Search found 4469 matches

by sophie
Tue Jun 15, 2021 8:31 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4494
Views: 326077

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Another theory that fits the facts is that there's a new virus floating around that's sufficiently dangerous both in terms of known and unknown short- and long-term effects to severely disrupt society, and that we now have multiple vaccines that work really well at preventing it. You're assuming he...
by sophie
Mon Jun 14, 2021 6:07 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4494
Views: 326077

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Another theory that fits the facts is that there's a new virus floating around that's sufficiently dangerous both in terms of known and unknown short- and long-term effects to severely disrupt society, and that we now have multiple vaccines that work really well at preventing it. You're assuming he...
by sophie
Mon Jun 14, 2021 10:28 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes
Replies: 30
Views: 327

Re: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes

D1984, I wish I had time for a point by point rebuttal, but you are getting a lot of your facts mixed up. That's not an indictment of your reasoning powers; it's an indication that what you're poking into is hideously complex. Let me HIGHLY recommend that you get a copy of Gary Taubes' book, "Good c...
by sophie
Mon Jun 14, 2021 10:07 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Buy, Borrow, Die. Legally Never pay Taxes.
Replies: 27
Views: 269

Re: Buy, Borrow, Die. Legally Never pay Taxes.

Ah sorry, I misunderstood the original point of the thread.... It feels like there's a catch here somewhere. I'd discussed this very option with my sister, who took over accounting for the family commercial real estate property. It's worth a LOT OF MONEY but the money is effectively tied up and you ...
by sophie
Sun Jun 13, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Buy, Borrow, Die. Legally Never pay Taxes.
Replies: 27
Views: 269

Re: Buy, Borrow, Die. Legally Never pay Taxes.

There are lots of early retirement bloggers proudly living on something like $20K/year and not paying any taxes. They Roth-convert from their 401Ks up to the standard deduction, and live off dividends and capital gains while paying 0% on them because they stay in the < 15% tax brackets. Of course, t...
by sophie
Sun Jun 13, 2021 1:41 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes
Replies: 30
Views: 327

Re: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes

The Ornish diet and related low-fat, high sugar/carbohydrate diet have been studied head to head with the ketogenic diet for diabetes and weight loss multiple times. The literature is pretty clear: success rate for weight loss and diabetes control of the low fat diet is < 5%, and keto is >70%. Doesn...
by sophie
Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Natural Gas Moratorium?
Replies: 15
Views: 534

Re: Natural Gas Moratorium?

What's the reason for the natural gas moratorium? Please don't tell me it's for climate change reasons. That makes it crazy stupid, to force people to go back to using oil. Con Edison just spent the last year or so ripping up the streets in my neighborhood to install high pressure gas lines, so that...
by sophie
Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes
Replies: 30
Views: 327

Re: Want to lose weight & treatment for diabetes

Ketogenic diet. The efficacy is something like 70% plus for getting diabetics off insulin. yes, it's been studied, and used all over the world. It qualifies as medicine's best kept secret, because I have no idea why any diabetic is still being told to eat lots of carbohydrates and sugar. If you're o...
by sophie
Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:57 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?
Replies: 71
Views: 1307

Re: What is your prediction for the future of the forum?

Ignoring useless posts is, of course, the best response to them; however, it does nothing to redeem the overall quality of the board. I have an idea: How about those folks who care about high-quality discussion in the "Other Discussions" area take the time, at some point this week, to start at leas...
by sophie
Fri Jun 11, 2021 8:05 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world
Replies: 25
Views: 1014

Re: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world

Negative real interest rates to this degree (> 4%) are almost unprecedented in the post gold era, but we can look to the 1970s when real rates were negative (2-3%) and occasionally higher for short periods of time. The answer was that the PP did incredibly well in the 1970s because gold responded ve...
by sophie
Fri Jun 11, 2021 7:57 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4494
Views: 326077

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

There's been a spate of articles about myocarditis/pericarditis (inflammation of or around the heart) induced by the COVID vaccines....apparently the rates are particularly high in adolescents. Who, you may recall, have a vanishingly low risk of serious adverse effects from COVID. Many schools and u...
by sophie
Wed Jun 09, 2021 5:47 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4494
Views: 326077

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I Shrugged wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 10:17 am
So if they open up and get a few dozen cases, back into lockdown???
That's my guess. Wait for next November/December when it is virtually guaranteed to happen. So don't throw those masks away just yet.
by sophie
Wed Jun 09, 2021 5:45 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Great Reset
Replies: 11
Views: 183

Re: The Great Reset

Actually it means if you're selling a house now or in the near future, you should be jumping for joy. There is no way that this is going to be sustainable for very long.

