Search found 270 matches

by modeljc
Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:44 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

I got 25%, but the world does not believe in Gold as a hedge for anything! That's because factually it isn't. The best we can say is it is non-correlated with anything which is not a bad characteristic for a portfolio asset. Hard to take it to the bank in 1980 when it hit $850. Nice for a few month...
by modeljc
Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:08 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote:
Wed Nov 24, 2021 8:10 am
More pain, yay PP...not!
Worst portfolio EVER, none worse.
Gold will give up 5% on just talk of being hawkish. Think of an actual rate increase of a 1/16 of a point. Revist the 1980's if you doubt.

I got 25%, but the world does not believe in Gold as a hedge for anything!
by modeljc
Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:52 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

i hold 5% in gold , 5% bitcoin , 5% commodities and 5% cash flying fighter cover as opposed to the big position in gold . i dont feel gold alone is diversified enough anymore with all the alternatives. holy shit MJ has more hodl BTC than I do. i do hold a lot dollar wise but as a piece of the total...
by modeljc
Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

i hold 5% in gold , 5% bitcoin , 5% commodities and 5% cash flying fighter cover as opposed to the big position in gold . i dont feel gold alone is diversified enough anymore with all the alternatives. holy shit MJ has more hodl BTC than I do. i do hold a lot dollar wise but as a piece of the total...
by modeljc
Tue Oct 12, 2021 2:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Triad: An alternative to PP & Golden Butterfly
Replies: 3
Views: 920

Re: Triad: An alternative to PP & Golden Butterfly

Truly hope you enjoy and find it valuable. Countless hours went into developing these strategies, they were created for me and my family - but I happily share to those with interest. Yes! Much thanks for a forward looking allocation. Following it very close and like the idea that gold has a role bu...
by modeljc
Thu Sep 23, 2021 3:24 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: risk ON risk OFF
Replies: 7
Views: 829

Re: risk ON risk OFF

I don't know that I would call it a hobby, that could be taken as a demeaning term meaning it's not taken with the utmost serious intentions that it is. I am not an RIA, CFA, etc... I developed these strategies for my own use and opened them up for public consumption, it is a labor of passion. The ...
by modeljc
Thu Sep 23, 2021 12:26 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: risk ON risk OFF
Replies: 7
Views: 829

Re: risk ON risk OFF

Interesting site he has, do you know if it is just a hobby? I do have difficulty with the rationale behind some of the strategies but if this is just for fun/personal investment then it's pretty cool. The site says he has about 75% invested in the strategies so I don't think it is just for fun. Als...
by modeljc
Thu Sep 23, 2021 10:29 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: risk ON risk OFF
Replies: 7
Views: 829

risk ON risk OFF

Just ran across some new work from StrategyDriven. Love the idea of risk ON and risk OFF.

https://dualmomentumsystems.com/?post=p ... o-vs-triad
by modeljc
Fri Aug 13, 2021 11:35 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

I asked google if Gold was considered an asset class? The reply: Gold as an asset class serves as an excellent hedge against inflation. Gold has consistently returned 2% over and above inflation for the past 28 years. Gold is also highly liquid as an asset class, because it is a global standard. Thi...
by modeljc
Thu Aug 12, 2021 1:43 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

Dog shit as usual Gold acting very strong today and managed to stay even in the face of the news! https://digital.olivesoftware.com/Olive/ODN/ArDemocratNW/ Yep! It will fall during negative rates of 4 or 5%! A Fed increase move of 1/8th of a point will kill the price as fear will set in for a conti...
by modeljc
Mon Aug 09, 2021 2:45 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3296
Views: 918693

Re: The GOLD scream room

Dog shit as usual Yep! It will fall during negative rates of 4 or 5%! A Fed increase move of 1/8th of a point will kill the price as fear will set in for a continued move in rates going forward. Trillions flowing around and nobody believes in this asset class! Not even foreigners with currencies we...
by modeljc
Wed Jul 14, 2021 11:47 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Interactive Brokers USGOLD
Replies: 18
Views: 1297

Re: Interactive Brokers USGOLD

2 things You do have to apply for and receive "metals" trading approval. Side note: Looks like the UK version of IB offers silver as well. Maybe this will come to the US? I've done this but have not traded yet. I don't recall anything about this asset/format(?) being a future. The fact that you wil...
by modeljc
Tue Jul 13, 2021 2:48 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Interactive Brokers USGOLD
Replies: 18
Views: 1297

