Search found 1110 matches

by flyingpylon
Sun Nov 10, 2024 12:21 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1460
Views: 748927

Re: Stock scream room

The election was not simply about Trump. The result will never make sense to anyone that continues to frame it that way.
by flyingpylon
Wed Oct 30, 2024 2:47 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1310
Views: 770058

Re: YouTube Junkie

Can confirm the YouTube behavior. When I watch a video on a topic or from a creator I don't want to see again, I go into my watch history and remove it. That seems to help quite a bit.
by flyingpylon
Tue Aug 27, 2024 6:44 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Are you always taking a bath on at least one asset?
Replies: 17
Views: 7853

Re: Are you always taking a bath on at least one asset?

The historical results that probably convinced you to go with the GB were generated with individual assets that were overvalued or undervalued at any given time. If you want the benefits of a “lazy portfolio” and you accept that you can’t predict the future, you need to treat it like a black box as ...
by flyingpylon
Sun Aug 25, 2024 10:47 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Ross Ulbricht And Silk Road
Replies: 26
Views: 10793

Re: Ross Ulbricht And Silk Road

yankees60 wrote: Sun Aug 25, 2024 9:07 am
dualstow wrote: Sat Aug 24, 2024 7:13 pm They arrested the Telegram app founder, Pavel Durov.
I wonder what’s going to happen to him.
They = Russia?
France!
by flyingpylon
Sun Jul 21, 2024 4:31 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: If
Replies: 43
Views: 24939

Re: If

Xan wrote: Sun Jul 21, 2024 3:46 pm … he at long last agreed that in 4+ years he wouldn't be up to it.
Do you really think that’s what happened?
by flyingpylon
Fri Jun 28, 2024 8:10 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Very Fine People
Replies: 3
Views: 4701

Re: Very Fine People

Seven years… does the timing make more sense after last night?
by flyingpylon
Sun Jun 23, 2024 9:59 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Very Fine People
Replies: 3
Views: 4701

Re: Very Fine People

Seven years is a long time arrive at this conclusion, but as Snopes is accused of being left-leaning, or even a mouthpiece for the left, I think this is important. It was forum members here who taught me many years ago that the allegations were false. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fi...
by flyingpylon
Wed Jun 05, 2024 9:41 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Grilling Fauci
Replies: 27
Views: 13637

Re: Grilling Fauci

dualstow wrote: Wed Jun 05, 2024 9:17 am But I think he was doing what he thought was right at the time.
The same could be said of many people that have done terrible things.
by flyingpylon
Wed Feb 07, 2024 1:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing and Timing
Replies: 7
Views: 3010

Re: Rebalancing and Timing

I split the trigger into two zones: “can rebalance” and “must rebalance”. Can rebalance is within around 1% of the must rebalance threshold. I allow myself to rebalance if I feel like it. I do partial rebalances and I got tired of missing out on opportunities because I waited for that last 1% or so....
by flyingpylon
Mon Feb 05, 2024 12:56 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Life Insurance in Retirement
Replies: 1
Views: 1247

Life Insurance in Retirement

I'm curious to know what people's thoughts are about life insurance in retirement (or very close to it). For this purpose I'm only referring to term insurance, not any other type that also serves as an investment. Say you and your spouse have been working and investing for many years, the mortgage i...
by flyingpylon
Wed Jan 10, 2024 8:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 25 x 4 or 33 x 3
Replies: 37
Views: 79937

Re: 25 x 4 or 33 x 3

I always laugh when someone states they are "100% stocks", yet the have 1-2 years of living expenses in cash... so, they aren't actually 100% stocks, then. This puts the PP at a disadvantage when it is backtested against other asset allocation strategies that exclude cash savings. I like ...
by flyingpylon
Mon Nov 27, 2023 8:25 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Login & Cache
Replies: 9
Views: 19022

Re: Login & Cache

I experienced the same thing using Firefox on iOS so I switched to Chrome and Safari. Seems like there was another combination of OS and browser where it happened but I can’t remember now.
by flyingpylon
Fri Oct 27, 2023 1:26 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1310
Views: 770058

Re: YouTube Junkie

Thought this animation created in 2012 was interesting in light of current events...

