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- Tue Mar 28, 2023 8:01 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: TikTok ban thoughts?
- Replies: 26
- Views: 369
Re: TikTok ban thoughts?
The "Ban TikTok" Bill (full text) is misnomered. It is a generic Bill that grants nearly "Patriot Act" powers to go after anyone (Section 3) that the government deems a security risk and grants them authority to access any of the suspect's electronic devices and networks - from computers to game con...
- Wed Mar 22, 2023 9:05 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: I'M OUT!
- Replies: 37
- Views: 1213
Re: I'M OUT!
Nothing wrong with taking a step back when you feel that things are out of whack. Best move in that situation is to move your net worth to risk free assets that will return the risk free rate - and then reconnoiter. If you have the suspicion that the system is broken, but you don't yet know how or w...
- Sun Mar 19, 2023 1:54 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
... I dont know anyone who needs 250,000 liquidity always instantly available. Businesses need that liquidity to make payroll, pay the janitor, pay the rent, suck up the 3 months accounts receivables. $250K is shite. Business should have to pay for high limits like that ... Interesting. I don't dis...
- Tue Mar 14, 2023 1:12 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
... It's interesting, and other than the interest expense to the borrowing bank, I'm not seeing a negative effect on anyone, even though something about it feels like sleight of hand to the layperson. ... The negative aspect is that the loans are secured with crap collateral. 30 year treasuries and...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 9:23 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
That worked out great for several years until one day she called me to tell me that the bank examiners had come by and discovered blank transfer forms signed by me. Nice work. But it's a problem. The average business that wants to function and stay insured and stay legal has to hire deviants. Someo...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 8:24 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Or... back to my first question, am I missing something? Of the companies that you advise, how many of them have over $1 million per month of cash flow? And of those companies, how many of them keep their working cash in more than ten bank accounts, or have a system to overflow into short term Trea...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 8:01 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
I can hook you up bro. Send photo of wife and boat.
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 6:51 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Feds announce that all SVB depositors will be made whole. Even those above $250K. It seems like someone explained the situation to them. Still, just a stop gap. This solution is a bit capricious and not a good foundation for future planning. Best to assume that any future failures won't be covered ...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 6:22 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
l33t supa h4x0r knows l33t supa h4x0r
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:50 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
In 1991 when Bank of New England failed, the FDIC stepped in and insured all depositors including those over the (then) $100,000 limit. They did so for the exact reasons your quote describes, namely to prevent panic among depositors that would spread throughout the financial system. Since then, the...
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:33 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Feds just closed Signature Bank out of NYC.
Major Kudos to the treasury department intern that used the leet URL.
Major Kudos to the treasury department intern that used the leet URL.
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:45 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
- Replies: 1740
- Views: 292049
- Sun Mar 12, 2023 3:06 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
One of the OG forum founders here sent me a link to this video . If you want to listen to a recount of how the SVB collapse played out for startup founders on Thursday and Friday - it is accurate. Pretty much a play by play of how it went down for my partners and I. We're not nearly as exposed as so...
- Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:14 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
- Replies: 113
- Views: 3673
Re: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
But also, does ChatGPT have good game? Might need to explore that angle... I don't play in the same crowd as you, Kriegs. But a few times I've gotten a long rambling email from the girlfriend and I couldn't make heads nor tails of it. I asked the AI to break it into relevant bullet points, summariz...
- Sat Mar 11, 2023 7:17 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
That's a massive amount of money. I wonder what effect it might have on the treasury and short term debt markets to experience a sudden epic buy volume like that. I guess we'll find out. Fortunately, a lot of corporate CFO's aren't as on the ball as we would like to imagine. Certainly there will be...
- Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:35 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
- Replies: 113
- Views: 3673
Re: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
Latest Southpark Episode. Featuring ChatGPT.
- Sat Mar 11, 2023 12:40 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Mark Leavy wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:26 pm..., but that is a logistical nightmare and probably frowned upon if SVB also happened to be one of your VC funders.
Ha! I was just guessing earlier, but ... good guess.
- Fri Mar 10, 2023 11:48 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
That's got to be deflationary doesn't it? It puts the Feds in a tight spot. SVB (and a lot of other regional banks) were not able to write enough high quality loans to offset all of the depositor's funds. So they bought long dated treasuries. And didn't hedge them with interest rate swaps. And over...
- Fri Mar 10, 2023 10:14 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
As of 12/31/22 SVB had $173 Billion in deposits. $152 Billion were uninsured. Total of deposits over and above $250K per account.
- Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:26 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
- Replies: 127
- Views: 2264
Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Less than 3 percent of accounts have less than $25 0 ,000? Who the heck was depositing money there? Most of the accounts at SVB are were business accounts. Generally high tech startups out of Silicon Valley. For many businesses, $250K liquid cash on hand is not nearly enough to handle normal cash f...
- Sat Mar 04, 2023 4:00 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Why do they say gold isn't a hedge against inflation?
- Replies: 16
- Views: 2927
Re: Why do they say gold isn't a hedge against inflation?
Seajay, I just want to say that I have thoroughly enjoyed your posts. Well thought out. Well written. Well researched.
A gold standard, if you will.
Thank you,
Mark
A gold standard, if you will.
Thank you,
Mark
- Fri Mar 03, 2023 6:54 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 986
- Views: 77533
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Indeed a long history. Diseased cow carcasses via Trebuchet.
- Fri Mar 03, 2023 10:21 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: When will indexing blow up?
- Replies: 15
- Views: 1201
Re: When will indexing blow up?
I could see a future where people who start companies don't incporporate, {etc} This is quite astute. I like it. One of the difficulties that would have to be overcome is that of obtaining capital. Investors would need some mechanism to guarantee their equity allocation. That doesn't sound unsolvab...
- Thu Mar 02, 2023 11:00 am
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
- Replies: 33
- Views: 3365
Re: Stock Picking in the PP
Nice move, Maddy. Congratulations.
- Sun Feb 26, 2023 7:55 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The New Conservative Books Are Angry. But Why Are They So Boring?
- Replies: 5
- Views: 606
Re: The New Conservative Books Are Angry. But Why Are They So Boring?
... , they are there to launder campaign money" Of course. All political books are contracted through a ghost writer and are the traditional means to launder kickbacks. Along with exhorbitant speaking fees. (Every politician, ever) And the purchase of unrecognized genius artwork. (Hunter Biden)