's the way it goes." Seems legit. Was that intended to be sarcastic? Here are some other ideas on how to find out if the vaccine is safe: 1. Do the standard clinical trials. These vaccin...
by sophie
Mon Nov 01, 2021 9:55 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Staying the course with LTTs
Replies: 109
Views: 7035

Re: Staying the course with LTTs

Yes, I'm with foglifter here : I have the same question. And came to the same conclusion: I did switch to the Golden Butterfly, somewhat reducing the problem, but I'm going to stay the course. The reason is that we don't really know how the inflationary environment is going to unfold, and when the e...
by sophie
Thu Oct 14, 2021 12:13 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 8335

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

You won't miss out on the 7.12% no matter when you buy - you just have to wait a few extra months in order to get it. Meanwhile, the 3%+ interest rate is still a very good deal. I would give serious consideration to buying in October, which gives you an extra month of interest that still beats the p...
by sophie
Thu Oct 14, 2021 12:05 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%
Replies: 35
Views: 3989

Re: Highest I bond rate ever: 7.12%

I am absolutely incredulous that banks and T bills are still paying near zero interest. A spread of 7% between inflation and nominal interest rates is absolutely unprecedented. I don't know what it might imply about monetary stability, but it's for sure not good. This kind of situation is what shoul...
by sophie
Wed Oct 13, 2021 3:42 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Well you do have to factor in population. Let's put it at 8 million for NYC, and 2 million for Austin. NYCs daily hospital admissions were over 1700 at their peak in April 2020, which is over 200 admissions per million residents. Our second wave got close to hospital capacity, but never to crisis le...
by sophie
Wed Oct 13, 2021 1:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

The pattern is that COVID hits a new area, mows through it like wildfire for about 6-8 weeks, and then settles in as yet another endemic seasonal illness. NYC was one of the first places in the US to get hit, so our pandemic period finished up in May of 2020. Healthwise, nothing of note has happene...
by sophie
Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:33 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Fake news from Foxnews...... The study, published last Tuesday in World Psychology, found that those with a substance use disorder (SUD) — a dependence on marijuana, alcohol, cocaine, opioids and tobacco — were more likely to contract the coronavirus after receiving both of their vaccination shots....
by sophie
Mon Oct 11, 2021 9:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I guess Scott Adams has basically the same opinion as I do: I think I am supposed to be one of the Lefties on here but I agree. Here in CT, Governor Lamont had his executive powers extended another four plus months. This in spite of the fact that statewide more than 77% of all CT residents have had...
by sophie
Sat Oct 09, 2021 6:38 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Are We Living Under Communism?
Replies: 39
Views: 5356

Re: Are We Living Under Communism?

Interesting thought that we might be conflating communism and fascism. It's a little hard to tell the difference, isn't it? There are definitely socialists/communists pushing in that direction, but there are also those (e.g. the Clintons) who simply want power and control. They are aligned right now...
by sophie
Fri Oct 08, 2021 4:40 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Are We Living Under Communism?
Replies: 39
Views: 5356

Re: Are We Living Under Communism?

There's nowhere better to go than here, I'm afraid. My answer to the thread title: No, not yet. But we're getting frighteningly close. Censorship, persecution for holding views that run counter to the state's preferences, a "Pravda" machine instead of the free press that the Founders envisioned, mak...
by sophie
Fri Oct 08, 2021 11:54 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Xan I understand your reasoning here, however I'm not sure why it only applies to the conservative viewpoints on the forum. There are people on the liberal side who have not been banned, and yet have the same negative effect. Any thought of doing something about that? I can't think of anybody who h...
by sophie
Wed Oct 06, 2021 8:40 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Xan I understand your reasoning here, however I'm not sure why it only applies to the conservative viewpoints on the forum.

There are people on the liberal side who have not been banned, and yet have the same negative effect. Any thought of doing something about that?
by sophie
Tue Oct 05, 2021 2:29 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1992
Views: 127398

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

The full article if anyone cares to read it: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-021-00808-7 I suspect that the positive association between vaccination levels and COVID cases has to do with the definition of a case and the amount of testing going on. There are several reasons why high-...
by sophie
Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:01 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Somebody (Bangladesh) actually did a controlled study recently. They concluded that surgical face masks caused a statistically significant (but not particularly huge) decrease in spread. Zero for cloth face masks. 11%, if you scroll back a few posts. For surgical masks only. My guess is that this w...
by sophie
Mon Oct 04, 2021 10:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Forum Members with COVID-19
Replies: 213
Views: 24844

Re: Forum Members with COVID-19

The real question should be how many months/years of life lost there are due to COVID. It doesn't help to point the finger at COVID when the main result is to change what's written on the death certificate, but not the date. I saw one study early in the pandemic that looked into that very question. ...
by sophie
Sun Sep 26, 2021 10:03 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: AZ audit
Replies: 24
Views: 3112

Re: AZ audit

At the risk of being politcally incorrect, I feel obliged to point out that the Arizona audit book is not yet closed. 50,000 questionable ballots were found, and these have been referred to the Attorney General for further investigation. They included mail in ballots that were never sent out (i.e. p...
by sophie
Tue Sep 21, 2021 9:58 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5458
Views: 545844

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Thanks for resurrecting that dualstow! I was thinking about that....I've done quite an about face on the COVID vaccine, on the face of it. I don't know if COVID and measles can be compared. Measles vaccine gives you lifetime immunity because the virus doesn't mutate the way coronaviruses do - and th...
by sophie
Sat Sep 18, 2021 3:46 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 1992
Views: 127398

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

I'm surprised at the FDA vote, but there was a good rationale for it: the Pfizer vaccine is still very effective at preventing severe disease, which is the real reason for the vaccine. The risks of the booster were deemed simply not worth it to prevent mild illness. I was quite heartened by the vote...
by sophie
Fri Sep 17, 2021 1:32 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater
Replies: 33
Views: 8335

Re: Sucks to Be An I-Bond Hater

I'm not an I-Bond hater, just a Treasury Direct hater. I just wish there was somewhere else to buy them. +1 Clunkiest website ever. I was locked out for years. I would surely have bought more i-bonds in the past several years, but I just hate the website. They recently "updated" the website and you...