This Land is Mine by Nina Paley
https://youtu.be/8tIdCsMufIY?si=jHTGr5wrap3w0evC

https://blog.ninapaley.com/2012/10/01/t ... d-is-mine/
by flyingpylon
Wed Sep 27, 2023 4:36 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: TLT cracks $90
Replies: 43
Views: 104963

Re: TLT cracks $90

Thoughts? At 16.7% of my PP... Getting close to the 15% rebalance band. I hope it doesn't happen this year but will in 2024. Will have to report my 2023 to FAFSA, so I do not want to sell anything from my brokerage accounts :-[ Regarding FAFSA, make sure your ordinary income qualifies you for finan...
by flyingpylon
Sat Sep 09, 2023 8:10 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Mistakes
Replies: 43
Views: 121503

Re: PP Mistakes

Thanks for this. A comprehensive list. Thought it took scanning the list a few times to finally find the Simplified Permanent Portfolio. The list is what order? Definitely NOT alphabetical? ????????? 30-year avg return, descending order. Click on the column headers to change the sort order.
by flyingpylon
Fri Sep 08, 2023 9:19 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Mistakes
Replies: 43
Views: 121503

Re: PP Mistakes

Hindsight is 20/20. Foresight, not so much.
by flyingpylon
Thu Aug 17, 2023 9:18 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
Replies: 851
Views: 532985

Re: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II

Smith1776 wrote: Thu Aug 17, 2023 7:46 am I'm really surprised that no one on the forum so far is discussing the Trump indictments. ???
Because there's no longer any discussion here. People state their cases at each other until one or both sides get pissed off and return to their respective corners.

What's the point?
by flyingpylon
Sat Jun 24, 2023 6:11 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Netflix junkie
Replies: 388
Views: 182044

Re: Netflix junkie

I just finished watching Mad Max for the first time ever. I honestly don’t get the hype. The movie was very meh to me. I also now especially don’t get why Bogleheads always refer to the “Mad Max scenario” when discussing gold as an investment. Does anyone really think that this corresponds with rea...
by flyingpylon
Fri Jun 23, 2023 9:56 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Do you listen to Scott Adams?
Replies: 25
Views: 27744

Re: Do you listen to Scott Adams?

yankees60 wrote: Fri Jun 23, 2023 8:10 am Well, my other must are listening to the five Sunday news shows. Try to listen to them twice each week.
Yikes. Maybe you should try only listening to them once so you have time to consider other perspectives, and see where that takes you.
by flyingpylon
Thu Jun 22, 2023 6:58 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Do you listen to Scott Adams?
Replies: 25
Views: 27744

Re: Do you listen to Scott Adams?

I would say once in a great while. I do read his tweets, that’s all I have time for.
by flyingpylon
Wed May 24, 2023 9:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Past performance is no guarantee of future results
Replies: 9
Views: 6722

Re: Past performance is no guarantee of future results

My question is, for the purposes of financial planning, how do you estimate your future investment returns? The whole thing just seems like a crapshoot, which I guess it is at some level. Personally, I just take the Baseline Return as detailed here => https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/long-term...
by flyingpylon
Wed May 24, 2023 5:19 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Past performance is no guarantee of future results
Replies: 9
Views: 6722

Past performance is no guarantee of future results

Everyone should be familiar with the phrase in the subject line. My question is, for the purposes of financial planning, how do you estimate your future investment returns? Say you’ve identified an asset allocation that has returned an average of 10% nominal over the last 50 years ( std dev 8.8 ). Y...
by flyingpylon
Fri May 19, 2023 8:39 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Buy gold now?
Replies: 13
Views: 18071

Re: Buy gold now?

dualstow wrote: Fri May 19, 2023 6:58 am
Doesn’t shine when it should
— totally agree, Barrett.
Does gold have an obligation to shine when people want/expect it to?

It shines when it does. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
by flyingpylon
Wed May 17, 2023 9:31 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Maximize your Social Security benefits by changing your thinking
Replies: 10
Views: 5007

Re: Maximize your Social Security benefits by changing your thinking

The article is fine as far as it goes but this last paragraph was kind of just thrown in as an aside: "We didn’t cover the nuances involved with spousal benefits, dependent benefits, or survivor benefits. These auxiliary benefits could impact your filing decision in either direction, and coord...