Re: Interactive Brokers USGOLD

In poking around on IBKR"s site , it appears that to trade Forex (and thus trade USGOLD) one has to be an Eligible Contract Participant . I found this definition: (A) an eligible contract participant described in clause (i), (ii), (v), (vii), (viii), or (ix) of paragraph (18)(A) that, in connection...
by modeljc
Tue Jul 13, 2021 2:36 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Interactive Brokers USGOLD
Replies: 18
Views: 1297

Re: Interactive Brokers USGOLD

In poking around on IBKR"s site , it appears that to trade Forex (and thus trade USGOLD) one has to be an Eligible Contract Participant . I found this definition: (A) an eligible contract participant described in clause (i), (ii), (v), (vii), (viii), or (ix) of paragraph (18)(A) that, in connection...
by modeljc
Thu Jul 08, 2021 4:01 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Replies: 248
Views: 130307

Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios

Mark Leavy wrote:
Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:25 pm
vincent_c wrote:
Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:18 pm
discussion on diversification
That was just outstanding.

I've never seen it broken down that way. An eye opener.
Wow I agree! Thanks
by modeljc
Mon Jun 21, 2021 4:58 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

I came up with this 1/3/6 and weightings in efforts of being quicker reacting than a 10 or 12 month lookback, without causing too much whipsaw. Well, it certainly seems to be doing fine for you. I am a fan of the approach that Randy has put together. It is some amazing work! I not one that favors b...
by modeljc
Sat Jun 19, 2021 1:58 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios
Replies: 248
Views: 130307

Re: PP Inspired Leveraged Portfolios

Honestly this is a bit hard to follow. Can you write down your strategy in the simplest and shortest way possible? Also, are you looking for advice or critique or neither? Are you open to discussion to actually figure out whether this is a smart thing to do, or is this something that is just for fu...
by modeljc
Mon May 03, 2021 4:41 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

Results deck for April 2021 can be downloaded here . May 2021 Strategy Investments Only MAX PAIN has a change of investment for May, all other strategies remain in the same investments. ⅓ IWB, ⅓ IWS, ⅓ VGSH Triad IWS The Russell OG VTI Global Navigator IWM The Russell IWM The Russell XXL MIDU MAX P...
by modeljc
Sun Apr 25, 2021 10:45 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Kirkland Lake Gold KL
Replies: 8
Views: 1456

Re: Kirkland Lake Gold KL

Is anyone looking at gold mining stocks right now? Supposedly out of favor, and value plays abound. ? Just checked, KL is still at 38. Did you buy it, JC? Yes I got it. Rode it to 57 and back down to $33. It is my side bet to collect a increasing 2% dividend with tax credit. My side bet is gold get...
by modeljc
Fri Mar 19, 2021 2:30 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Bond scenarios
Replies: 11
Views: 1722

Re: Bond scenarios

I will absolutely buy TLT if the band is hit. How close are you to a band? Is TLT about 20%? If you play like core inflation is 2% and headline is 3 1/2% I wonder where that puts TLT. Guess I need to try to answer my own Question: If the market needs 1.5% or so for a real return and 2% if the marke...
by modeljc
Thu Mar 18, 2021 2:56 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Bond scenarios
Replies: 11
Views: 1722

Re: Bond scenarios

Cortopassi wrote:
Thu Mar 18, 2021 1:26 pm
I will absolutely buy TLT if the band is hit.
How close are you to a band? Is TLT about 20%? If you play like core inflation is 2% and headline is 3 1/2% I wonder where that puts TLT.
by modeljc
Mon Mar 01, 2021 10:01 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

Looks like the combo got changed. From 40%/60% to 70% Russell and 30% USA. I like that a lot better. We have visited about the levered products and the possible counterparty credit risk. Also using EDV when things turn funny. Might warm to the combo. I will showcase different combinations over time...
by modeljc
Sat Feb 27, 2021 6:10 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

Looks like the combo got changed. From 40%/60% to 70% Russell and 30% USA. I like that a lot better. We have visited about the levered products and the possible counterparty credit risk. Also using EDV when things turn funny. Might warm to the combo. I will showcase different combinations over time...
by modeljc
Sat Feb 27, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

No change of investment for any of the strategies for the month of March 2021. The strategies are all off to a terrific year, in spite of giving back some gains at the end of February. Year to Date Results: S&P500 1.72% Nasdaq 100 0.13% Global Navigator 2.56% The Russell 7.25% USA S-M-L 22.70% MAX ...
by modeljc
Mon Feb 08, 2021 3:51 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell
Replies: 144
Views: 17913

Re: Please meet Global Navigator and The Russell

Looks like you have stopped reporting Global/Russell 30/70%. It seemed to take some of the downside out and helped during times when the world is doing better than the U.S. Correct, I switched to reporting that combination to one of 40% The Russell and 60% USA S-M-L with the last update. I can't sh...