If you're keeping your house...probably no you don't care.
by sophie
Wed Jun 09, 2021 8:01 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Lives Saved Since March 2020?
Replies: 8
Views: 146

Re: Lives Saved Since March 2020?

You can save even more American lives if you come to CA and wear your mask here for the next seven days. The pandemic is still raging here until June 15th, at which point the virus will disappear overnight and as a result Emperor Newsom will allow things to mostly go back to normal. Tortoise, aren'...
by sophie
Fri Jun 04, 2021 11:15 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world
Replies: 25
Views: 1014

Re: Withdrawal rates and size of nest egg needed in current negative real interest rate world

One could just replace the long/short Treasury barbell with mostly ITT's and a smattering of iBonds and call it a day (that's what I've done for now), or if younger and still years away from retirement use EE and iBonds for the entire bond/cash allocation since they're the only Treasury securities ...
by sophie
Thu Jun 03, 2021 9:25 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 936
Views: 28070

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

Another anecdote to share. A colleague works at a dental office with 4 DDS and 10 ancillary staff (chairside, hygiene, front desk). 6 of the staff are hard-core covid anti-vax. The rest of the office has been vaccinated. Masks are worn, but people are lax about it away from direct patient treatment...
by sophie
Tue Jun 01, 2021 9:00 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 936
Views: 28070

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

It's pretty clear for me anyway that the unknown long-term risks of Covid are vastly more intimidating than the unknown long-term risks of the vaccine. Could you elaborate on the data that might support this statement? No known coronavirus has any long term effects. Viral indirect sequelae are know...
by sophie
Mon May 31, 2021 1:19 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 936
Views: 28070

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

And then I stopped having to deal with masking, distancing, and a whole lot of rigamarole. Well worth it! I'm pretty sure you don't live where I live then. Here, indoor mask/distancing mandates are still in full force, and about 90% of people still wear a mask even outdoors. I can be one of the 10%...
by sophie
Mon May 31, 2021 1:13 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: White Supremecy
Replies: 10
Views: 277

Re: White Supremecy

Remember I started a thread on the New Republican Populism, hoping that the work that Trump started could be taken over by the Republican party and turned into a sensible platform that would be extremely attractive to voters? Including racial minorities? And the probably large number of moderate Dem...
by sophie
Mon May 31, 2021 1:04 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 936
Views: 28070

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

In principle somedude is correct: the COVID case numbers are meaningless because we don't know what percentage of them were associated with a clinical illness that was definitively due to COVID (and not to another random flu or cold bug). The problem is defining "meaningful illness." For sure hospit...
by sophie
Sun May 30, 2021 11:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Replies: 936
Views: 28070

Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan

This brain fog is causing sufferers to perform significantly below average in cognitive tests of working memory, spatial reasoning, and the like. Imagine that being permanent. Get vaccinated, guys. I'm not sure what to think about long-haul COVID. A good friend of mine is a neuropsychologist who is...
by sophie
Sun May 30, 2021 10:58 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 4494
Views: 326077

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

So just about every day now we're getting news of "new" revelations in the CoVid drama that point the finger squarely at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, funded surreptitiously by Fauci et al. Today it's being reported that there is no naturally-occurring virus from which this one could have plausi...
by sophie
Wed May 26, 2021 8:30 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price
Replies: 11
Views: 478

Re: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price

I just tried Tortoise's link, and now it's working.

It says you can file if you sold physical gold sometime between 2004 and June 30, 2013. Guess when my gold sale was? July 22, 2013. D'OH!!!!!!!!!!!

The gods seem determined to be unkind to me lately....
by sophie
Tue May 25, 2021 1:21 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price
Replies: 11
Views: 478

Re: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price

Thanks Tortoise but it came up with an error....

FWIW, APMEX said they're not aware of any such class action suit.
by sophie
Tue May 25, 2021 9:33 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price
Replies: 11
Views: 478

Re: Class Action Lawsuit Says Banks Manipulated Gold Price

I didn't get any paperwork in the mail, because the only gold I sold in that time period was physical (to APMEX). I did that to tax loss harvest, and it was a reasonably large amount - so I have the documentation and theoretically all I need to file a claim. I wrote to APMEX (where I sold the coins)...