Even if you are right and rates skyrocket, only if it happens in a straight line, will the pp really suffer because the pp may have you rebalance several times into and out of TLT, along the way as the market stair steps its way to higher rates. This way the impact of higher rates will be muted. In ...

Who is to say that any asset will be safe and that is why the pp has 4 different assets to protect you in the event something unforseen occurs. Many folks were invested in equities in 2007 while they seemed safe and look what happened the very next year. Bill Gross called for the end of the bond ral...

It doesn't surprise me that after 10+ years of outperformance, at the first sign of underperformance(-5% ytd), there's panic in the air and a rush to exit gates. This is exactly what Richard Bernstein predicted about the strategy and its weak followers and its happening right before our eyes. When s...

Thanks for your thoughts Rabs. I checked out the sharpchart on GLD. The 200 day MA is at 154 and the 50 day MA is at 134. The cross over to the upside, if it occurs, would be somewhwhere around 144 I'm guessing. Wow, that's 24 points. Even if I have just half the traditional allocation at 12.5%, I w...

I'm quite surprised at the amount of disappointment with the recent performance of the pp. The recent underperformance of -5.5% ytd is really a drop in the bucket compared to the 50%+drops we have seen in the equity markets. Do people think there is one strategy that will always outperform? For thos...

I think they "get it" but sounds like they are joking around by saying "I recommend buying the assets that will go up the most". Getting back to the point. My concern about only owning 2 assets of the pp makes you vulnerable, removes that moat of safety which is the foundation of...

I saw a similar analysis done on scotts investments. The results are impressive although I would like to see a longer test period than 8 years. My first question would be concerning max drawdown and how that would compare to the pp4x1. Do you have that information? If so, it would be interesting. An...